Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.
1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)
2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)
3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)
3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)
5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)
6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)
7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)
8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)
9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)
10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)
11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)
Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:
MOST ACCURATE:
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
POLL REVEALED TO BE FRAUDULENT AND REPUDIATED BY DAILYKOS:
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
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(If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)
POLLS THAT WERE WORSE THAN A FRAUDULENT POLL:
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweak (10/22-23)
The Muldoon campaign submitted over 6000 petition signatures and over 320 in the 11th district but the Bolling campaign manager objected to many of the signatues and had them declared invalid for silly reasons. Right now RPV is checking those 320 signatures and the Bolling camapign manager is still there trying to get them thrown out. By the way the tally sheets from RPV had Muldoon getting over 6000 and Bolling getting just over 5900. It is a little shocking Bolling could not get more than Muldoon when he had five separate campaigns collecting for him.Those same tally sheets had Bolling only getting just over 300 in the 1st district. It is certainly impressive that Muldoon was able to gather this many in a littlre more than three weeks. When McDonnell/Bolling created this process they considered it next to impossible for a camapign to do on there own.
I was there for the counting. The only silliness was from the Muldoon attacks on the counters. In fact, the Muldoonies demanded that certain people not count signatures for their candidate. Then they harrassed the volunteers who did.
[...] for Governor, Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General at May, 2009’s convention. According to Virginia Virtucon, everyone made the cut but the Muldoon campaign may have to wait for it’s 11th CD signaturs [...]
I was there for the count as well. The Muldoon “observers” were rude, abrasive, and insulting.Additionally, I saw the cover sheet Bolling submitted with their petitions. They had about 8,000 of the five-candidate petitions and several thousand McDonnell/Bolling/Cucinelli that apparently hadn’t been formally counted.
Additionally, the instructions were to stop counting once we’d hit the thresholds in each district. Bolling was well over in each from the look of it.
I think it’s pretty pathetic that the Muldoon people couldn’t even get 300 signatures from the 11th that at least looked correct.
“They had about 8,000 of the five-candidate petitions and several thousand McDonnell/Bolling/Cucinelli that apparently hadn’t been formally counted”. Just goes to show you those Cuccinelli supporters really did a good job for Bolling. This also means that Cuccinelli made sure to get copies of their ballots to Bolling (and probably McDonnell). I wonder how many McDonnell/Bolling/Brownlee or M/B/Foster sheets showed up for Bolling and McDonnell? Might be a good indicator of candidate strength for AG.
Were there any “McDonnell/Bolling/Brownlee” or “M/B/Foster” sheets? I never saw any.
I heard from a friend who was just walking through the lobby after dropping off Advance registration $ that the Muldoon folks thanked Cuccinelli’s staff for all their help as soon as they walked in the door to turn in their petitions.