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  • 2012 Presidential Election Gallup Daily Tracking Poll

    Based on continuous five-day rolling averages. The initial report on 4/16 is based on interviews with 2,265 registered voters.

    Gallup Daily Tracking Poll

  • The Virtucon Poll

  • Nov. 6, 2012

    Virtucon Endorsed Candidates:

    U.S. Senate

    U.S. House

    1st Dist.

    2nd Dist.

    4th Dist.

    5th Dist. 6th Dist.

    7th Dist.

    9th Dist.

    10th Dist.

    11th Dist.

  • Nov. 5, 2013

    Virtucon Endorsed Candidates:

    Virginia Lt. Governor

  • VV RINO Watch List

    The following "Republicans" have been added to Virtucon's RINO Watch List based upon their votes and statements on a variety of issues ranging from economic to social to government reform:

    Virginia Senators:

    Harry Blevins

    Tommy Norment

    Walter Stosch

    Frank Wagner

    John Watkins

  • Virtucon Supports the Following Legislation:

    HB 1 Unborn children; construing the word "person" under Virginia law to include.

    H.B. 1 WAS KILLED IN THE SENATE BY THE FOLLOWING RINOS: Harry Blevins

    Tommy Norment

    Frank Ruff

    Walter Stosch

    Frank Wagner

    John Watkins

    SB 244 Primary elections; voter registration by political party.

    S.B. 244 WAS DEFEATED BY THE FOLLOWING RINOS: Harry Blevins

    Walter Stosch

    Frank Wagner

    John Watkins

    SB 56 Elections; party identification on ballots in local elections.

    SB 55 Voter identification requirements; revises list of items a voter may show to prove identification.

    HB 1060 Citizenship of arrestee; if accused is not committed to jail, arresting officer to ascertain.

    H.B. 1060 WAS KILLED IN COMMITTEE BY THE FOLLOWING RINO: Tommy Norment

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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    MOST ACCURATE:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    POLL REVEALED TO BE FRAUDULENT AND REPUDIATED BY DAILYKOS:

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    POLLS THAT WERE WORSE THAN A FRAUDULENT POLL:

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

UPDATED: Is Creigh Deeds Pulling Out Of PWC Already?

Via Greg L. at BVBL, it looks as if the “For Lease” signs are already up in what is/was the Deeds campaign offices in Prince William County:

UPDATE (9/7): The WashPo’s Monday Labor Day edition does little to dispel the notion that Deeds is pulling out of PWC, citing his struggle “against anonymity in Northern Virginia” which has led him to a strategy of shoring up what should be his natural constituency in small towns.

The amount of time Deeds spends in rural Virginia has also worried some Northern Virginia supporters, who say it would be a mistake to assume that their vote-rich region will fall in line behind him simply because he is a Democrat.

Then comes the quote, from Deeds himself, that lends credence to the speculation that Deeds is shutting down operations in Virginia’s second largest county:

Deeds notes that he spends about half his time “north of the Occoquan River”

Given that Prince William County is south of the Occoquan, that is a pretty telling sign right there that Deeds is now husbanding resources and starting to write-off whole counties.

UPDATE 2 (9/7): It has been 2 days now since this story first broke 9/5 on BVBL and there has not been any denials from the Deeds campaign.  Their silence is speaking volumes.

7 Responses

  1. Good news to hear.

  2. [...] Virginia Virtucon notes that the Washington Post’s Monday edition seems to lend to the theory that Creigh Deeds has conceeded Prince William County to Bob McDonnell and is trying to focus on rural Virginia and the Washington, D.C. suburbs.  Citing the struggle “against anonymity in Northern Virginia”, Deeds seem to be playing defense in areas he certainly thought he would perform strongly in and working overtime to secure Democrat strongholds in Fairfax and Arlington.  Putting up “for lease” signs in campaign field offices in Prince William County doesn’t bode well for this campaign, but essentially admitting to the Washington Post that Prince William County is unwinnable for him takes the Commonwealth’s third-largest jurisdiction off the table this November and really puts the viability of his campaign into question. The amount of time Deeds spends in rural Virginia has also worried some Northern Virginia supporters, who say it would be a mistake to assume that their vote-rich region will fall in line behind him simply because he is a Democrat. [...]

  3. [...] Riley at Virginia Virtucon finds some significance in Deeds’s comment about the time he’s spending north of the Occ… Given that Prince William County is south of the Occoquan, that is a pretty telling sign right [...]

  4. [...] “What’s In Your Wallet?” Deeds.  I guess the news that Deeds is apparently pulling up stakes in Prince William County already is just driving them bonkers.  (And for the record, today is yet another day gone by that [...]

  5. [...] is video evidence that anyone can see for themselves of an office that is “For Lease” containing no [...]

  6. Can someone tell me how anyone could believe in McDonnell’s transportation ‘plan’ when the feds would hve to appove tolls on 95 and 66……..if the feds could at all since the Federal Highway Act prohibits such tolls? And how privatiing ABC stores is economically feasible? Would take $100 million a year out of Va general funds; and borrow the rest…which would run our AAA bond rating down? I would like to know because if this is the best McDonnell can come up with, then Deeds does have the better/best plan………….c’mon…..tell me oh wise folks of the right!!

    • The tolls would not be in NOVA on 95 and 66. They’d be at the VA-NC border on 95 and 85.

      The Federal Highway Act is routinely amended or waived. Not unheard of. All it takes is an act of Congress.

      What good is having a AAA bond rating if you never use it to issue bonds?

      And why should Virginia be in the liquor business to begin with?

      Finally, do you realize just how much Mark Warner and Tim Kaine have raided out of the highway fund over the past 8 years? $100 million in general funds is a pittance for a core function of government such as transportation.

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