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    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


    "The supply-side claim is not a claim. It is empirically true and historically convincing that with lower rates of taxation on labor and capital, the factors of production, you'll get a bigger economy."

    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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Statement from Steve Baril

2005 Attorney General candidate Steve Baril today issued the following statement regarding his intentions in the 2009 elections:

From the Desk of Steve Baril

April 7, 2008

Dear Friends and Supporters,

     Over the last several days, many friends and supporters have asked me whether I intend to be a candidate for Attorney General in 2009.  With the General Assembly session behind us and Lt. Governor Bill Bolling’s recent announcement, many are now looking ahead to the 2009 statewide races.
 
     In fairness to my family, the Republican Party and my many friends who are encouraging me again to seek public office, I feel now is the time to make my intentions known.  Despite my abiding interest in public service, and good government, I will not be a candidate for Attorney General in 2009.
 
     My first responsibility is to Mary and our three children, who are now 15, 14 and 11.  Elizabeth, Sydney and Dalton are involved in many wonderful activities at school and church.  I am as proud of them as any parent can be.  It is important to me, and I think to them, that I be there to support them as they happily supported me as a candidate just a few years ago.  While Mary’s health is fully restored, and she would relish another run for statewide office, I do not believe it is my calling today.  I believe I can better serve in other ways at this time.
 
     As you know, I am a partner at the Williams Mullen law firm.  During my last campaign my partners at Williams Mullen were a great source of strength and encouragement for me.  Since then, I have been given new leadership roles at the firm.  I am excited about these opportunities for me and Williams Mullen and am committed to seeing them through.
 
     Over the last four years, I have remained active in my support of our Party and its values.  I worked hard with The Family Foundation helping to pass the marriage amendment, and I have worked for our candidates for public office, helping raise money and working on new policies to improve the Commonwealth.  Please know that I am not retiring from public service or politics.  There are and will be many opportunities for me to serve in the future.  I will play a leadership role in the 2009 campaign on behalf of Bob McDonnell, Bill Bolling and the nominee for Attorney General.  I am excited about that opportunity.
 
     As always, I remain a proud American, a proud Virginian, and a proud Republican.
God Bless,
Steve Baril
Steve Baril is a longtime loyal Republican. He ran a graceful campaign in 2005 and has not stopped working for the party in the years since. I know all of us join in wishing him and his family the very best.

 

 

One Response

  1. Dianne and I wish you and your family the best of luck and good fortune in your political and legal career. Hope to see you at HSC

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