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    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


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    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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NYPost Raises Cantor for VP

Virginia sure is getting its share of VP speculation this year. On the Dem side, we’re being bombarded with stories about Sen. Thinskin “Beavis” Gump (D-WashPo), Gov. Timmy! and former Gov. Marky Mark. What has gone less noticed is the growing chorus on the GOP side that is talking about U.S. Rep. Eric Cantor to serve as Sen. John McCain’s running mate. Conservativa today links to a NYPost column that puts forward Cantor for the position.

Eric Cantor is already a star within the party and a future leader of it. He has quickly risen to the No. 4 spot in the House and is on track to go even higher within the next few years. We could very well see a Speaker Cantor within the next 10 years. Would he give the prospect of that up for the possibility of being VP? It isn’t as if McCain’s election is a given here. However, I’ve been checking Virginia election law and do not see where a candidate is prohibited from running for two federal offices during the same election.  In fact, the closest that the Virginia Constitution even gets to this issue is:

nothing in this Constitution shall limit the power of the General Assembly to prevent conflict of interests, dual officeholding, or other incompatible activities by elective or appointive officials of the Commonwealth or of any political subdivision.

It appears that the General Assembly has not voted to prevent someone from holding dual offices (although that would not preempt federal law on the subject) nor has it addressed the related issue of running for two seats in the same election. Therefore, it would appear based upon this cursory examination that Cantor could run for reelection to his House seat while running as McCain’s VP (and by extension Marky Mark could run for U.S. Senate and as Obama’s VP nominee.)

UPDATE: D.J. McGuire at The Right Wing Liberal had a little more time on his hands than I did earlier and has uncovered that Virginia DOES seem to permit one to run for two different offices in the same election if a candidate for federal or statewide office.

2 Responses

  1. [...] You CAN run for VP and something else in Virginia When I first saw this post from Riley (Virginia Virtucon), I have to admit I was skeptical.  Conventional wisdom in the Commonwealth has held that a person [...]

  2. [...] And here we just uncovered on Friday that in Virginia one CAN run for House or Senate AND VP… [...]

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