Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.
1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)
2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)
3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)
3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)
5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)
6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)
7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)
8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)
9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)
10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)
11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)
Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
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(If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweak (10/22-23)
Obama is on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Palin was the mayor of a town of 9,000 and is now governor of a state with a population of 600,000. She has ZERO foreign policy experience. If McCain croaks (and let’s face it, it’s likely) do you really want a woman who has never really spoken to foreign leaders taking the “3 am phone call”? McCain threw his ability to make the experience claim out the window with this pick.
J.P. — You’re an idiot. First, it would help if Obama had spent more than 143 days in the Senate before launching his campaign for President. Second, it would help if Obama had ever held a hearing of the subcmte. that he chairs on Afghanistan, but he hasn’t because he has been too busy running for President. Third, you’re complaining about the GOP pick for VP’s experience, but are blind to your own candidate for President’s inexperience.
It is McCain running against Obama. The Obama-Biden ticket is upside down. Biden is far more qualified to be president than Obama. And your comment about McCain dying in office because he is 72 is ignorant — McCain’s MOTHER is still alive and well, so obviously he has some good genes there. Can you imagine the outcry that would arise if someone said, “Gee, it is a good thing Biden is Obama’s running mate if Obama dies (and let’s face it, it’s likely some whackjob will try to kill him.)”
Get a clue before you open your mouth again.
Firstly, i’d like to say, I love how every conservative starts their side of an argument by throwing an insult at me, it’s nearly universal to you people, incredible.
Barack Obama served in the Illinois State Senate for 8 years. Before that he was a community organizer and a constitutional scholar. He has a bachelor’s degree in political science with a specilization in international relations from Columbia University and a law degree from Harvard. He was also president of the Harvard Law Review. Sarah Palin has a communications degree from the University of Idaho, she won some beauty pageants, and she was a sportscaster for a local television station. Barack Obama has nearly 12 years of legislative experience, how many pieces of legislation has Sarah Palin written? The answer, 0.
The reason I am complaining about her experience is that conservatives have been saying Barack isn’t ready to lead but apparently they think Gov. Palin is. Also, McCain has had multiple bouts with cancer, so it is much more likely that he could die in office than most presidential candidates would be, so the experience of his vp is extremely important. Maybe you should get a clue before you speak.
Answer me this.
Exactly what is a “community organizer”?
How many times did Barry vote “present” in the Illinois State Senate?
And you, sir, have also fallen into the Palin Trap. You’re arguing that your candidate for President is more qualified than our candidate for Vice President. That just goes to show that Barry can’t hold a candle to McCain.
Thanks for playing. We have some lovely parting gifts for you including a year’s supply of Rice-A-Roni, the San Francisco Liberal Treat.
No, thank you for playing, you just abandoned your claim that Palin has as much foreign policy experience as Obama. McCain does have more experience than Obama, but that’s to be expected since he is old enough to be Obama’s father. Obama’s judgement is better than McCain’s, period. Obama graduated near the top of his college class, McCain graduated 4 spots from the very bottom of his. I’ll take an intelligent candidate over a guy who barely graduated any day.
Yet Obama doesn’t even know how many states there are. Obama was obviously graded on a curve.
And you never answered my questions.
Exactly what is a “community organizer”?
How many times did Barry vote “present” in the Illinois State Senate?
We’re not worthy of the ONE
Yeah , you’re right, Obama made a mistake speaking and said 57 states, just like John McCain keeps talking about Czechoslovokia, a country that hasn’t existed in 15 years. People make mistakes when they speak, have you ever misspoke? As for his work as a community organizer, this article describes it well:
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/676/
The last three paragraphs describe his work.
You’ve got to be kidding me. He ran a voter registration drive and got people to oppose living amidst asbestos? (Doesn’t say that he accomplished getting rid of it and by his own accounts he says he wasn’t all that successful in this role.)
So, how many times did he vote present in the IL senate? Presidents have to act. They can’t take a pass. I suppose he’ll just have the WH hotline ring over at the VP’s residence at 3 a.m.
He voted present about 100 times, out of over 4000 votes. So he voted present 2.5% of the time, wow that is a massive percentage isn’t it?
He didn’t work to get people to oppose living with asbestos, I’m sure most any one would oppose that. What he did was get people to work together to do something to fix it. If no one does anything to fix a problem, it won’t get fixed. He could have taken a job at a big law firm, making a lot of money, but he chose to work to help people in one of the poorest neighborhoods in Chicago. Are you really going to criticize a guy for doing something good for society rather than for himself? His work bringing people together for a common cause is something that I feel is important for a president. A leader needs to be able to motivate and inspire people. I really can’t see this as a negative.
100 times is pretty high. Compare that with other legislators who have such a small number of votes as he did (and yes, 4,000 votes is pretty low.)
Bottom line is, this guy is a lightweight who would blow away if he weren’t anchored down by a teleprompter. Dan Quayle is smarter than this guy and made fewer gaffes.
I wish I would have checked in on this post earlier today. This was dropped back a few hours ago by J.P. – McCain finished 4th from bottom in his class while Obama finished at the top.
I’d take the bottom of the class from the Naval Academy before I’d take the top of the class at Harvard. Further class ranks at the Naval Academy are based on more than academic records. While John McCain didn’t set any records for academic performance at the academy his rank was held down for discipline issues during his first couple of years. Discipline issues which were . . .well pretty much acting like a college kid at a structured military academy. I wonder what Barry’s discipline was like during his first couple of years of college.
You do realize, Riley, that all you’ve done in this argument is not defend the point you made in your article, but to change the subject, to divert the reader away from the issue YOU brought up, your claim that Palin is as experienced as Obama on foreign policy. I told you Obama studied foreign policy in college and you bailed from your initial stance. As I’ve said, Obama graduated from Harvard and was on the Harvard Law Review, he’s clearly an intelligent man. But you’re using the Karl Rove tactic of attacking your opponent’s strength.
Ah, J.P., you show your lack of reading comprehension. I didn’t even write this article. Hirons did.
Ever heard the term “book smart, worldly stupid”?
Well at least you admit I’m intelligent despite my little error.
Little error? Your entire argument was built upon an incorrect premise. I didn’t write the article.
I don’t question your intelligence, but I do question Obama’s. Seriously, this guy has made more gaffes in the past year than Dan Quayle did in four years.
Harvard Law Review gives Obama zero experience in foreign policy. He has a BA in International Relations? Who doesn’t?
Yeah, I wasn’t about to even get into mocking that part of J.P.’s argument.
Hey, I have a double-major, one of which is English Lit. with a concentration on Medieval and Renaissance eras. I guess that makes me the next Shakespeare!!!
What’s really funny about the post (apparently this post that still has life) – is I wrote it quoting Sen. John Kerry direct. He made no mention of his time on the Foreign Relations cmte. nor his education. His argument was based on the fact that Obama had traveled abroad.