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    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)

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    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

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    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

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    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

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    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

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    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

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OPEN THREAD – 2010 Elections

Posted on July 15, 2008 by Riley

Here is the second in our series of dog days of summer Open Threads dedicated to future election years.  Today, 2010.  Headlining the event card are the 11 congressional district races and various local races.

Who will still be standing after this year?  Who will be trying to make a comeback or looking for a rematch two-years from now?  Have we really seen the last of Leslie “The Loser” Byrne or will she pop up again in 2010 to challenge Congressman Keith Fimian after Gerry “The Big Doofus” Connolly melts down in this year’s race?  Who will retire in 2010 and who stands ready to step up?

Here’s the place to offer your thoughts and predictions!

(Click on the following link for yesterday’s Open Thread on the 2009 Elections)

Possibly related posts: (automatically generated)

Filed under: 2010 Elections, Open Thread, Virginia Politics

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10 Responses

  1. Shaun Kenney, on July 15th, 2008 at 12:09 pm Said:

    The big question will be whether or not Congressman Bill Janis can hold onto the VA-07 seat after Vice President Cantor’s banner two years directing policy for the McCain administration (which of course, Rep. Janis will do easily).

    I’m just sayin’…

  2. Proud Republican, on July 15th, 2008 at 12:24 pm Said:

    I think it may be an open question as to whether or not Frank Wolf runs again in 2010. If it looks like we have a real shot at retaking the House at that point, he could easily be in line for a Committee chairmanship. If not, he may decide 30 years is enough. If he retires, I could see Jill Holtzman Vogel as a potential candidate for his seat.

  3. Hirons, on July 15th, 2008 at 12:53 pm Said:

    If Obama is in the White House conventional wisdom would say it’s time for Republicans to win back some seats – of course the same may hold true if McCain is in the White House.

    In VA Gov. McDonnell will be kicking butt and taking names.

  4. rightwingliberal, on July 15th, 2008 at 12:54 pm Said:

    With at least two years to prepare, those of us in the 1st District should be in a position to primary Rob Wittman.

  5. Leslie Carbone, on July 15th, 2008 at 12:56 pm Said:

    Two years of liberal policy-making under a President McCain would make the 2010 elections very tough for Republicans.

  6. Riley, on July 15th, 2008 at 2:30 pm Said:

    PR, if Wolf steps down, I’d also expect PWC Supervisor John Stirrup to jump in the race for the 10th Dist. John was the original architect of PWC’s crackdown on illegal aliens, so he has a compelling case to make.

  9. Anonymous, on July 17th, 2008 at 9:45 pm Said:

    Why primary Wittman? and who?

  10. Riley, on July 17th, 2008 at 9:53 pm Said:

    As I understand it, some are still upset with Wittman over his ‘07 vote in the House of Delegates for the GOP transportation plan that was ultimately ruled unconstitutional.

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