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    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)

    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

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    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

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    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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NEW VCU Poll: McDonnell +18; Time To Institute The Mercy Rule?

Posted on October 28, 2009 by Riley

Another day, another poll showing Creigh “What’s In Your Wallet?” Deeds losing by nearly 20 points.  This time it is the VCU poll showing Bob McDonnell with an 18 point lead – 54% to 36%.

One must begin to wonder whether the “mercy rule” should be instituted before McDonnell’s coattails become so strong that they even unintentionally sweep in someone like Catherine “The Oklahoma City Bombing Truther” Crabill…  (Don’t forget, write-in Ham Sandwich for Delegate in the 99th instead!)

Filed under: 2009 Elections, Bob McDonnell, Conspiracy Theories, Creigh "What's In Your Wallet?" Deeds, Ham Sandwich, Northern Neck Politics, Nutjobs, Polls

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2 Responses

  1. Tom White, on October 28th, 2009 at 10:21 pm Said:

    I think the mercy rule should kick in around 25. It is interesting looking around the lefty blogs that the only glimmer of hope for Dem Delegates is that Virginian’s “split vote”. So they have conceded the state ticket, and hold out hope that the voters, pissed off at the liberals running this country, will somehow split their vote.

    I plan to be at the Marriott this Tuesday after I finish my duties at the polls. I only have 4 precincts to worry about, so I will have time to rotate between them all. I expect a very friendly Red crowd here.

    We are due a major victory and if we don’t pick up at least 4 seats I will be shocked. There is also the possibility that a lot of the “tossups” will go Red and a few of the lean Dem.

    The mood is rising with the tide!

  2. Moderate By Nature, on October 29th, 2009 at 9:47 am Said:

    If this poll is even close to be correct, it will be one for the ages in Virginia. Whether you are Democrat, Republican or Independent, this will be the biggest rout in memory. Everybody has been close, at least within the 5% point margin. M. Warner, Kaine, Webb, McDonnell all won statewide offices with small margins… this is starting to look like the senate race from last year except Republican heavy.

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