Sonnie Johnson’s take on the Ferguson Riots

10 Questions Citizens of #Ferguson Should Ask Outside Agitators – Sonnie Johnson

Sonnie-Johnson
photo credit: Brietbart.com

 

It’s all fun and games until you burn down a damn city. The citizens of Ferguson should ask the outside agitators some questions before they let them continue to burn down their community…

  1. Where do you live? It would be nice to know that the people burning down your city will also be there when the destruction smolders. If they live in a gated community a thousand miles away, why are you letting them burn down your economy?
  2. How can they afford to be full time protestors? You don’t get paid to protest…or do you? Have you asked the protesters where they get their salary and what is the purpose of that salary? Has anyone offered you payment for time spent?
  3. What is your economic plan after the Ferguson protest? Now that the city is on fire, how do you plan to rebuild? Will it be private ownership that empowers the people or will Ferguson move to a more government-controlled structure like Detroit?
  4. Now that violence is a standard in Ferguson, from the police and protesters, who is going to protect the citizens caught in the crossfire? Gun sales in the Ferguson area have tripled in the last few months. Will it be incumbent upon the people to protect themselves?
  5. It’s going to take a lot of local tax money to repair all the damages caused to small business and public locations, are you going to contribute to local economy over and beyond what you have destroyed? You have proven your point, will you stay and be apart of cleaning up your anger and bitterness or will we have to live with it for a generation?
  6. You are telling me America is ruled by an oppressive government…but aren’t you the same people telling me to trust that government for my housing, food, healthcare, education, cell phone, etc? Don’t you think it’s dangerous to bite the hand that feeds you…while continuing to beg for scraps from their table?
  7. This is a black and white issue. White protesters; who said you, were an acceptable white? Do you have a white privilege null and void card to show proof you are really down for the cause? I mean, if you have a couple thousand in the bank and daddy’s credit card, you look like a 1%er to me.
  8. I’m asking this question for a friend…Why is it that every time Al Shartpon and his ILK show up, the media comes, but no actual change follows? You pop your head in, burns some shit down, the media displays them in full grandeur, and you leave the communities with nothing but heartbreak and anger?
  9. Do you think the events of Ferguson have cemented Progressive propaganda for an entire generation? We’re friends here, you can be honest. You have kept racism alive and well for an entire generation, are you proud? Which riot, or burning down of a city, will you relate Ferguson to when you tell the story of your battle in the Civil Rights movement?
  10. Was this a victory? Did you show America the value of black lives by burning down a damn city? Did you show black kids the value of hard work by looting? Did you explain 2nd amendment rights and RESPONSIBLITIES while you were shooting at police officers?  Is this what you really think black America looks like?

And this point, I’ll drop the mic and walk away.  There is no scenario where burning down your own shit is acceptable.  PERIOD.

 

 

 

 

 

With the retirement of Watkins can we keep the Senate Red?

As the rumors first reported by the Virtucon that Senator Watkins won’t run again have been confirmed, the question becomes: Will Republicans find a candidate to retain his seat beyond 2015? Unlike Steve Martin’s 11th Senatorial District that would certainly stay red if Martin were not the candidate, Senator Watkins’s District 10 is far from a sure bet for Republicans to retain as an open seat.  It will take an optimal candidate to keep the seat.

The district was redistricted in 2011, so we will examine the district as it stands today. In 2009, the district (as outlined today) as was strongly conservative as the Republicans swept the state with McDonnell and Cuccinelli winning 59% of the vote, and Bill Bolling taking in 57%.  Since then, the district has changed remarkably.  In 2013, Ken Cuccinelli lost the district to Terry McAuliffe 42% to 47% with Sarvis taking 10%.  Mark Obeshain lost 51% to 49% while E.W. Jackson was crushed in the district 60% to 40%. Obama won the district 51% to 47% in 2008 and 50% to 48% in 2012. Warner crushed Gilmore 64% to 44% in 2008, while Kaine won  53% to 46% in 2012. While the numbers haven’t been published on VPAP yet, an analysis of the relevant precincts shows Warner defeated Gillespie 49.7% to 46.6% with Sarvis stealing 3.5% of the vote.

The only Republican to win in the district since 2009 is Senator Watkins. Watkins, a prodigious fundraiser, outspent his Democratic opponent in 2011 $1,200,723 to $505,032 and won the election handily 56% to 43%.  With the 10th District likely getting state wide and even national attention as it may swing the senate in 2015, it is unlikely that a the spending split will be as large as it was in 2011. This district will be in play, and it will take the right kind of candidate for the Republicans to win.

Looking to the recent races what sort of candidate will be the most competitive for Republicans in the 11th? I would say that we need a Chesterfield County based candidate that is issue focused, small government, anti-tax, business friendly,  and conservative while not being a firebrand on social issues.

The optimal candidate would be from Chesterfield County because, despite being called the Powhatan Seat, the district’s voting population divides up 49% Chesterfield, 37% Richmond, and 14% Powhatan County.

The optimal candidate would be issue focused because that’s how Ed Gillespie derailed Warner’s campaign enough to almost score a win.

The optimal candidate would be small government and anti-tax because Watkins is leaving the seat for the sins of supporting Medicaid Expansions and McDonnell’s unpopular transportation tax-hike package.

The optimal candidate would be business friendly, because fundraising will be a key part of this race and Watkins made the district happy for a long time with his business friendly policies.

And the optimal candidate will not be a firebrand on social issues due to the illustrated disparity between Obenshain and Jackson in the 2013 election and Gillespie’s successful parries of Warner’s attempts to paint him as extreme on social issues.

So… any ideas on who this optimal candidate may be?

Updated …. No longer a rumor : Senator John Watkins announces retirement!

Updated from the Richmond Times Dispatch  : http://www.timesdispatch.com/news/state-regional/powhatan-senator-watkins-won-t-run-again-in/article_51ce16b3-9b66-5527-8578-2e19de12dad3.html

 

With rampant speculation that challengers are being sought for Senator John Watkins’s seat in the 10th Senatorial District, Virginia Virtucon has heard unconfirmed reports that Watkins is set to announce his retirement. Watkins famously broke with the GOP in support of Medicaid Expansion during the last session, and it may be that he now realizes that he has finally disaffected the Republican base.

Watkins was the Delegate for the 34th district from 1982 to 1983, when he was succeed by Vincent Callahan and became the Delegate for the 65th House District where he served until 1998, when he was succeeded by Lee Ware.  Since then, he has been a pro-business voice and consensus seeking moderate in the Senate.

Jamie Radtke, once considered a favorite to challenge Watkins from his right, has recently moved to Hanover, so there is an open field to succeed Watkins in the 10th Senatorial District…

 

air-jordan-15-rumor-1[1]

Corey Stewart Versus………????

Chairman Stewart has all but announced his intentions to run for reelection, holding his annual Fall fundraiser last month. Chairman Stewart who is a powerhouse at fundraising has the advantage of name recognition, and the power of incumbency.

However Corey has caught some slack lately, and has been painted as a tax raiser. In fact, in one Board meeting fellow Supervisor Democrat Frank Principi proclaimed:

Corey you’re looking more and more like a democrat everyday

No doubt if there is a challenge mounted against Corey, he will be painted as going too far left, and abandoning his Conservative base.

Enter Supervisor Pete Candland, who according to sources met on Saturday morning with several well-known political players who approached him about running against PWC board Chairman Corey Stewart. They represented several conservative groups who were upset over Corey Stewarts running of the board, and more specifically his financial policies.

Furthermore they have committed to financially backing Supervisor Candland if he decides to challenge Chairman Stewart.

Supervisor Candland is said to be discussing this possible venture with several other local activists and most importantly analyzing the impact of a county wide campaign on his family.

Whoever the nominee on the GOP side will be, they will likely face liberal activist Rick Smith. Grab your Popcorn folks this is getting interesting.

13971_10152413601338269_9119573736322385648_n

 

Scott Jacobs’ Statement of Economic Interests Makes for Interesting Reading

Scott Jacobs, the Republican-turned-Independent candidate for Brentsville Dist. supervisor in Prince William County, has filed his Statement of Economic Interests as a candidate (see here and here). It appears that once again, just as his sloppy handling of a simple filing fee cost him the chance to compete for the GOP nomination, Mr. Jacobs put his incompetence on display once again with this filing (and perhaps revealed an intriguing issue with the county’s assessment system.)

While The Derecho has already delved into these statements and discovered some interesting things of his own (with one correction – it is the 12923 Fitzwater parcel that is not listed on the statements submitted by Jacobs), there are other things to pick apart here as well.

Let’s take a closer look –

13460 Nokesville Rd. LISTED ON Scott Jacob’s Statement of Economic Interest H-2
.89 acres of Vacant land
Zoned agricultural
Assessed for $3500 in 2014
Purchased by Scott Jacobs 3/5/2014 for $50,000

12814/16 Fitzwater Dr. Zoned General Business LISTED ON Scott Jacob’s Statement of Economic Interest H-2
1 home and 1 commercial building (formerly Nokesville Flowers) on .8679 acres
Purchased 10/14/2010 for $330,000 (I think it was a short sale)
Property was purchased and still is held under Scott and Kim Jacobs
Assessed in 2014 for $390,100

This property fronts the large undeveloped tract known as Hale Farm (owned by real estate investors since late 90’s, including Bob Sowder). The Hale property is a huge property along the railroad tracks that the owners want to develop with high density housing and a VRE station

Then things really become interesting in January 2012 when Scott was appointed by Wally Covington to the Prince William County Strategic Plan Committee. As a member of the committee, Jacobs received briefings on various future county plans functions including transportation – specifically VRE and transit.

After the Prince William Strategic Plan Committee transportation briefing in November 2012, Scott Jacobs purchased the following properties along the railroad tracks in Nokesville at the location of the proposed future Nokesville VRE:

12917 Fitzwater Dr. SFH on .5583 acres, Zoned General Business LISTED ON Scott Jacob’s Statement of Economic Interest H-2
Purchased 9/27/12 for $240,000
Property was bought by Scott and Kim Jacobs but sold for $330,000 to 7/30/14 to Fitzwater Dr. Acquisition LLC, which made Scott and his wife $90,000 for the two years they held the property.
Assessed in 2014 for $234,500
Fitzwater Dr. Acquisition LLC. Was formed 7/2/14
The registered agent is Nicholas Jacobs (Scott’s brother) but there could be multiple others in the LLC
Because the property is listed on Scott Jacob’s Schedule H-2 of his Statement of Economic Interests as one of his properties, that means Scott and/or his wife Kimberly are also partners in Fitzwater Dr. Acquisition LLC.

12523 Marsteller Dr. Vacant lot 1.0 acres, zoned General Business LISTED ON Scott Jacob’s Statement of Economic Interest H-2
Purchased by Scott Jacobs 11/1/2012 for $30,000
Assessed in 2014 for $22,200

12615 Marsteller Dr. Vacant lot 1.0 acres, zoned General Business LISTED ON Scott Jacob’s Statement of Economic Interest H-2
Purchased by Scott Jacobs 11/1/2012 for $30,000
Assessed in 2014 for $22,200

12923 Fitzwater SFH on .4851 acres, Zoned General Business NOT LISTED ON Scott Jacob’s Statement of Economic Interest H-2
Purchased 8/1/2014 by Scott and Kim Jacobs for $270,000
Assessed in 2014 for $207,700
Scott has told people he is going to relocate his growing real estate business to this house.

All the Fitzwater lots would be in the section of Nokesville that Scott wants to develop and make walkable with shops and restaurants.
The Marsteller lots are alongside the railroad tracks where the Nokesville VRE would be built if it was put into the transportation plan.

Properties outside PWC:
120/230 Executive Center Parkway Fredericksburg, VA LISTED ON Scott Jacob’s Statement of Economic Interest H-2

With the exception of 12814/16 Fitzwater Dr. parcel, each of the properties Jacobs owns in Prince William county are assessed for lower than what he paid for them even though some of these parcels were purchased at times when the real estate market in the county was further depressed than it is today. Since the county assesses real estate every year and it bases values on the sale prices of nearby properties, why does Jacobs appear to be getting such a discount on his property taxes via the curiously lower assessment values?

So, in addition to “forgetting” to disclose his most recent property purchase made on Aug. 1 of this year on these filings made on Oct. 20, one has to wonder if Jacobs is getting some sort of preferential treatment (a “Friends and Family Discount”?) from the county on his property taxes thanks to their current assessment values vis-a-vis their actual purchase prices.

Police Pop PWC Planning Post Perv

InsideNOVA is reporting that Prince William County’s (apparently now former) assistant planning director Ray Utz was arrested Wed., Nov. 19 on charges of indecent exposure after police received not one, but TWO calls from women reporting that a man driving a vehicle registered to Utz was exposing himself to them at stoplights in Woodbridge and Lake Ridge. He was officially charged with “two counts of indecent exposure and two counts of obscene sexual display.”

Readers of Virginia Virtucon may recall that Virtucon has been writing about Utz’s alleged sexual harassment issues for 5 1/2 years, so the fact that he has been arrested on such charges is not the least bit surprising.

See:

     EXCLUSIVE! – PWC Planning Office Sexual Harassment Scandal EXPOSED!    – 6/4/09

     GUEST POST: Latest Ray Utz Scandal    – 3/13/11

     Culture of Corruption Continues – PWC Fills High-Level Position Without A Competitive Search    – 7/8/14

(My, how prescient that first headline “PWC Planning Office Sexual Harassment Scandal EXPOSED!” was in light of these charges…)

We have detailed sexual harassment claims against Utz dating back to as early as 2006 via a memo written to then-Planning Commissioner Kim Hosen by women who attended an April 23, 2008 Planning Commission meeting who were appalled by Utz’s treatment of her during the meeting and alluded to conditions allegedly faced by female employees in his office over the course of the previous two years. In addition, we published a January 26, 2009 letter to the Prince William County’s Human Resources Dept. detailing “the indignity, humiliation, abuse and non-professional experience [women] have suffered working at the Planning Office under Ray Utz” and that goes on to allege various abuses and unethical behavior in detail as well as corroborating statements and information for the allegations contained in the memo to Hosen.

If these past allegations and the new charges prove to be true, then this would seem to indicate an escalation in this man’s behavior to the point this week where he had become so reckless that he was daring to be caught. He was arrested after he was alleged to have done this during the middle of the day at the intersection of Gideon Drive and Smoketown Road in Woodbridge and the Old Bridge Road at Mohican Drive intersection in Lake Ridge. That would seem to be the sign of a sick, sick individual if this is accurate.

Perhaps just as disturbing as his alleged behavior over the years is the fact that Prince William County was made aware of these problems in 2008 and again in 2009. Not only did they do nothing about it (other than sweep it under the rug and cover it up), but they chose to keep him on staff and then promote him to a plum position without engaging in a competitive search for the post despite both county board Chairman Corey Stewart and County Exec. Melissa Peacor claiming that all vacancies are publicly advertised and filled competitively. Utz was already one of the county’s highest paid employees earning in excess of $100,000 in his previous position before his promotion.

In light of the lengthy public record of allegations against Utz and now his arrest, Stewart and Peacor must be made to answer for their decisions regarding Utz and be held accountable for their actions as well.

Voters should not renominate nor return Stewart to the chairmanship in 2015 (nor should they elect Democrat Rick Smith – formerly known as the blogger “Mitch Cumstein” in the early days of Virginia Virtucon and on the old Too Conservative blog – as he is chairman of the taxpayer boondoggle known as the Hylton Perfoming Arts Center that is at the center of a whole other set of county scandals, but that is another story for another day.)

An interesting aside – according to the InsideNOVA article, Prince William County’s assistant planning director chose to live not in Prince William County, but in Fredericksburg despite being one of the county’s highest paid employees and being able to afford to live in PWC. Obviously he either knows something that the rest of us don’t or else he knows what a lot of us already do and that our county property taxes are too high and our county government wastes our tax dollars with reckless abandon. My guess is that it is a little of both.

 

Obenshain Thanks Loudoun YRs

State senator Mark Obenshain was the special guest at last night’s Loudoun County Young Republicans meeting in Leesburg.

Senator Obenshain thanked the YRs for all their hard work during the election cycles and congratulated them for their contribution to Barbara Comstock’s election to Congress, before going on to speak about the importance of staying active and engaged as the next round of elections are coming up soon. He talked about how the Democrats do such a good job at blowing out a few concentrated areas which are heavily Democratic and how that carries the state for the Ds. Obenshain talked about how Republicans can win statewide if we stay competitive in places like Northern Virginia while blowing out the turnout of the highly Republican 5th, 6th and 9th congressional districts. Congressional districts are divided by population so there are the same number of voters in those three districts as there are in the 3rd, 8th and 11th, the three congressional districts held by Democrats. With a Republican lead of 8 to 3 in Virginia’s congressional delegation it is clear why higher turnout in heavily Republican areas will result in Republicans taking back control of the statewide offices next time they are on the ballot. But first we need to hold the majority in both chambers of the General Assembly and Obenshain made sure to stress the point that 2015 is an important election year in Virginia where nothing can be taken for granted.

Obenshain is a strong supporter of Virginia’s Right to Work status. I greatly appreciate how often he works in the importance of how Right to Work contributes to our economy. Last night Obenshain mentioned strengthening our Right to Work laws as an example of work he has done in the General Assembly with Barbara Comstock.

The YRs in Loudoun are a very active club. They have a lot to celebrate right now with the huge win by Barbara Comstock in the 10th District. The Loudoun YRs put in a lot of work on the Comstock campaign and deserve a share of the credit for Comstock’s substantial win margin. Expect them to stay active in 2015 as Loudoun County has some competitive Delegate and State Senate races to watch.

WP_20141120_001

Cross-posted to Red NoVA

Amanda Chase picks her race. Should Steve Martin be nervous?

Amanda Chase as has a history of picking competitive races and winning candidates, and this time she is picking herself to challenge Steve Martin in a primary for the 11th district. Known for her grassroots activism and strongly expressed opinions, Chase has made a name for herself as a campaign worker for Cuccinelli, Cantor, Brat, and Forbes. Her strong opinions have made her somewhat controversial in certain circles, but she seems to connect very well with tea-partiers and grass-roots activists. She is now stepping out in front as a candidate herself and thinks she has picked a race she can win. Is Amanda correct that Martin is ripe for a primary challenge? The answer could be yes.

Martin entered politics thirty years ago, winning a seat in the House of Delegates as an unexpected challenger to Democrat Leslie Saunders in 1987 in the 67th District. Other than fending off Saunders in a rematch for the Delegate seat in 1989, Martin has had a remarkably easy road since then. When the District lines changed he ran unopposed to become the Delegate for the 27th District where he remained until 1994 when he easily won a special election to become the Senator for the 11th District. The 11th is one of the safest Republican districts in Virginia with McCain winning the district by 14 points, McDonnell winning by 37 points, Romney winning by 14 points, and Cuccinelli wining by 24 points.

The reality, however, is that Martin isn’t that strong in his own district. Martin was last challenged in 2007 and won easily against the split competition of one democrat and two independents gaining 62.75% of the vote. That seems very strong until you consider that two years later, McDonnell won the 11th with 68.56%, Bolling won with 65.81% and Cuccinelli won with 68.34%. That indicates that other Republicans are significantly more popular than Martin in his own district. Martin’s attempt to gain the nomination for Lt. Governor in 2013 is also telling. Martin’s LG campaign was almost comical in its ineffectiveness. Martin was eventually knocked out on the first ballot and he failed to win his home county of Chesterfield in that vote.  Martin raised a meager $115,000 state wide, far in last place out of the seven candidates, and was seen standing nearly alone in his suite at the Convention while the other six candidates held rallies.

Martin doesn’t seem primed to face a contest in his Senate district either. While Chase is boasting Chesterfield’s popular Commonwealth’s Attorney Billy Davenport as part of her “host committee” at recent fundraisers, Martin’s Endorsements page on his website is disturbingly blank.  This could be a major issue for Martin as Davenport is usually lockstep with equally popular Sheriff Karl Leonard and former Sheriff Dennis Profit. Davenport, Leonard and Profit have shown considerable power in getting candidates nominated in Chesterfield. This power was first evident Leonard’s remarkable win for the Republican nomination for Sheriff over the highly endorsed party favorite, Jerry Baldwin. More recently, Davenport, Leonard and Profit joined forces to get newly elected Clerk of Court Wendy Hughes the nomination over the highly endorsed party favorite, Tracy Seredni.  In both of these races Steve Martin strongly endorsed and supported the losing candidate, and it is possible that those chickens are coming home to roost.  A recent Facebook post by Martin indicates that he believes that Profit, Leonard and Davenport are supporting Chase against him, and that could be decisive in any sort of primary.

Martin Facebook Post

If Davenport, Leonard and Profit truly are backing Chase, as Martin seems to believe, Martin has a reason to be concerned. Martin strongly campaigned for his hand-picked candidate for sheriff, Jerry Baldwin, and Baldwin conceded the nomination for sheriff to Karl Leonard before a single vote was counted because Leonard had packed the convention hall about 3-1 with vocal supporters. Wendy Hughes won her firehouse primary for clerk over Martin’s candidate, Seredni, 1686 to 727, and won the general election with 68.1% of the vote, while Gillespie only received 52.7% of the vote in Chesterfield.  That means that the candidate handpicked by Davenport, Leonard and Profit beat out the Republican senate nominee by almost 16 points in Steve Martin’s home county. If Davenport, Leonard and Profit are the power that they appear to be in Chesterfield, and Martin is correct that they are backing Chase, Martin looks like he may be in trouble.

So – did Amanda Chase pick the right race? It appears she very well may have.

Lets get started !!

I would like to first say thank you to Jim Riley for taking Virtucon to where it is now, I can never replace him or his leadership on this blog. My goals for Virtucon are to cover all facets of our ever expanding party, and to produce nothing but the best for our readers. Keeping things fresh, relevant, and accurate are the most important parts to blogging and we will commit to that here at Virtucon.  – TB

13971_10152413601338269_9119573736322385648_n

Big Changes Are Coming To Virtucon…

Virginia Virtucon first went live March 23, 2006 after several of us split from another blog that we were affiliated with at the time. For nearly the past nine years I have played a major role with this blog, serving as Editor-in-Chief for most of that time. A lot of contributors have come and gone during those years while others have been with us this entire time. I am proud of the work that we have done here and also that we have had fun doing it. This is a passion for us – we don’t get paid, we do it because we have strongly held principles and beliefs that we want to apply to current events and share with our readers.

Today marks a new chapter in Virginia Virtucon’s history as I turn over the reigns to my successor as Editor-in-Chief, Terrence Boulden. As I look ahead to possible new endeavors, I want to ensure that what we have built with Virginia Virtucon lives on and I believe that is best served by having someone at the helm who can give it the full attention that it deserves. Terrence represents the best aspects of what Virtucon attempts to offer — thoughtful analysis, interesting policy prescriptions and a sense of humor.

While I am stepping back from the leadership role I have had here, I will still offer occasional commentary as time and circumstances may dictate. To use a FOX News analogy, think of Virtucon as Special Report. Brit Hume started it and then handed it off to Bret Baier who has taken it to the next level. Hume still makes the occasional brief appearance, but it is Baier’s show now. Please join me in wishing Terrence success in going forward and taking Virtucon to the next level!

- Jim Riley

Guest Post: Natural Gas – Virginia’s Small Business Boon

Guest Post by Willie Deutsch

In the 2014 Midterm Elections, voters supported candidates whose platforms focused on job creation for small businesses. This comes as no surprise, given that between 2005 and 2012 overall employment declined, adding the strain of economic turbulence to all of the other challenges small businesses face throughout the commonwealth. Most Virginians believe a healthy economy is reflected by small business growth, and they want policies that promote growth.

In a recent report by the Small Business and Entrepreneurship Council titled “Benefits of Natural Gas Production and Exports for U.S. Small Businesses,” economist Ray Keating explains how expanded natural gas production across the country has spurred job creation within the small business community, especially in Virginia. The report states that the Commonwealth’s production has expanded by over sixty-five percent from 2005 to 2012. As a result, businesses supporting oil and gas operations have quickly grown. For example, jobs within the oil and gas pipeline and related structures construction sector have grown by over 100 percent over the same period. While overall job growth was barely one percent, Virginia’s energy sector has continued to produce job and business growth opportunities.

These job increases correlate directly to Virginia’s small business community. According to the report, Virginia’s energy sector is overwhelmingly populated by small and mid-size businesses. In the five energy industries evaluated in his report, Keating notes that businesses with less than 500 employees make up at least 90 percent of employer establishments. Native small business enterprises are able to capitalize on the domestic shale revolution by hiring more employees to handle operations.

It would make sense, then, to support policies that allow oil and gas related small businesses to continue to grow. Unfortunately, current federal policies restricting natural gas exports undermine this effort. If Virginians want to support the continued expansion of oil and gas sector small businesses, it would be prudent to support unencumbered natural gas exports. As Economics 101 teaches us, a larger market will incentivize production which will in turn allow businesses to hire more employees. Doing so would create more jobs, increase GDP, and promote economic stability throughout the state.

Parisot vs. Johnson This Friday In Race To Replace Comstock (UPDATED x2)

This Saturday, Republicans in Virginia’s 34th House of Delegates district will choose their nominee in the race to replace Congresswoman-Elect Barbara Comstock:

The canvass (also known as a firehouse primary) will take place at Colvin Run Elementary School, 1400 Trap Road, Vienna, Virginia, 22182. Voting will be conducted from 10:00am to 2:00pm on November 15, 2014.

Craig Parisot and Al Johnson are working hard to get out the vote before Saturday’s primary to determine who will challenge Democrat Katherine Murphy (who lost to Comstock in 2013) in the January 6th Special Election.

Craig Parisot came out earlier this week with endorsements from Gov. George Allen and Rep. Tom Davis. Said former Senator and Governor Allen:

I’m proud to endorse Craig Parisot in the special election for the 34th House of Delegates district. As a family man, veteran and successful entrepreneur, Craig has the experience and background to help grow our economy and create jobs. Craig will be an energetic and strong voice for Virginia families in Richmond in the hardworking tradition of Barbara Comstock and I respectfully ask you to join me in supporting his campaign.

Al Johnson has the endorsement of his son in a column at National Review:

Putting familial bias aside, anyone in Virginia’s 34th district looking for a representative that upholds Barbara Comstock’s legacy should consider Johnson at this Saturday’s firehouse primary. Comstock and Al Johnson (I mean, dad) have résumés with many similarities: They both have private- and public-sector experience, have raised a family in the district and know the community well, and have been committed conservatives for years.

Johnson’s endorsement by Susan B. Anthony chair Jane Abraham backed up a National Review comment concerning the Johnson campaign polling on social issues. The other comments attacking Craig Parisot and George Allen show how contentious even short campaigns can be.

While the race will come down to turnout, Craig Parisot has an edge on social media with more Facebook likes and Twitter followers while Al Johnson’s Facebook page seems to get the most engagement in Guatemala. While not an exact measurement of enthusiasm or momentum behind races, it’s an odd tidbit with the election being tomorrow.

Check out both candidate’s websites for more information:

Craig ParisotFacebookTwitter

Al JohnsonFacebookTwitter

UPDATE: Fairfax Supervisor Pat Herrity has endorsed Craig Parisot for Delegate:

Now that we have Barbara Comstock elected to Congress, the focus shifts to making sure we have a great replacement for her Delegate seat. Tomorrow, Saturday, November 15th, there is an important firehouse primary election taking place at Colvin Run Elementary School between 10am and 2pm. You must live in the 34th House of Delegates district to participate in the firehouse primary,

I am fully supporting Craig Parisot in this primary. He is a leader in the community and a successful businessman who understands how to create jobs and grow Virginia’s economy.

If you or someone you know lives in the 34th House of Delegates District, which covers parts of McLean, Great Falls, and Loudoun County, please get (them) out to vote for Craig Parisot on Saturday, November 15th between 10am and 2pm at Colvin Run Elementary School at 1400 Trap Road in Vienna. You can check which district you are in at this link – http://whosmy.virginiageneralassembly.gov/

UPDATE x2: Word in the 34th is Al Johnson’s campaign and surrogates are allegedly contacting potential voters and saying that Craig Parisot is not pro-life and is weak on taxes. There is nothing to back up the statements critical of Craig Parisot — in fact, Parisot’s website is the only one to address abortion:

PRO-LIFE:
Having just welcomed my son Jackson into the world, I understand the importance of life. We must work to strengthen our families, support systems and give parents more rights.

Both candidates commit to lowering taxes on their issues pages.

In a short campaign span of a week and a half, misinformation goes a long way. One would hope that campaigns could commit to an honest exchange of idea and discourage smear tactics among fellow Republicans in any election, but there are plenty of elements at play here that go beyond Parisot and Johnson.

PWC-Loudoun Split Politically For First Time In Modern Era

I noticed something very interesting in last week’s election results. For the first time in at least 20 years, Prince William County and Loudoun County split in how they voted for the top of the ticket. While Ed Gillespie narrowly carried Loudoun County by about 0.5%, Mark Warner carried PWC by almost 3%. I have reviewed the top of the ticket for every statewide race in Virginia going all the way back to 1996 and this is the first instance of this occurring. As our friend “The Derecho” pointed out last week in his post-election summary, the approval of several high density developments in Prince William County by the Republican-dominated Board of Supervisors has ironically led the county to becoming more Democratic in its leanings. As he wrote:

It would be ironic however if the greatest source of campaign funds to several of our GOP Supervisors ultimately led to the loss of their seats as their districts become more dense and more blue.

I have been sounding the warning on this for years (and most recently predicted this outcome in June of this year.) I fear that we may have reached the tipping point now with this year’s election as PWC and Loudoun split. It doesn’t take rocket science to figure this out. Cities and the inner suburbs of many cities tend to vote Democratic. Just look at any map from the past 100 years or so. Why any political body controlled by Republicans would advance land use planning and other policies that would lead to their own political defeat is simply baffling. However, that is exactly what has been taking place in PWC for the past 15 years and has accelerated over the past five or so. More apartments, more townhouses, more condos only bring more Democratic voters.

For a review of the past several statewide elections that were at the top of the ticket and how PWC and Loudoun voted, see below. Given the trendlines, I would not be surprised to find this split becoming permanent.

2014:

Locality – LOUDOUN COUNTY
Candidate Votes Percent
Ed W. Gillespie Republican 45,500 49.08%
Mark R. Warner Democrat 45,042 48.59%

Locality – PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Candidate Votes Percent
Ed W. Gillespie Republican 45,366 47.49%
Mark R. Warner Democrat 48,140 50.39%

2013:

LOUDOUN COUNTY
Candidate Votes Percent
DEM Party Terry R. McAuliffe 44,369 49.55%
REP Party Ken T. Cuccinelli II 40,464 45.19%

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Candidate Votes Percent
DEM Party Terry R. McAuliffe 50,441 51.94%
REP Party Ken T. Cuccinelli II 42,431 43.69%

2012:

COUNTY/CITY CANDIDATE VOTE VOTE%
LOUDOUN COUNTY
Mitt Romney 75,292 47.03%
Barack Obama 82,479 51.53%

COUNTY/CITY CANDIDATE VOTE VOTE%
PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Mitt Romney 74,458 41.32%
Barack Obama 103,331 57.34%

2009:

COUNTY/CITY CANDIDATE VOTE VOTE%
LOUDOUN COUNTY
Robert F. “Bob” McDonnell 39,996 61.04%
R. Creigh Deeds 25,430 38.81%

COUNTY/CITY CANDIDATE VOTE VOTE%
PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Robert F. “Bob” McDonnell 43,993 58.70%
R. Creigh Deeds 30,847 41.16%

2008:

COUNTY/CITY CANDIDATE VOTE VOTE%
LOUDOUN COUNTY
Barack Obama and Joe Biden 74,845 53.66%
John McCain and Sarah Palin 63,336 45.41%

COUNTY/CITY CANDIDATE VOTE VOTE%
PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Barack Obama and Joe Biden 93,435 57.51%
John McCain and Sarah Palin 67,621 41.62%

2006:
LOUDOUN COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
J H Webb Jr Democratic 40,381 50.07%
G F Allen Republican 39,249 48.67%

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
J H Webb Jr Democratic 44,503 50.51%
G F Allen Republican 42,409 48.13%

2005:

LOUDOUN COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
T M Kaine Democratic 31,074 51.64%
J W Kilgore Republican 27,539 45.76%

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
T M Kaine Democratic 33,364 49.95%
J W Kilgore Republican 32,178 48.17%

2004:

LOUDOUN COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
Bush/Cheney Republican 60,382 55.69%
Kerry/Edwards Democratic 47,271 43.60%

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
Bush/Cheney Republican 69,776 52.84%
Kerry/Edwards Democratic 61,271 46.40%

2002:

LOUDOUN COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
J W Warner Republican 40,196 82.67%
N B Spannaus Independent 4,490 9.23%
J G Hornberger Independent 3,530 7.26%

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
J W Warner Republican 43,375 81.44%
N B Spannaus Independent 5,660 10.63%
J G Hornberger Independent 4,186 7.86%

2001:

LOUDOUN COUNTY
M L Earley (R) 53.44% 24,372
M R Warner (D) 45.84% 20,907

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
M L Earley (R) 52.35% 30,543
M R Warner (D) 46.79% 27,297

2000:

LOUDOUN COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
Bush/Cheney Republican 42,453 56.12%
Gore/Lieberman Democrat 30,938 40.89%

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
Candidates Party Vote Totals: Percentage
Bush/Cheney Republican 52,788 52.52%
Gore/Lieberman Democrat 44,745 44.52%

1997:

LOUDOUN COUNTY
D S BEYER JR (D) 13,697
J S GILMORE III (R) 20,997

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
D S BEYER JR (D) 18,110
J S GILMORE III (R) 32,049

1996:

LOUDOUN COUNTY
CLINTON/GORE (D) 19,942
DOLE/KEMP (R) 25,715

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
CLINTON/GORE (D) 33,462
DOLE/KEMP (R) 39,292

Canvass on November 15 for the 34th Delegate District

Now that Barbara Comstock is going to Congress (yeh!), her seat in the Virginia House of Delegates is open. The special election for the seat will be January 6. The Republican nomination for the special election will be decided this Saturday. There are two filed candidates to be the Republican Nominee: Allen Johnson and Craig Parisot,

The canvass (also known as a firehouse primary) will take place at Colvin Run Elementary School, 1400 Trap Road, Vienna, Virginia, 22182. Voting will be conducted from 10:00am to 2:00pm on November 15, 2014.

Steve Israel…doesn’t get it

In response to his party’s caucus shrinking to its lowest number in over 80 year, Rep. Steve Israel (D-NY, outgoing Congressional Campaign Chair) revealed a tone-deafness that, if shared by the rest of his caucus, could lead to even further shrinking.

Israel parroted the usual line we hear on the left these days – that the winning Republicans should “come into the middle” and work with Democrats (NROThe Corner), never mind that if voters had wanted Congress to be more amenable to Democrats’ wishes, they would have elected more actual Democrats.

Where Israel really goes off the rails is his insistence that the lame-duck Congress short-circuit the election (which at least in Louisiana is still ongoing) on “immigration reform” (same link):

Israel brought up corporate tax changes and, pointedly, immigration reform as issues on which the two parties can compromise.

“There really shouldn’t be any paralysis on this,” he said, noting that a Senate immigration bill has passed. “Let’s just pass it in the House,” he urged.

Let’s unpack this ass-hattery slowly.

First of all, there are good reasons why someone on either side of the argument on illegal immigration would have serious problems with the Senate’s immigration bill, chief among them the horrendous economic assumptions that “justify” it.  More to the point, a lame-duck session of Congress passing that bill would be a complete insult to the voters.

Lest we forget, John Boehner’s refusal to bring up the Senate immigration bill for a vote was one of the chief complaints thrown at him by the president, Senate Democrats, and just about everyone to the left of center in America. They hoped voters would send Boehner a message. Instead, voters sent him reinforcements.

Mitch McConnell was one of the 32 Senators who opposed the bill. Voters sent him reinforcements, too – eight so far, with perhaps one more coming in Louisiana.

Finally, of the 68 Senators who voted in favor of S.744, 5 Democrats lost their seats to Republicans (with one more, Mary Landrieu, likely to suffer the same fate), 4 have retired (3 of them Democrats to be replaced by Republicans), and one – Marco Rubio – has repudiated his vote. Even assuming no one else would vote differently (highly unlikely, especially given that McConnell will be more accommodating of amendments as Majority Leader), the bill could easily fail a cloture vote in the 2015 Senate. Whatever the voters of 2014 wanted, it sure wasn’t the Senate’s immigration bill.

Then again, Israel is trying to close his eyes to the voters anyway (same link again):

“In this election, one-third of voters chose a Democrat or Republican,” Israel said. “The other two-thirds just want us to get things done.”

Um…with all due respect, Steve, you don’t know what the other two-thirds want because they didn’t bother to vote.

If Israel (and the president) are any indication, the Democrats have decided that the non-voter is their perfect blank slate, upon which they can force any assumption and in whose they can put whatever words they like. That is a surefire recipe for a Republican president the next time actual voters get their say.

Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal

Virginia’s Winners and Losers

VV lists Virginia’s Winners and losers from Election Night. Did we miss someone? Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments below:

Winners:

1) Dave Brat – Out performed Eric Cantor last time out (percentage wise) and had more votes than any other Republican congressional candidate in the Commonwealth thanks in part to district but also not messing up a sure thing once he had the nomination.

2) Barbara Comstock – Turned a “competitive race” into a blowout. Ran a flawless campaign (good work, Susan Falconer!), weathered the Clintonites coming to town, handled national attention, focused on the issues, stayed positive. Is she the new leading light among Virginia Republicans?

3) Tim Kaine – Mark Warner’s wounded, Terry McAuliffe is Terry McAuliffe, Herring and Northam are runner ups right now, leaving Tim Kaine as the champion of Democratic statewide office. As Warner struggles, Kaine gains.

4) Virginia’s Republican Delegation – Part of this is the national wave, but Democrats were hoping to challenge Rigell and even Hurt yet neither of those opposition campaigns were able to get off the ground. Hopefully the Republican Reps took the opportunity to work on their networks and ground games for future runs because this was live exercise and 2016 will be different.

5) Ed Gillespie – Mark Warner spent millions trying to define him on an issue that most people don’t even remember. Ed’s within a point and well positioned to have run for another statewide office should he want it, even if he would face a challenge from his right.

6) Republican Party of Virginia – It’s been a rough couple of years for RPV. But a solid operation this year helped assist where it could and was absolutely mistake free. Candidates were helped, volunteers were utilized, operations were perfect.

Push:

1) Mark Warner – For the most popular and highest approval rated elected official to be this close to losing what should have been a safe seat (and without a macaca moment) is something Warner and his entire campaign should be ashamed of. It smacks of arrogance and a complete disregard for the people Warner supposedly represents. But he still won, so he stays out of the loser category.

2) GOP Grassroots vs. Establishment – Both sides came together for the most part to try and beat Mark Warner and help Brat win the 7th and Comstock with 10th. While the battle isn’t over, see what we can do when we work together?

3) Terry McAuliffe – Barely won last year, did nothing too audacious this year to rock the cart one way or another, he’s just there.

4) Ken Cuccinelli – Absent in Virginia. And after a string of primary losses for Senate Conservative Fund, absent across the nation. But lives to fight another day.

5) Bill Bolling – Also absent on the trail, but rooted for the right guys. Overall electorate showing was less than far right which may give Bill hope for a return, but tread carefully…

Losers:

1) John Foust – Turned a “competitive race” into a blowout. One of the worst run campaigns this cycle, wasted millions (including half a million of his own money), and set Democrats in the 10th District back quite a bit. And he lost his own Supervisor district by 6 points, meaning he has to watch his tail next year.

2) Democratic Party of Virginia – These guys were riding pretty high after last year’s sweep. But now? Yikes. Talk about asleep at the wheel. These guys were floundering out the gate, showed no messaging, no real effort, really gave up before the gates opened.

3) 7th District Democratic Committee – Is there one? Yes, this is a red district, but Bob McDonnell owned the headlines most of the summer, Dave Brat was an untested general election candidate, and the best they could do was Jack Trammell and not even a lackluster effort even then. Not that this was winnable, but they could have made Brat (and Gillespie) sweat. And they didn’t.

4) Bob McDonnell – Looking at the Gillespie/Warner numbers, one was to wonder how many points McDonnell’s trial took out of the Republican brand. Even if it was 1%, that’s the difference right now.

5) Arlington County Democrats – A jurisdiction that gave over 70% of its vote to Mark Warner chose a Republican endorsee for County Board of Supervisors. That’s an epic fail. When Ben Tribbett can call you a bunch of out-of-touch elitists, and be right about it, you have a serious problem.

6) “War On Women” – Foust tried it against Comstock, Connolly against Scholte, Democrats across the nation. It didn’t move the needle one bit – actually, it may have pushed it to Republicans.

7) Polls – From Cantor’s primary loss to Gillespie’s close race to Comstock’s blowout of Foust, no polling saw any of that coming. Turnout models were junk, methodology was questionable, and the public is quickly seeing polls as what they are: not true measures of public sentiment but as tools to create said sentiment.

A Conservitarian postmortem of the Virginia race that is not yet ended

The ink is not yet dry on this year’s elections, with a possible recount in VA and a runoff in Louisiana and several races undeclared across the country.

But that does not stop the postmortems from coming out. The curious case of Virginia is the topic of many already this year.

Ed Gillespie, left for dead with double-digit deficits in polling before the election, nearly pulled off the upset against incumbent Sen. Warner.

This sets off several questions worthy of consideration.

1. How?

This is a question with several answers.

-Warner ran a lackluster campaign. He took Gillespie lightly, not really laying a glove on him for all of the liberal kvetching over Gillespie’s Enron connections and other past resume fodder. The polls showed a strong win, so why chance raising Gillespie’s name ID the way Cantor did to Brat? Normally Warner’s strong approval rating would carry him.

-The Wave. Look at results across the country. Republicans typically polled between 3 and 9 points behind where they finished on Election Day. Even where there were bad Republican candidates (NC and Kansas were two examples), Republicans took all the late deciders as the nation delivered a message to President Obama. Even Thom Tillis, one of the worst Republican candidates of this or any cycle, overperformed to win despite being outspent 3-1. A Republican won in Maryland for governor for God’s sake! The Wave was massive and washed away and Dem in its path. Gillespie clearly benefitted from that.

-Establishment strategy. In most cycles, you actually have to tell people what you would do with the power you seek. Not this time. The Establishment strategy of keeping your head down and telling people what percentage of the time your opponent supported President Obama was effective this time because this electorate is reviled by Obama and his policies and incompetence. Gillespie ran low on substance (which is a problem when you need to govern or seek re-election), but this time it kept the focus off him and on Warner. I don’t think this strategy works in most cycles (see Cuccinelli, Ken; Allen, George; Thompson, Tommy; etc). But this time, it provided the Democrats fewer targets to hit, while allowing the natural anti-Obama environment to fill the room.

-The hard work of Republican activists all over Virginia, some of whom did not like Gillespie as the nominee but remained good Republicans and supported him anyway.

-The late bribery charges against Warner, which while they did not stick, did catch traction because of the corruption conviction of former Gov. Bob McDonnell. Virginians are tired of corruption among their political class and that weariness showed.

Overall, while lackluster, Gillespie ran a mistake-free campaign.

2. What happened on Election Day?

This is a tricky question.

Gillespie performed as a Republican needs to in most places. There was no special overperformance in Southwest Virginia; strength in Central Virginia. He won Loudoun, which McCain and Romney could not. He did not perform well in Fairfax, with only 40%; nor in Arlington or Alexandria (under 30% in each). Ideally you’d like to see a Republican with closer to 45% in Fairfax and 34% in the People’s Republic. Losing Prince William, Manassas, and Manassas Park is crushing; a Republican cannot win statewide without them. Even McCain took Manassas and MP.

The Richmond area was also a big problem. Gillespie lost Henrico by 12. Henrico used to be the center of the Marcus-Allen Republican machine; regardless of the rise of Democrat Eastern Henrico, a Republican MUST win Henrico to win statewide. Performance in Hanover is also not what you would ideally like it to be; Chesterfield was right on target however.

Hampton Roads was mildly disappointing. Chesapeake was a close win; Virginia Beach was strong but needed to be stronger, granted weakness in Henrico and elsewhere. Norfolk was disappointing. It would appear that African-American voters heard the President’s pleas to come out and save Warner’s backside.

Nelson and Caroline counties are usually good indicators of how the state goes; if they go Republican, the Republican usually wins. They went for Warner this time.

Libertarian Robert Sarvis scored 50,000 votes and 3%. Some have cursed his voters, but history has shown with Sarvis that his voters are very rarely Republican; most likely they would have stayed home. Issues like the Patriot Act, Drug War and others would have put them crossways with both Warner and Gillespie. Ultimately, a candidate’s votes are earned. If you didn’t earn them, they don’t belong to you anyway.

3. What does it all mean?

Ahh, a very tricky question.

For Warner, it means the end of his presidential aspirations. If the investigation for corruption yields an indictment, he is done- and may have to resign. His aura of invincibility is shattered. This may hurt Tim Kaine as well, who is well known for being Warner’s lap dog.

For Gillespie, tough to say. A close loss is still a loss, just ask George Allen, who lost by a closer margin than Gillespie did in 2006 and never recovered, losing again in 2012. A Republican who cannot pull it out during a cycle like this one or 2010, probably never will. It is not very frequent that you get a situation where the wind is THIS much at the Republican’s back; most cycles, a Republican will need to run a stronger campaign to win in Virginia- take more positions, raise more money.

This is not to say others could have done better, necessarily. What ifs are common in close losses but rarely useful. Write-ins were no more a factor in this election than any other (ie, their numbers were comparable to past elections). Warner is still the most popular politician in Virginia, and that is no small thing.

Some in the Washington Times and different bloggers here in VA have been floating Gillespie already for Governor for 2017- something that was rumored to be his goal all along.

History has not been kind to retreads in Virginia however. George Allen lost in 2006 by less than Gillespie did; that loss was still the end of his political career. Virginia moved on without him. Jim Gilmore last won in 1997, his 2008 loss to Warner was a blowout. Bob Marshall barely lost to Jim Gilmore in the 2008 convention and has never been close in any Federal office run since. And you always run the risk of being labelled the “perennial candidate”. Fundamentally, there is never the guarantee the dynamics behind one election will be there for any others.

We in Virginia are hard on newcomers; we tend to embrace the comfortable known rather than give a new guy (or gal) a chance. The Virginia Republican bench is deep and getting deeper. 2017 and 2018 are a long way off, and the Virginia GOP is riding a 6-race statewide losing streak. We have had a number of close losses there; it’s time to open the field of ideas, stand for something (lower taxes?), and do as Margaret Thatcher advised:

“First you win the argument; THEN you win the election.”

Tax issue helped Republicans expand the wave election (too bad Virginia Republicans took it away from Gillespie)

Disaffection with the president was a major driver for Republican success in last night’s election – of that there is no doubt. That said, the extent of success was greatly helped by…wait for it…taxes.

We begin with the epicenter of the tax argument: Kansas. Governor Sam Brownback’s tax reduction were supposed to be his own worst enemy – a political millstone that might not only drag him down, but Senator Pat Roberts, too. Instead, Roberts won going away, and Brownback not only won re-election, but came within 100 votes of an absolute majority (a Libertarian nominee took 4% of the vote). AP (via the Lawrence Journal-World), explains why in their exit poll analysis:

TAX CUTS: Roughly half of the voters said that tax cuts Brownback pushed had mostly helped Kansas, while about two in five said they had hurt.

So the tax cuts broke roughly 10 ten points in Brownback’s favor, contrary to the conventional wisdom…not that this is any surprise to me.

In the rest of the country, the tax issue popped up in referenda. John Hood (NRO – The Corner) has the details:

It’s worth noting also that conservatives won all of the nation’s big fiscal-policy referenda this year, beating a gas-tax hike in Massachusetts and business-tax hike in Nevada, while winning tax limitations in Tennessee, Georgia, and Wisconsin.

Note the states listed: Massachusetts also elected a Republican Governor. In Georgia, both Republicans (Purdue for Senate and Governor Deal for re-election) managed to avoid runoff and win outright (yet another “surprise” for the chattering classes). Finally, of course, Wisconsin re-elected Governor Scott Walker with unexpected ease.

Finally, there is Maryland, where I must spend two nights a week for work. As such, I saw every add Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown (D) put up in his race to succeed his previous running mate, Governor Martin O’Malley. Brown’s ads ran the gamut of positive and negative, hard-hitting issue ads and soft-touch personal ones. By contrast, I only saw one ad for Republican Larry Hogan – an ad that tried to squeeze in all of O’Malley’s tax increases in 30 seconds (practically one per second), along with a promise to give taxpayers a rest if he (Hogan) won.

In fact, Hogan did win.

Similarly, Illinois Governor Pat Quinn used major tax increases to keep his state government afloat. Despite being in the president’s home state, Quinn lost to Republican Bruce Rauner last night.

Again, anger and disaffection with the president was the big driver here, but voters especially rewarded Republicans where they could also take advantage of the tax issue…

…which makes one wonder what could have happened in Virginia had Republican Ed Gillespie not had the headwinds of tax-hiking Republican Bob McDonnell to face.

I’m just sayin’.

Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal

ELECTION DAY OPEN THREAD – Share Your Stories Here!

Polls are now open in the Commonwealth of Virginia and will remain open until 7 p.m. tonight. So long as you are in line by 7 p.m., you will be allowed to vote.

Have you voted yet? How long did it take you to get through the line? What sort of turnout has there been in your precinct so far? How were the various campaigns and parties represented at your polling place? Share your stories here throughout the day and keep checking back to see what others are saying!

Foust Rally With Warner CANCELLED

There was supposed to be a GOTV rally in Sterling tonight with John Foust, Mark Warner and Tim Kaine. Yesterday, they cancelled it:

DemRally

But none of the others across the state. When asked by the Washington Post why the cancellation:

A planned rally in Sterling for Foust and Warner was canceled, with both campaigns saying that they decided to focus on getting out the vote rather than pulling volunteers off the street the evening before the election.

“[W]e made the smart tactical decision to deploy our resources reaching-out to thousands of targeted voters to remind them to vote on Tuesday rather than building a rally on Monday night,” Warner spokesman David Turner said.

Warner and Foust made a tactical decision to schedule the rally late last week in the first place. So what’s changed?

Bearing Drift speculates:

Are Democrats fleeing from John Foust? Or was the unorganized and suddenly vulnerable Mark Warner relying on John Foust’s campaign to set up the event only to find out that Foust is in no position to save himself let alone Warner?

Either way, this is a terrible sign for both campaigns in the 10th Congressional District. Either they’re both so disorganized they can’t get this event together, or they’ve both given up.

Either way, for them to suddenly say it’s a “tactical decision” to cancel is a weak excuse.

Mark Warner’s Final Pitch: “Everything is AWESOME!!!”

Really? Keep Virginia and the U.S. going in the RIGHT DIRECTION?!?!?!?!?

It appears to me that a vast majority of the electorate would disagree with Mark Warner that the country is going in the right direction. In fact, here are the actual numbers — only 27.8% of the country thinks we’re on the right track compared to 66% that think we’re on the wrong track.

Mark Warner has run the most vapid reelection campaign in recent memory. He has begun to remind me of the “President Business” character in this year’s hit “LEGO Movie.” What’s next? Taco Tuesday? A guest appearance on the hit show “Honey, Where’s My Pants?” Maybe we should start calling him “Senator Business” if he’s going to adopt “Everything is AWESOME” as his campaign mantra. (He’s such a fool that he would probably think that was a complement.)

Warner’s Obamacare and Its Cost to You

 Out of pocket expenses have risen by 300%.  The price of premiums for working families have gone up in VA by 15%  So now healthcare premiums are in the $20,000-$25,000 range with a $10,000 deductible.  A typical mortgage in VA is half that much.  This is the fundamental change Obama has talk about, and Warner has voted for.  Warner is no moderate.  Warner should not be representing Virginia.