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    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)

    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

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    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

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    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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The Hunt Is On…

Posted on April 3, 2007 by Riley

Filed under: 2008 Elections, National Politics

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One Response

  1. Bruce, on April 5th, 2007 at 9:46 am Said:

    “What’s his plan, son? A russian sailor doesn’t take a dump without a plan.” I’m imagining neither does a former Senator and watergate attorney.

    I must admit to being annoyed at media articles that compare Sen. Thompson to Pres. Reagan as actors.

    President Reagan was a career journalist and actor who through his work in the union became politically active and rose to hold our highest office.

    Sen. Thompson was a career attorney who was asked to play himself in a movie about Watergate and then explored an acting career. He had serious legal and legislative experience before running for political office.

    While his acting has improved his visibility, on the basic merits he was more qualified to seek elective office than Reagan was.

    That being said, it is clear that experience is not everything. President Reagan proved to be one of our best leaders. Al Gore had served as Vice President, Senator and Representative while George W Bush had simply served as Governor of Texas. I am glad the latter won.

    Perhaps that is why I am most intrigued by the candidacy of Gov. Romney. He has diverse experience in business, running an international organization during the Olympics, and as Governor of a liberal state (much like Reagan had experience governing California).

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