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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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A hint at what’s to come for Mark Warner

Don’t say we didn’t tell you…

5 Responses

  1. How can a site that posts pix and quotes of Ronald Reagan and Abraham Lincoln support Rudy Giuliani or Fred Thompson?Did you people take the blue pill? The ONLY candidate that even remotely comes close to the ideals of Reagan is Ron Paul. And quite, frankly, as much as I love the memory of Abraham Lincoln, I would not have much trouble with Dr Paul if he seriously disagreed with President Lincoln’s suspension of habeus corpus, though I am certain, that the good doctor loves how Mr Lincoln told those NY bankers (who wanted 30% interest to make loans to the govt for Mr Lincoln’s war) where to stick it, and then created the “greenbacks”, which served us until the govt gave up and created the Fed. Resv. Bank system of thievery. Somebody, wake up Andy Jackson!

  2. It’s a PaulNut!

  3. I suppose you could say it’s funny, but this is just a useless, meaningless ad.

    What’s the point? To remind people that we don’t know why he didn’t run, or as seems obvious, to suggest that there is some terrible secret in his life that forced him out?

    If there was knowledge of an event, and that was relevant to his fitness for office, then by all means get it out so we can all be educated.

    But guilt-by-insinuation doesn’t really help anybody, and just seems so liberal. Warner is wrong for Virginia, he’s wrong on the issues, he’s wrong because he can’t be trusted to do what he says, and not do what he says he won’t do.

    It’s liberals who have no good ideas that win elections by smearing candidates with innuendo and baseless suggestions of wrongdoing.

    When we act like them, we validate their tactics, and lose the moral high ground to people who don’t deserve to occupy that slot.

  4. Charles, it is not for us here to decide the timing to release what will be released. That’s way above our paygrade (which is zero for doing this.)

    It is not useless or meaningless in that it piques curiousity, raises questions and prepares people for the answers that will eventually come. I’ve heard that the Warner camp is already bracing for more and were rattled just by this little bit that someone did. Wait until the real political ammo is used.

  5. [...] haven’t taken too kindly to his rebellion against her.  So it is that yesterday, we all got a small taste of what is to come for Marky Mark in what we are now hearing is the video he does not want you to [...]

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