Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.
1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)
2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)
3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)
3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)
5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)
6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)
7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)
8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)
9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)
10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)
11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)
Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
----------------
(If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweak (10/22-23)
2013: The Year of Saxman
Politics schmolitics. I hope to retire from my day job and see which colleges will take me on as adjunct faculty.
now you are starting to scare me because at that time I’ll be the father of a 12 year old. Ugh! teen years.
All I know is Jim Riley had better be in elective office somewhere!
The obvious choice for the GOP is Bill Bolling. However, that is a long time away in politic years and he maybe at a disadvantage after serving two terms as the Lt. Gov, and of course could also face an upstart in the GOP. However, if party unity can continue, then he should be the choice. That leaves Ken to run for Lt. Gov after serving as the AG. All safe choices at this point. but….
And since this is all speculation… Jackson Miller will run for the Senate Seat departed by Colgan, Stewart then runs to replace Jackson in the 50th, since it is GOP friendly and a good stepping stone.
I don’t see Corey running for the House. Same reason why Sean Connaughton didn’t run for Jeff Frederick’s seat this year.
I think Sean has his eye on Colgan’s seat. But Jeff Frederick just moved to Montclair and I believe that places him in Colgan’s district as well.
Why would Ken go from AG to LG? If party unity persists, I think he would be better served doing two terms as AG and then running for Gov. My prediction for the 2013 ticket — Bill Bolling for Gov. / Corey Stewart for LG / Ken Cuccinelli for AG.
The Democrats hope Republican party nominates Bill Bolling for Governor 2013. Bolling lacks leadership skills and will easily be defeated. In 2009 Bolling had 3 choices; lead follow or get out of the way and he chose to get out of the way and follow. Bill, thank you for your service, you’ve done enough.
I agree with Joe. I thank Bill for his service to the Commonwealth but he will need to step aside again and not seek the nomination in 2013. He has limited leadership abilities and was SIGNIFICANTLY out polled by Ken Cuccinelli on Nov 3rd. If it takes a primary fight to make it happen, then so be it.