Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.
1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)
2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)
3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)
3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)
5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)
6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)
7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)
8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)
9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)
10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)
11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)
Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:
MOST ACCURATE:
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
POLL REVEALED TO BE FRAUDULENT AND REPUDIATED BY DAILYKOS:
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
----------------
(If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)
POLLS THAT WERE WORSE THAN A FRAUDULENT POLL:
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweak (10/22-23)
Politics is not softball.
But, with the right people playing and a citizenry that isn’t willing to vote for the wrong kinda folks anymore, it sure will start looking more like tennis. Won’t that be nice for everyone?
Really?? If he had an “A team” of advisors, they’d tell him that, rightly or wrongly, his political career ended with ‘macaca’. Or, as far as I’m concerned, his weaka$$ response to that incident ended that career. He needs to step aside and help the new blood infuse the GOP.
This reflects Corey’s real lack of experience in the big leagues – announcing he might run for the Senate but first running for Chairman of BOCS……that was really dumb!!!! I wonder if Allen’s people would fund Munoz??
Maybe they just think Corey is a mediocre Chairman.
Allen has a smart, ruthless group of people around him. This sounds exactly like the kind of thing they’d do.
I want to know the best way to go about getting the good ole’ state of VA to repeal a law.
If it is a Virginia law, contact you member of the House of Delegates and state senator.
Presuming the report is true, are you really surprised or troubled by it? With actions come consequences, Corey shot from the lip and now has to deal with the riccochet. Hell, if Allen is going to pony up six-figures I’ll take on Corey.
Corey Stewart is not that much of a threat for senate in 2012 to warrant going this far. Provided the reports are true . . . Bad move on Allen’s part. He will alienate republican voters who like Stewart or what he vaguely stands for, but are unlikely to vote for him as their first choice.
Allen is better served to support Stewart, and if Stewart wins reelection simply state that Stewart’s talents are better used serving Prince William than taking on national and international issues.
Well RL, Allen’s people appear to have raised Corey’s threat level up in the eyes of the public with this move.
Allen and his people need to STFU and get outta the way. If RPV gives him the nod, they deserve the drubbing they’ll get in the fall. I’d say this story perfectly exemplifies everything wrong w/ the RPV (and why I give directly to candidates and not to the party), the sense that the good-ole-boys are entitled. If Allen wants to accomplish something, he can fund-raise etc.
The asteroid has hit, people, and its time the dinosaurs move aside for the new generation. (BTW, this isn’t to say I’m a big Corey Stewart supporter, but there’s got to be development of new candidates, and George Allen has always struck me as exceedingly mediocre, which won’t be enough to win.)
You think Corey is any better? Pushing his failed anti-undocumented residents resolution?
Riley, you clearly conveyed in about 15 words what I was hoping to convey in 50.
Corey Stewart is not Allen’s main competition. But recruiting a challenger sure makes it look that way.
Then again maybe Allen is genius. If Munoz bumps off Stewart in the primary then Stewart will be too weak to win statewide if he still decides to run. If Stewart wins his primary and general election for chairman, then Allen has elevated Stewart amongst his competitors by challenging Stewart directly. Stewart is not an especially strong statewide candidate in a republican primary, and his signature issue is passe.
Hmm, Allen’s folks are genius…
Except Corey gets to choose his method of nomination and he’ll probably pick a convention where he’d clean up. I’ve heard of another potential challenger to Corey and this one is more likely to be the Team Allen-backed candidate (he’s a sitting supervisor, but I’ll want to check with him before stating his name) than Tito.
I hope that “sitting supervisor” isn’t named in the “Finley” article as I suspect all those named in the article are facing diminished odds of re-election. BTW, Riley, sad they didn’t name the Queen of Dumfries as she has engaged in identical behavior.
Yes, Mom, he is named in that article. In fact, “M”om, the answer is in a name…
I thought as much, he can’t win but it does open the door to interesting plurality possibilities.