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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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Barry Obama’s Freudian Slip About Religion

Thank goodness George Stephanopolous was there to correct Barry Obama on what religion Barry is!

(Note that we carried the extended version where G.S. corrects him and Barry acknowledges it and not the one cut after Obama makes the initial mistake as to what his religion is.)

(H/T The Write Side of My Brain)

6 Responses

  1. Um, I watched the interview and it was very clear to me that what he said was, essentially, “my (alleged) muslim faith.” as in “lots of people are talking about me being a Muslim and having a muslim faith but john mccain himself is not doing that.” kind of like if you were talking to someone about people spreading the rumor that you own a rabid pitbull, and you said “i have not heard john mccain talk about my rabid pitbull.” that is not an admission that you have a rabid pitbull, it is merely a reference to the rumor.

    I can only assume that you know this and prefer to spread rumors and lies. Perhaps if the republican candidate had the ideas to win on his own merits, his supporters would not need to stoop to such tactics.

    I support Obama, but every day since the rep convention I have gotten email with erroneous info about and doctored photos of Sarah Palin. I respond by telling these people that the information is not true and directing them to accurate info about both sides. I do this not because I support McCain or Palin, because I believe in truth and democracy and ‘may the best candidate win,’ not gaming the system and using manipulation and tricks to get people to come to my side.

    Try posting some content that makes a cogent argument for your candidate rather than propagating lies about the opposition.

  2. Shannon, if you’re interested in truth, how in the world did you end up supporting Obama? Doesn’t it bother you that he’s changed his position on quite nearly everything? How do you know which Obama is the “true” Obama?

    http://fredshelm.wordpress.com/2008/07/14/the-great-obama-vs-obama-debate/

  3. Shannon, we showed the entire exchange where it is corrected rather than the one that is cutoff to make it appear he is a Muslim. We did this so it would NOT be taken out of context, so you should be happy that we went with the longer clip. We’re not stooping to the level of the Obama supporters who are out to get Palin.

  4. This web-site is a joke! As a Junior at George Mason University it is good to see a more cultured and informed group of human beings coming along. The older and less educated generations (for the most part not as a whole) seem to not have access to the straight truth. I do not think Barack is the best candidate but I am not going to stir up Fox News lies about him. This election is full of people like you who are destroying our country and making this a race about who has better PR. It is really sad to see this.

  5. Clark, we’ll delete your multiple post that you copied and pasted from this to another thread here.

    Just to be clear, if you actually read this post, you’ll see that we ran the longer version, not the edited version. We gave Barry the benefit of the doubt.

    If there is any joke here, it is you having been able to foster yourself off on your GMU professors as someone worthy of advancement to your Junior year.

    Here’s some advice. Graduate. Get a job. Start a family. Then come back and talk to us.

  6. Who’s got the last laugh now.

    Graduate? Working on it. Is it not a slightly lame to tell a junior to graduate when he his still in school and on pace to graduate and applying to law schools.

    Get a job? Have one!

    Start a Family? Do I have to live the textbook conservative life, or can I wait until I am 35 after I have become accomplished? Should I really be like the Palin family and have as many as soon as possible? How confusing this must be for 15 year old children whos parents support your kind of non-sense

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