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    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


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    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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What Changes to PWC Anti-Illegal Immigration Policy Really Mean

There has been discussion in various places over what the changes the Prince William BOCS made to their anti-illegal immigration policy really mean, most spurred by the incorrect headline in today’s WashPo.

Well, here’s a brief run down:

Before — only after probable cause was established could someone who was arrested be questioned on their immigration status.
Now — everyone who is arrested will be questioned on their immigration status.

Before — anyone stopped for a minor traffic offense was checked against the NCIC database for immigration violations.
Now — no change.

Before — police had discretion in whether to determine they should ask about one’s immigration status and were only mandated to do so if they found probable cause.
Now — police still have that discretion, but no longer have the burdensome probable cause standard to deal with.

Also, keep in mind that being arrested does not necessarily mean you will be taken to jail.  Simply being detained and issued a citation is a form of arrest.  If you are in police custody, you can and will be checked.

This all said, we need to make sure that Police Chief Charlie Deane does not seek to influence or restrict officers’ discretion in any way.  He has been opposed to this crackdown from the get go and done everything within his power to try and gut it.  He bears close watching.

A final aside, officials in the county tell me that for every one illegal alien deported, 30 others are self-deporting.  That in itself is a success story for the rule of law.

One Response

  1. [...] Stewart Sets The Record Straight Posted on April 30, 2008 by Riley As we noted before, PWC actually enhanced its crackdown on illegal aliens last night. Now, PWC Chairman Corey Stewart [...]

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