Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.
1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)
2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)
3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)
3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)
5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)
6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)
7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)
8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)
9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)
10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)
11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)
Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
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(If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweak (10/22-23)
Hirons Live from McCain-Palin Rally…
Virginia Virtucon’s Hirons is live blogging from the McCain-Palin Rally – Check it out: Live from McCain-Palin Rally « Virginia Virtucon
Technorati Tags: John McCain,Sarah Palin,McCain-Palin,Republicans,Conservatives,GOP
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Funny how the Washington Post reports that the park only holds 13,000 people maximum.
The crowd was spilled out beyond the park.
How can Wash post judge how many people it can hold? Has it ever had a crowd like this? I use to attend fireworks at the park and crowds for fireworks was never anywhere, anywhere close to today’s event
Very close to 30,000 easy.
I was there and the turnout was spectacular! The crowds went crazy for John McCain and Sarah Palin. Without doubt these two will become the President and Vice President of the United States!
The Secret Service count (number of people going through their scanners) is 23,000. I’ve never seen anything like this.
Great rally today! Tens of thousands of enthusiastic McCain-Palin supporters. It was a win-win day for John McCain. Their speeches were similar to the convention speeches, except mention of Obama’s earrmarks and criticism of the Fanie Mae/Freddie Mac bailout. McCain looked and sounded presidential. When did this guy become a rock star?
[...] Posted on September 10, 2008 by Hirons Thanks to Riley for updating with my tweets during today’s McCain/Palin Rally. The rally exceeded expectations. It really energized Northern Virginia. I had some concerns [...]
[...] Hirons of Virginia Virtucon, who live-Twittered the rally while he was there, has this report: The rally exceeded expectations. It really energized [...]
I shook Palin’s hand and I’m never washing it. She’s just as hot in real life as she is in her pictures. And you guys got the cheap seats. I got dream tickets.
23,000 says one person… 28,000 says McCain-Palin… 15,000 says the fire marshall, whose job it is to keep an accurate head count.
Wonder who to believe…
Actually, the 28K figure was a typo that should have been 23K. They got that figure from the Secret Service since the metal detectors keep track. I’d go by that over a fire marshall who was guesstimating..