To all those (ahem, Lowell Feld, Mohammed Elleithee and James E. Martin) who pooh-poohed last week’s Survey USA poll that found if all the likely 2009 voters had been the only ones to vote in 2008, John McCain would have won the state by 9 points, I have some bad news for you.
PPP is coming out with their latest poll Tuesday at 11 AM and it doesn’t show the 2009 likely voters would have given McCain a 9 point win.
It will show the 2009 likely voters would have given McCain an 11 point win…
From PPP:
Last week I was skeptical of SurveyUSA’s poll showing an electorate that voted for John McCain 52-43…but we actually found it at a 52-41 McCain advantage.
Definitely not good news for Creigh “What’s In Your Wallet?” Deeds.
Now, if Bob McDonnell is picking up 5% of Obama voters in this poll and Deeds is picking up 5% of McCain voters, we should be seeing numbers around McDonnell 52%, Deeds 43% in tomorrow’s poll. Given rounding and such, I believe the spread will be between 8%-10%, up from McDonnell’s 6% lead in the last PPP poll a month ago.
Regardless, at 11 AM on Tuesday, expect more good poll numbers for McDonnell.
Filed under: 2009 Elections, Bob McDonnell, Creigh "What's In Your Wallet?" Deeds, Polls
[...] is predicting 8-10 points up for [...]
Obama did well among independents, and McDonnell is doing well among that group. So how come McDonnell only has 5% of Obama voters while Deeds has 5% of McCain voters? Somehow this doesn’t make sense.
[...] by Riley The new PPP poll came out today and it was even better for Bob McDonnell et al. than I predicted just last [...]