Pollster John McLaughlin (not to be confused with the pundit) conducted a statewide poll of Virginia for George Allen’s senate campaign this Mon. and Tue., surveying 600 likely voters. Unlike media and university polls, McLaughlin works for clients and no candidate wants to hire someone who isn’t accurate. John is an ace pollster who I worked closely with for Steve Forbes in 1996, so I know that if he is going public with these numbers he is extremely confident in their accuracy as his entire reputation depends upon it. With that preface, drumroll please…
Romney 51% – Obama 44% – Goode 1%
Allen 49% – Kaine 46%
Complete crosstabs can be found here.