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    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

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    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

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    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

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    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

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Virtucon Calls 5th Cong. Dist. 2010 Election

Posted on November 8, 2009 by Riley

We don’t know yet who will WIN VA’s 5th Cong. Dist, but after yesterday’s House vote on the Democrat health care bill, we definitely know who will LOSE.

U.S. Rep. Tom Perriello can now add the abomination of a health care bill to his support for cap and trade, ensuring that he will not be around for a second term no matter how many town hall meetings he conducts.

At least Glen Nye in the 2nd Dist. had the common sense to vote against both of those (little good that will ultimately do him.)  Rick Boucher was another of the 39 Democrats who abandoned the good ship S.S. Pelosi on this vote, too.

And after Gov.-elect Bob McDonnell handily carried the 11th Dist., Gerry “The Big Doofus” Connolly should be worried about his votes for the health care and cap and trade bills, too.  With Keith Fimian running a strong campaign so far and outraising Connolly last quarter, I think it is safe to say that the 11th Dist. is officially now a toss-up.

Filed under: 2010 Elections, Congress, Health Care, Virginia Politics

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3 Responses

  1. jeff, on November 8th, 2009 at 12:16 pm Said:

    I will work hard to show Tom Perriello the door.

  2. NotAndySere, on November 8th, 2009 at 12:45 pm Said:

    I cannot wait to defeat Perriello next year! But we have a lot of good conservative candidates running against him. I hope we don’t rush to judgment and forget to go over all of the candidates carefully. I have concerns about Rob Hurt’s vote for the Warner tax increase. I don’t think he’d vote for this health care disgrace, but I worry that Hurt would turn into the type of Republican to vote for other measures that would raise taxes and give bipartisan cover to the Dems.

  3. kelley in virginia, on November 9th, 2009 at 8:57 am Said:

    notandysere: Let Robert Hurt persuade you. I bet he can convince you that he is THE ONE that will represent the 5th. Also, I heard that he hired Chris LaCivita as his campaign manager. So that is a very good sign that we can whip Perriello.

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