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    "That some should be rich, shows that others may become rich, and, hence, is just encouragement to industry and enterprise."

    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


    "The supply-side claim is not a claim. It is empirically true and historically convincing that with lower rates of taxation on labor and capital, the factors of production, you'll get a bigger economy."

    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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Sen. Ralph Smith Slams Gov. Timmy! & Co.’s Revenue Projections

This just in:

From the Desk of
Senator Ralph K. Smith

Dear Friends,

In my first post-session report to you, I expressed my disappointment with the budget passed in March. Among my objections were the overly optimistic revenue projections. As William Safire has said, “I’ve been right and I’ve been paranoid, and it’s better to be paranoid.”

Unfortunately, the most recent figures indicate that I was right to question the revenue projections. In my budget update, I made specific mention of the unlikelihood that Virginia’s citizens employed by the private sector would see their earnings increase the approximate 10% required to meet the 2010 projections. Now it appears that the income tax revenue projections for fiscal year 2009 will also be missed. Available data now suggest the sales tax revenue will additionally fall below the projections. These two taxes account for approximately 70% of the revenue collected by the Commonwealth.

I hope the economy and these figures will improve in such a dramatic fashion that my doubts will be proven wrong. If such improvements do not occur, state finance officials will update the revenue forecasts to reflect the recent data and the Governor will be able to reduce spending. It is my hope that if this unfortunate situation continues, good can come from Richmond finally recognizing the need for greater efficiency in government.

During the 40 years I ran my own private business, I always sought to make the tough decisions that I knew needed to be made before economic situations forced me to. Unfortunately the Governor did not do this. I hope the Governor will now understand Senator Wampler’s January warning that “It’s a lot easier to avoid making new spending commitments than it is to cut spending after the fact.”

The Governor will now have to make difficult decisions that he dodged earlier. I hope he will consult with the General Assembly and make reasonable decisions targeting the inefficiencies that frustrate citizens every day.

I always enjoy hearing from you and hope you will share your thoughts on this matter with me. I can be reached at my 5720 Williamson Road office at 540-206-3597 and by email at this address.

Sincerely,

Ralph K. Smith
Senate of Virginia
District 22

Gee, Jody Wagner, Gov. Timmy!’s Sec. of Finance wouldn’t have anything to do with this botch job, would she? Well, I suppose she would. And she has the audacity to think that she should be our next Lt. Governor? What a joke!

Bill Bolling
Lieutenant Governor for Virginia
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3 Responses

  1. Jody Wagner couldn’t have picked a worse day for the WaPo to print speculation that she might run.

    Bolling is gonna win re-election in a walk!

  2. [...] a perfect time to jump ship, Jody Riley at VV has the letter from my favorite State Senator (Ralph Smith) to his constituents on Governor [...]

  3. [...] places partial blame for this debacle on potential Democratic LG candidate, Secretary of Finance Jody Wagner, to which DJ piles on, [...]

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