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    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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Setting the Record Straight on Chuck Colgan

This just in:

29th Senate District Fact Sheet

Senator Charles J. Colgan has begun circulating material called “Colgan Straight Talk”. The material has appeared on blogs and the Senator’s own website. Colgan does not offer any citations in his materials. Below is a partial listing of votes and quotes made by Colgan that directly contradict his recent materials and quotes in today’s Potomac News.

Colgan: I do NOT SUPPORT any increase in the gas tax

Colgan sponsored legislation that would have increased the gas and diesel taxes by 7 cents per gallon. (SB 357, 2004)

Colgan voted for an additional 5% tax on gasoline. (2/17/06 Floor Vote on SB 708, 2/14/06 Finance Vote on SB 708)

Colgan said “I would place a 5-percent sales tax on the wholesale price of gasoline and diesel fuel.” (3/7/07 Gainesville Times)

“Colgan said a gas tax would be a much simpler way to raise money for roads.”( 7/27/07 Potomac News)

“Senator Chuck Colgan is correct. His position is that if more money is needed for roads then increase the gas tax and do away with the punitive draconian new rules on fines for only Virginia motorists.” (8/6/07 Potomac News Letter to the Editor from Colgan Supporter)

“I would have much preferred a simpler bill. For example, a modest increase in the gasoline tax is the ultimate user fees. (8/16/07 ColganforSenate.org)

•Colgan: I do NOT SUPPORT allowing in-state tuition for illegal immigrants

Colgan voted to give in-state tuition benefits to illegal immigrants. (2/19/03 Floor Vote on Saslaw Substitute to HB 2339)

Colgan voted to give in-state tuition benefits to illegal immigrants. (1/23/2007 Floor Vote on SB 1204)

Colgan recently affirmed his support for giving in-state tuition to illegal immigrants. (2007 Virginia Catholic Conference Survey)

• Colgan: I do SUPPORT changing the State transportation funding formula to return more money to our region

When asked if he supported changing the transportation funding formula at the Committee of 100 Forum on October 4, Senator Colgan said:

“I don’t know whether that I would favor that frankly!” and “We have 40,000 outhouses in Southwest Virginia. We have to be concerned about those people. If we have to take some money out of Northern Virginia and give it to these folks, God bless them and I hope we can.”

• Colgan: I do not support state benefits for illegal immigrants

Colgan voted against denying non-emergency state benefits to illegal immigrants. (2/25/2005 Floor Vote on HB 1798 and 2/8/2005 Floor Vote on SB 1143)

Colgan recently affirmed his support for providing illegal immigrants with state subsidized worker’s compensation (2007 Virginia Catholic Conference Survey)

• Colgan: I am against registering illegal immigrants to vote

Colgan twice voted against closing a loophole that allowed illegal immigrants and other non-citizens to register to vote. (2/26/2006 Floor Vote on SB 313 and 2/27/06 Floor Vote on HB 170)

•Colgan: I fought against the abuser fee hard than anyone else in the Senate

Colgan voted for abuser fees that only Virginians would have to pay. (4/4/2007 Floor Vote on HB 3202)

Now THOSE are the facts, Chuck.


Bob FitzSimmonds
29th Senate District

 

One Response

  1. Excellent research. I might steal some of it for a column.

    I don’t get Colgan saying he opposes a gas tax. I actually wrote a COLUMN where I agreed with him about raising the gas tax, and now he’s denying he said it? Wow.

    I also don’t get his “no illegals instate tuition”. He voted FOR the exception, he voted AGAINST the house version which removed the exception, and he answered that he supported it in the voter questionare.

    And now he says he always opposed it?

    What did they do with the real Chuck Colgan, the one that was reasonably pro-life (see the catholic voting guide), EVEN opposing state funding of stem cell research?

    The guy they have running now is attacking his opponent for being pro-life. Has Colgan completely lost it?

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