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    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


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    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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Marky Mark won’t take his show on a U.S. Tour

National Journal is reporting that former VA Gov. Marky Mark may not be making a run at the WH in ‘08.

Ex-VA Gov. Mark Warner plans to make a major announcement today about his 2008 presidential bid, three Virginia Democratic sources said. According to two Virginia Democrats who have been formally briefed, Warner is expected to say that he has decided not to run for president in 2008. Warner will speak to Virginia reporters at 11:00 am ET. A Warner spokeswoman declined to comment.

UPDATE:

We now have confirmation.

The AP’s Bob Lewis and the Washington Post’s Michael Shear both have Dem sources confirming that Warner has decided not to run for president.

We’re still not able to pinpoint the reason.

Warner had campaign stops in Iowa planned for today. Sources close to Warner told the Hotline in September that Warner, after a long vacation with his family over the summer, had decided to run and was planning to open his exploratory committee in early winter.

I wonder if this has anything to do with the growing knowledge of just how incompetent his administration was — misplacing hundreds of millions of dollars here and there?

UPDATE: Here is the statement from Marky Mark himself.

Categories: 2008 Elections_, National Politics_, Virginia Politics_

4 Responses

  1. I think the problem is he was incompetent enough to win the Dem. nomination.

    As hard as he tried, he realized, 4 year just isn’t enough. It take more then that to be incompetent enough to win the Demoncrat nomination.

    It’ll be cool to see Bob McDonnell squash him like the bug he is in 2009.

  2. If you’ll recall, when Bob Kerrey mentioned a possible run for President, the story came out about his possible war crimes in Vietnam. Now Warner politely steps adside….Team Clinton strikes again.

  3. [...] making all the connections he had to, opening offices in Iowa and New Hampshire. Then, suddenly, he pulled the plug. (We’ll have to wait until later this year to learn the real reasons for [...]

  4. [...] the WashPo today, I took note that Marc Fisher is now floating a new excuse as to why Marky Mark suddenly and mysteriously dropped out of the presidential race: Some in Virginia politics say Warner dropped his own [...]

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