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    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


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    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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99th HOD District

With Rob Wittman’s election to Congress the 99th HOD seat now becomes vacant and will need to be filled by special election.  It’ll be interesting to see when the Governor finds time to schedule that election.

 So far Albert Pollard has all but entered the race from the Democrat side.  On the Republican side, as previously reported by Virginia Virtucon, there is a solid Republican candidate emerging.  Word is that Austin Roberts, President and CEO of the Bank of Lancaster will be throwing his hat into the ring.  Roberts brings plenty of cash with him into the race. 

 Should be another interesting special election to watch.

Republican Candidate
99th House of Delegates District of Virginia
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11 Responses

  1. [...] VV’s Hirons notes, the Republicans have a terrific challenger of their own: Austin Roberts, CEO of Bay Banks [...]

  2. [...] name is already being dropped for the seat.  However, the GOP is not rolling over.  Word is out that “Austin Roberts, President and CEO of the Bank of Lancaster will be throwing his hat [...]

  3. That’s the third name thus far for Republican Candidates for the 99th seat. The other two possible are Bob Barlow, King George and LeeAnn Washington, White Stone.

  4. You might want to ask your boy Austin Powers about this $500 donation to Albert Pollard in 2001 when Pollard was in a race against another Republican:

    http://www.vpap.org/donors/results_level3.cfm?fmkey=INP000262257&tokey=COM00393&Year=All

  5. That was supposed to be “Austin Roberts”. Meh, Freudian slip I guess.

  6. [...] 23, 2007 at 7:53 am (2008 election, Caroline County, Local, Virginia) One of the persons rumored to be running for the Republican nomination for the 99th HOD seat is Austin L. Roberts, III, who is [...]

  7. It’s quite a surprise that the 99th District GOP Chair has decided essentially to “close the door” to any other persons who might be interested in running for the vacant HOD seat two weeks prior to the published cutoff date. What does the current (and only) “nominee” have that the District Chair would close the process prematurely to anyone else who would like to throw a hat in the ring? Does this “nominee” have any political experience? Activity in prior campaigns? Sufficient funds to launch a successful campaign? Organizational presence in the six counties which she hopes to represent? Is there perhaps a “hidden agenda” which might be shared between the Chair and the “nominee?” Not that she might or might not be a viable candidate, but a fast train just seems to have swept through the nominating process.

  8. According to the call, the candidates had to prefile by the 1st of January. According to the paper, only one candidate filed by the 1st.

  9. I will be voting for Catherine Crabill, a woman full of integrity and grace. Yes there are alot of untrue statements running around – that is ugly politics for you. If you only knew how strong and what she believes in. She does have a website you should visit. You would know more about this wonderful, intelligent woman of great integrity – standing for the people and with the people. And what is this about our Austin Powers – and you say money? Is this race about money or integrity and standing up for what the people are praying for. Don’t underestimate this wonderful woman -

  10. I’m sorry did I say Powers? Of course I meant Roberts.

  11. Must have been the influence of “Virtucon” (which also happens to be the name of Dr. Evil’s legitimate corporation) that made you think of Austin Powers.

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