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    "That some should be rich, shows that others may become rich, and, hence, is just encouragement to industry and enterprise."

    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


    "The supply-side claim is not a claim. It is empirically true and historically convincing that with lower rates of taxation on labor and capital, the factors of production, you'll get a bigger economy."

    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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Is Senator Cuccinelli In?

Senator Ken Cuccinelli will make it official on Monday in Fairfax.  Will he or won’t he be a candidate for Attoney General.

 Fairfax, Virginia, March 28, 2008  – Virginia State Senator Ken Cuccinelli (R-37th) today scheduled a press conference for Monday, March 31st at 12:30 pm. The press conference will occur in front of the Fairfax County Government Center, 12000 Government Center Parkway; Fairfax, Virginia 22035.
Cuccinelli will address his intentions regarding the 2009 race for the Republican nomination for Virginia Attorney General: “Having had some time at home after the General Assembly session, my wife and I have made some decisions about this race that are now final enough to share.”Cuccinelli, a partner in the law firm of Cuccinelli & Day, PLLC, was first elected to the Senate of Virginia in a 2002 special election. He serves on the Senate Courts of Justice Committee and has worked closely with the Attorney General’s office on key public safety and public interest legislation.

 

11 Responses

  1. I am hearing that Cuccinelli won’t run. Bolling’s announcement last week now makes the AG post an eight year stretch. With 5 kids, Ken has made the decision he can’t afford to hold the post for that length of time. I also have heard that Paul Harris may be getting back in.

  2. [...] Virginia Virtucon:  Is Senator Cuccinelli In? [...]

  3. I think if Cuccinelli does not run ,Sen. Obenshain will be the ideological choice for those who currently support Cuccinelli. In a convention setting, he would be difficult to impossible to beat, should he decide to run.

    A few others who are interested have zero name ID like Paul Harris and a U.S. states attorney, I can’t think of this name. Somone has been on the blogs pushing him. Steve Baril I guess could decide to run again as well.

  4. How can you say Harris doesn’t have name recognition.? He has been one of the most popular guys in the GOP for a number of years, and, unlike Cucc, he hasn’t voted for any tax inceases. BTW, the US Attorney is John Brownlee.

  5. Well, he doesn’t have name ID compared to either Cuccinelli or Obenshain. I would say most have never grassroots committee folks have never heard of him and I know very little about him. Does that make him a bad candidate? No, it just gives him that much more work. Someone like Obenshain has very large ID like Cuccinelli, because he is a leader among the conservatives in the state senate fighting liberal Republicans and well his father was a legend, that helps. If Cuccinelli drops, its Obenshains easily if he wants it. BTW, I think Cuccinelli will run. I don’t believe at all that Bolling will be entitled to the nomination for governor just because he is sitting out this year.

  6. [...] is at Virtucon, Too Conservative, Spark It Up, and Mason Conservative to name a few.  I think Republicans are [...]

  7. mytwocents — Heck, Bolling may even opt to run against Webb for the U.S. Senate in 2012 leaving open the gov. race in 2013.

  8. I should clarify, I am a big Bolling fan and no slight was intended.
    Bolling would be an excellent candidate to go against Webb!!! Unlike the M. Warner situation we are facing right now, there will be no shortage of qualified candidates ready and willing to take on Webb. I just don’t like getting into the habit of coronating our candidates for governor or any statewide office for that matter without any party competition. I think a sense of leadership entitlement in creaping into our great party on several fronts over the past few cycles for governor.

  9. I say Cuccinelli runs for AG and then Governor in 2013

  10. I think the Monday press conference is getting too low key a build up. I think he is going to say he is not running for AG.

  11. It turns out I was completely wrong.

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