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    Based on continuous five-day rolling averages. The initial report on 4/16 is based on interviews with 2,265 registered voters.

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  • Nov. 6, 2012

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  • Nov. 5, 2013

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    Virginia Lt. Governor

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    The following "Republicans" have been added to Virtucon's RINO Watch List based upon their votes and statements on a variety of issues ranging from economic to social to government reform:

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    John Watkins

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    HB 1 Unborn children; construing the word "person" under Virginia law to include.

    H.B. 1 WAS KILLED IN THE SENATE BY THE FOLLOWING RINOS: Harry Blevins

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    SB 244 Primary elections; voter registration by political party.

    S.B. 244 WAS DEFEATED BY THE FOLLOWING RINOS: Harry Blevins

    Walter Stosch

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    SB 56 Elections; party identification on ballots in local elections.

    SB 55 Voter identification requirements; revises list of items a voter may show to prove identification.

    HB 1060 Citizenship of arrestee; if accused is not committed to jail, arresting officer to ascertain.

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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    MOST ACCURATE:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    POLL REVEALED TO BE FRAUDULENT AND REPUDIATED BY DAILYKOS:

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    POLLS THAT WERE WORSE THAN A FRAUDULENT POLL:

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

McDonnell, Bolling By 14; Cuccinelli By 13

The new PPP poll came out today and it was even better for Bob McDonnell et al. than I predicted just last night.

Instead of the 8 to 10 point lead for McDonnell that I anticipated, the poll has him up by 14, right in the ballpark of the 15 that last week’s Survey USA poll had him leading by.  (Let’s see Creigh “What’s In Your Wallet?” Deeds and his minions spin their way out of this one since they can no longer argue that Survey USA was an anomaly.)  And for what it is worth, the two most accurate polls in Virginia in 2008 according to the Wall St. Journal were — #1 Survey USA and #2 PPP.

From the PPP rundown of the poll:

As Barack Obama’s approval has moved downward in the last month, so have the fortunes of Democratic candidates on the ballot in 2009.

So I guess it was perfect timing today for Deeds to announce that The Teleprompted One would be campaigning for him on Thursday.  OUCH!!!

Head on over to the PPP blog for full details on the poll’s internals including favorability ratings and other demographic info.

2 Responses

  1. [...] Virtucon: McDonnell, Bolling By 14; Cuccinelli By 13 And for what it is worth, the two most accurate polls in Virginia in 2008 according to the Wall St. [...]

  2. I would like to get three (3) bumper Stickers for the McDonnell, Bolling, Cuccinelli ticket. Thank you

    -Ed & Carol

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