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    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


    "The supply-side claim is not a claim. It is empirically true and historically convincing that with lower rates of taxation on labor and capital, the factors of production, you'll get a bigger economy."

    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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Word Coming Out of the Northern Neck

Word is the Dems. are officially without a candidate to challenge Congressman Rob Wittman in the Fall. 
Democrat 1st Congressional District Nominee Keith Hummel had suspended his campaign in early July with the notion that he could ramp up again before November and pose a challenge.  However according to reliable sources he has officially filed to [...]

People Tiring Of Timmy! VP Speculation?

From Politics1.com
VEEPSTAKES. The more Virginia Governor Tim Kaine (D) and his camp openly talk about Kaine being the “frontrunner” and “short listed” for Barack Obama’s runningmate spot, the more this is starting to seem unlikely. Either it is an intentional ruse in collusion with Obama to throw off the media from his real plans or [...]

Del. Bob Marshall Registers Statewide PAC.

Opposed to a Federal PAC.
Could this mean he’s considering a run for the GOP gubernatorial nomination, or some other statewide office in 2009? 
Every statewide candidates plans are in flux due to speculation over Kaine’s potential nod as VP.
It looks like the Life, Liberty, Property PAC was just registered sometime in the past couple weeks. (VA-08-036, is the [...]

“All those other presidents on the dollar bills”

Looks like Barry Obama is first to raise the issue of race openly in the general election campaign –
Yesterday in Missouri, Obama predicted McCain and the GOP would use racially tinged attacks against him.
“What they’re going to try to do is make you scared of me,” Obama said. ”You know, he doesn’t look like all those other [...]

Obama unveils ‘Tire Inflation’ as Energy Solution

Even you Obama supporters have to be a little surprised, no?

OOPS! No Recession After All…

As Drudge puts it –
UP! Economy grew at 1.9% pace in second quarter…
Recession On Hold…

On the Lookout for Doubting Thomas

Is there no limit to what America can achieve?  Consider the following:
-The number of American military members who died in Iraq dropped to 12 in July, the lowest monthly total since the 2003 invasion, as the U.S. said Iraqi forces were increasingly effective in combating militants. 
-Attacks are down by 80% nationwide.
-The Iraqi police forces, including [...]

Dan Quayle Is On The Short List…

…for “Dancing With The Stars.”

IBD – “Barack Obama’s Stealth Socialism”

Investors Business Daily ran an editorial on Monday entitled “Barack Obama’s Stealth Socialism” and dive into Obama’s past using Barry’s own writings:
The seeds of his far-left ideology were planted in his formative years as a teenager in Hawaii — and they were far more radical than any biography or profile in the media has portrayed.
A [...]

Ludacris Drops Some Election Hate Music

Obama is apparently on record supporting the “artistry” of rapper Ludacris.  No word of any retraction or apology yet….
UPDATE:  I knew it wouldn’t take too long.
“As Barack Obama has said many, many times in the past, rap lyrics today too often perpetuate misogyny, materialism, and degrading images that he doesn’t want his daughters or any [...]

A Referendum on Obama

The McCain campaign’s latest ad promotes the theory that the presidential election will simply be a referendum on Obama.

This makes the Vice Presidential buzz surrounding Governor Kaine all the more interesting.  Will Obama actually pick a Governor coming off a fresh political defeat who won’t be able to deliver his own state?  [...]

Timmy! Watch 2008

From PolitickerMD.com
Due to a “scheduling problem,” PolitickerMD.com has learned that Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine will not attend tomorrow night’s Unity ‘08 Fundraiser for the Maryland Democratic State Central Committee as previously planned.

Wittman Revs Up Campaign Machine

My congressman, U.S. Rep. Rob Wittman, has certainly had a lot of practice with elections lately.  First, he was on the ballot last Nov. to be reelected to the House of Delegates.  Then, only days later he emerged victorious after the now-legendary marathon 1st Dist. Congressional nominating convention to fill the seat left vacant by the [...]

Is Larry Sabato Making Stuff Up For His “Crystal Ball” To Regain Relevance?

Earlier today, we reported that UVA Prof. Larry Sabato claimed in his latest “Crystal Ball” that:
Under an agreement previously reached with the now-presumptive 2009 GOP gubernatorial nominee, Attorney General Bob McDonnell, Bolling would be the Republican nominee for a full term. (The election is in November 2009.) Bolling had side-stepped a divisive GOP primary with [...]

Sabato Claims Agreement Between McDonnell – Bolling If Kaine Leaves Early

From Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball:
Naturally, Obama would not be especially concerned about the post-Kaine era in Virginia, and given the frustrations of his governorship, one could hardly blame Kaine for grabbing a chance to move up and out–and eventually perhaps have his own shot at the presidency. However, many Virginia Democrats are privately unhappy at [...]