For the last several months, Obama has been over 60% and Romney in the upper 30′s according to Intrade betting. That changed dramatically yesterday. Obama dropped to 54% while Romney surged to 46%. Looks like Obama didn’t win the debate on Monday night! Intrade also thinks the Romney will win Virginia, 62% to 36%. All the swing states are here. The Intrade Electoral Map shows only two states that are still even, Ohio and Iowa!