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    "That some should be rich, shows that others may become rich, and, hence, is just encouragement to industry and enterprise."

    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


    "The supply-side claim is not a claim. It is empirically true and historically convincing that with lower rates of taxation on labor and capital, the factors of production, you'll get a bigger economy."

    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



  • Special Election – Jan 12, 2010

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    In a fight between Jim Webb and Ollie North, who would win? Oh, that's right, we already know the answer to that question.



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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A Half-Hour With Newt Gingrich

     Wednesday evening, I had the honor of spending a half-hour participating in a discussion between Newt Gingrich and a group of conservative Virginia bloggers.

     I have to say, the time went very quickly, but a few things stand out. When he made the point of what a terrible job the Administration has been doing recently of communicating a message, I asked if he thought the mission in Iraq was beyond help from a public relations standpoint, or if there was still a chance the American people could be brought back to the importance of accomplishing the mission. I thought his answer was interesting. His foundation recently conducted a poll in which they asked asked people if the United States should defend herself against her enemies, and, by an 83-10 margin, the American people said yes. They then asked a somewhat harder question, “Do you thing the United States should defeat her enemies.” Even then, by a 75-16 margin, respondents said yes. What this says is that public support for finishing the job in Iraq can be regained if the issue is presented in that context.

     He also made another observation I thought was interesting. In talking about the immigration bill recently defeated, he made the point that this was a clear case of a true grassroots movement rising up and overcoming the establishment of both parties, and that, when that particular battle first started, he honestly wasn’t sure at first, until he saw how much energy really existed at the grassroots level, if that fight could be won.

     Overall, the Speaker’s decision to spend 30 minutes chatting with a group of bloggers is a real testament to thegrowing power of what he terms the “horizontal media,” rather than the “new media.” He calls it that because it is a form of media in which everyone has an equal voice, rather than being filtered through an editorial staff of some sort.

     Very special thanks to Jim Hoeft and Shaun Kenney for setting this event up and extending the invitation to participate.

2 Responses

  1. Excellent report, PR!

  2. Great job with this. You just have to love history professors like Newt. They understand and put things in a different context than lawyers do as politcians. Still see him getting in around November. In debate formats he would crush all comers right now.

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