Beavis Invites You To Butt-Head’s Campaign Kickoff

Poll Accuracy Based Results

Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)

Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

----------------

(If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

13. FOX (11/1-2)

14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

18. Marist College (11/3)

19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

23. Newsweak (10/22-23)