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  • 2012 Presidential Election Gallup Daily Tracking Poll

    Based on continuous five-day rolling averages. The initial report on 4/16 is based on interviews with 2,265 registered voters.

    Gallup Daily Tracking Poll

  • The Virtucon Poll

  • Nov. 6, 2012

    Virtucon Endorsed Candidates:

    U.S. Senate

    U.S. House

    1st Dist.

    2nd Dist.

    4th Dist.

    5th Dist. 6th Dist.

    7th Dist.

    9th Dist.

    10th Dist.

    11th Dist.

  • Nov. 5, 2013

    Virtucon Endorsed Candidates:

    Virginia Lt. Governor

  • VV RINO Watch List

    The following "Republicans" have been added to Virtucon's RINO Watch List based upon their votes and statements on a variety of issues ranging from economic to social to government reform:

    Virginia Senators:

    Harry Blevins

    Tommy Norment

    Walter Stosch

    Frank Wagner

    John Watkins

  • Virtucon Supports the Following Legislation:

    HB 1 Unborn children; construing the word "person" under Virginia law to include.

    H.B. 1 WAS KILLED IN THE SENATE BY THE FOLLOWING RINOS: Harry Blevins

    Tommy Norment

    Frank Ruff

    Walter Stosch

    Frank Wagner

    John Watkins

    SB 244 Primary elections; voter registration by political party.

    S.B. 244 WAS DEFEATED BY THE FOLLOWING RINOS: Harry Blevins

    Walter Stosch

    Frank Wagner

    John Watkins

    SB 56 Elections; party identification on ballots in local elections.

    SB 55 Voter identification requirements; revises list of items a voter may show to prove identification.

    HB 1060 Citizenship of arrestee; if accused is not committed to jail, arresting officer to ascertain.

    H.B. 1060 WAS KILLED IN COMMITTEE BY THE FOLLOWING RINO: Tommy Norment

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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    MOST ACCURATE:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    POLL REVEALED TO BE FRAUDULENT AND REPUDIATED BY DAILYKOS:

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    POLLS THAT WERE WORSE THAN A FRAUDULENT POLL:

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

Close, But No Cigar in Fairfax?

Supervisor Pat Herrity (R-Springfield) has conceded acknowledged that he is about 1200 votes behind in the Fairfax County Chairman’s race to Supervisor Sharon Bulova (D).  If this holds up, no doubt Fairfax voters will get what they voted for when Bulova’s Fairfax finally goes belly-up and declares bankruptcy before her term is up.  At that point, they’ll be begging for Herrity or some other Republican to come in and pick up the broken pieces of their county.

While as the title of this post says this race may be ”close, but no cigar,” this marks the second time within a month that a Republican candidate has finished within one-percentage point of the Democrat candidate in Northern Virginia.  Of course Republicans would have loved to have picked up either of these races, but again if tonight’s result does not change then in the end neither seat changed hands.  What the GOP did accomplish, however, is to show that it is still a viable party in NoVA and finish better in both this race and in the 46th House Dist. than any other Republican has in years.

There are lessons to be learned from both races and techniques to be adapted and fine-tuned by future GOP candidates running in these areas, but Republicans are on the road back in Virginia. Consider both contests dry runs before the real thing in November.

Still, we will wait and see what news tomorrow’s canvass brings us.

3 Responses

  1. Well, you know, you can’t always count on your father’s name to carry you to victory. Besides, Dad Herrity wasn’t such a great guy IMHO.

    Welcome to a tough job, Ms. Bulova, and good luck!

  2. Doesn’t really take away from your overall point, but Bulova outpaced Herrity by just over 1%.

  3. just over 1% = enough

Comments are closed.

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