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    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


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    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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Does Huckabee WANT To Make McCain Mad?

By remaining in the GOP race and actively campaigning to win states despite it being impossible to catch McCain in the delegate count (Romney dropped out for this reason and he had twice the delegates that Huckabee did), Mike Huckabee is not only damaging the party by forcing McCain to spend money that could otherwise be aimed at the Dems, but also serving to make McCain mad at him.  Don’t forget, McCain can and does hold grudges.  Some are saying that SC Gov. Mark Sanford may be off McCain’s short list for VP simply because he didn’t back him in the 2000 primary.

If Huckabee keeps this up, there is no way that McCain will select him for VP.  At this rate, Huckabee will be lucky to be named Chairman of the President’s Council on Physical Fitness.  (Even if that post is somehow number 1,187 in the line of presidential succession, Huckabee doesn’t even deserve that.)

6 Responses

  1. The VP has to be a figure like Sonny Perdue or Haley Barbour or another conservative with unquestionable credentials on both life and taxes. Neither Romney or Huckabee fit this.

    Don’t you see what’s happening? Huckabee is campaigning for himself NOT against John McCain. I have never heard him say one thing bad against McCain. He is winning some southern states and then he will make a strong case for McCain to unify everyone.

    Huckabee knows he will NOT be the VP but he will have a very choice cabinet position should McCain win.

    I never realized there was such a divide between fiscal and pro-life conservatives until this year. This got really exposed with no well rounded candidate. Clearly the pro-family people are all with Huckabee and right now the fiscal conservatives are somewhat left out after Romney left the race. I have never seen conservatives in general so divided. One group hated Romney and the other hated Huckabee.

    If McCain were smart he should promise both Romneyand Huckabee major cabinet posts and policy positions. The secretary of treasury could go to Romney and health and human services to Huckabee. This could go a long ways in healing the rifts.

  2. My guess is that Phil Gramm has the lock on Treasury Secretary given that he is McCain’s top economic advisor. I still think that McCain should go with a Governor, though Perdue of Georgia does have a tax hike record, I think. Sanford would be the better choice.

  3. I agree with you. For Huckabee to win, he would have to win 95% of the remaining delegates (including those in LA and WA). That is assuming he wins winner-take-all VA (RCP avg has McCain up by 30 points), Maryland, DC, VT (winner-take-all), PA, etc. He should do the right thing and drop out and let the Democrats fight it out until convention. We could be using this time to unite.

  4. With Huckabee’s popularity in Arkansas, he should go back there and run against Pryor for the Senate Seat. This is a way he can help the party, by taking back this seat for the Republicans.

  5. Mike Huckabee is a very experienced, intelligent, and level headed guy. I believe he will not harm himself, and accomplish precisely what it is that he wants.

  6. John McCain can’t and won’t win without Mike Huckabee on the ticket.

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