Obama’s refusal to topple Assad may have toppled David Cameron

I have already commented on Syria earlier this morning, but to summarize: whatever military action we may (or may not) take is not as important as what our goal should be – namely, the downfall of the Assad regime and its replacement with a government not tied to al Qaeda. That will take a lot more than a few cruise missiles fired for the purpose of ensuring we are “not to be mocked” (Los Angeles Times via Hot Air):

One U.S. official who has been briefed on the options on Syria said he believed the White House would seek a level of intensity “just muscular enough not to get mocked” but not so devastating that it would prompt a response from Syrian allies Iran and Russia.

The moment the Administration made clear it did not want to oust Assad, this was the inevitable landing point. In fact, merely using the phrase “just muscular enough not to get mocked” ensures that mockery is exactly what will follow.

The irony (easily visible and painfully obvious, but it’s irony nonetheless) is that had Washington been funding and arming the non-Wahhabist rebels from the start, he wouldn’t have needed to conduct any military action at present. The world would know he is trying to remove Assad, and this would be just one more piece of evidence that he was doing the right thing. Instead, he may end up being pushed into doing it by Congress (Washington Times).

Meanwhile, Obama may have already knocked over one government – in Great Britain (Telegraph, UK):

David Cameron tonight suffered one of his biggest setbacks as Prime Minister after MPs refused to support Government plans to participate in military strikes against Syria.

Up to 50 Conservative and Liberal Democrat MPs sided with Labour to defeat a Government motion by a majority of 13.

Within minutes of the embarrassing defeat, the Prime Minister said that he understood that there was not support for British action against Syria and indicated he would abandon any such plans.

“I strongly believe in the need for a tough response to the use of chemical weapons but I also believe in respecting the will of this House of Commons,” Mr Cameron said.

“It is clear to me that the British Parliament, reflecting the views of the British people, does not want to see British military action. I get that and the Government will act accordingly”

There were shouts of “resign” from the Labour benches as the results were read out by John Bercow, the Commons Speaker.

What Hath The One Wrought?

Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal

Virginia is for RINOS!

First we have a republican General Assembly and a republican Governor stick us with a massive tax bill.   Today President Obama came to Newport News to whine about sequestration and who accompanied him on Air Force One, Virginia republican Congressman Scott Rigell.   We also learned that Congressman Rigell gave Obama $1,000 for his campaign.  Perhaps that’s why he was chosen to ride on the big bird with the President.  Ya think?

Our state motto should be changed from ‘Virginia is for Lovers’ to ‘Virginia is for RINOS‘.  We may elect republicans to office,  but they don’t behave like republicans.

 

Obama Campaign Ground Game In Crisis Mode

I’ve been sitting on a few stories since last week about the sad state of the Obama campaign’s ground game in Virginia and thought this was a good time to let a few loose.

Here’s the latest in the string of absurdities.  Following is a message sent to House Majority Leader Eric Cantor’s staffer Matt Lira from the Obama campaign:

First of all, is this really “cool”?  If that’s what passes for cool these days, then Obama has overseen the true lame-ification of our nation.

Now, let’s look closely at this.  That’s right, the Obama campaign is asking to help get Eric Cantor out to vote.  This is right up there with our other news.  The Obama campaign contacted the residence of Del. Scott Lingamfelter – GOP member of the Virginia House of Delegates and a 2013 candidate for Lt. Governor — a week ago to see if his daughter (who hasn’t lived there in years and who has never voted for a Democrat) wanted to volunteer on Election Day for the campaign. That alone shows just how far the Obama campaign has fallen — they are now cold calling homes where they think young people live in order to try and get volunteers to cover polling places.

Lastly, drive by any Obama HQ in Virginia and the preponderance of vehicles have out of state plates from Illinois, Massachusetts, etc.  Put all this together and what do you get?  The Obama campaign’s much vaunted ground game in Virginia doesn’t have a Virginia flavor to it at all.

Better get that razor sharpened, Axelrod.  Your mustache is coming off…

Oh, and before I forget –

Springsteen and John Kerry on this date in 2004 in Madison, WI — 75,000
Springsteen and Barack Obama on this date in 2012 in Madison, WI — 18,000

2012 Election Predictions

Now is the time to put it on the line and make your predictions.  Here’s mine for the presidential:

We’ll know by around 10 p.m. tomorrow night if this scenario will play out once we have a good idea on how the Virginia (polls close at 7 p.m.) and Ohio (polls close at 7:30 p.m.) returns are going.  I’d pay close attention to what Michael Barone, the author of the Almanac of American Politics, has to say about swing counties and precincts in both states for your first clues.  (Barone should be part of the FOX News Channel team.)  I think Virginia will be called by 9:30 for both Mitt Romney and George Allen (I’d look for Romney to have a slightly larger margin than Allen, a reversal from earlier this fall as Romney has picked up support from Kaine supporters in Northern VA.)  The Virginia house delegation will remain unchanged.  Ohio will be closer than Virginia, but Romney will pull out a victory there without a messy recount.  When the first “blue” state falls to Romney — whether it be Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania — it will be the start of a very long night for Democrats nationally.

UPDATE:  The Washington Post has apparently realized that their current polling methodology is flawed and is trying out a new one.

According to The Washington Post Chia Pets, Mitt Romney is in the lead. Who do you think will win the election? http://wapo.st/U4wdjn

Obama Pre-Election Enthusiasm In PWC Down 72% From 2008

In one of his last rallies of the 2008 campaign, then-candidate Barack Obama visited the key Virginia swing-county of Prince William and drew 85,000 to a rally so large that it had to be held at the county’s fairgrounds.

In one of his last rallies of the 2012 campaign, President Barack Obama visited Prince William County and drew 24,000 to a rally that barely filled the Jiffy Lube Live amphitheater.  And that was only with the assistance of opening acts Bill Clinton and the Dave Matthews Band.

For those who are mathematically challenged, 24,000 is just 28% of 85,000.  In other words, Obama’s pre-election enthusiasm in PWC is down 72% from 4 years ago.

Mitt-mentum Continues — Romney Draws 30K For Ohio Rally

Mitt Romney’s rally in Ohio on Friday night was attended by 30,000 supporters.  These are the types of crowds that Obama was getting four years ago and could only dream about getting now.  With numbers like these, you can see where the momentum in this race is.

CNN’s John King reports that Romney is well-positioned to win Ohio and that the intensity and activity at the Romney campaign HQ in the state is “off the charts.”

Meanwhile, President Obama returns to Prince William County tonight on his farewell tour accompanied by Bill Clinton.  Unlike four years ago when his last event in PWC had to be held at the county fairgrounds because it was so massive, this one reverts to the Jiffy Lube Live music center and he needs to bring in the Dave Matthews Band as an opening act in order to draw people.

Then there’s this.  From Michael Barone, the man who literally wrote The Almanac of American Politics — the guy who can rattle off statistics and historical trends not just about counties, but about precincts in key swing states.

Barone: Going out on a limb: Romney beats Obama, handily

Obama Campaign Cutting Its Virginia Staff In Half

First the Obama campaign drastically reduced their TV ad expenditures in Virginia.  Then they ceased polling in Virginia.  Now we have received word that they have pulled half of their staff out of the state to shift them to other states where they can help try to shore up what remains of the president’s electoral firewall before it totally crumbles.  Apparently, they now believe Virginia is a lost cause, but will maintain a presence for appearances sake.

We’ve got them on the run, people.  Don’t let up one bit until after the polls close on Election Day.

BREAKING: Obama Campaign Ceases Virginia Polling

BREAKING NEWS:  In the first indication that the Obama campaign is abandoning Virginia, Virtucon has received information that the Obama campaign has ceased polling in the Commonwealth.  (Such a move confirms the recent trend showing Romney taking the lead in Virginia over Obama.)  This information comes to us from a high level Republican source with whom we have had long experience and reliability.

Obama Campaign Privately Conceding Virginia?

With less than three weeks to go until Election Day, one of the surest indicators of who has the momentum (and therefore likely to ultimately prevail) is who is playing offense and who is playing defense.  This article in National Journal is especially noteworthy in that regard:

What also became clear after the dust began to settle from the rumble on Long Island was the electoral map has narrowed and Obama’s team, while conceding nothing publicly, is circling the wagons around OhioIowaNew Hampshire, and Nevada. Plouffe said that Obama remains strong in all four states, but he would not discuss the specifics of internal polling or voter-contact analytics, saying only that Obama has “significant leads” in all four places.

It is uncharacteristic of Team Obama to concede any terrain, but Plouffe offered no such assurances about Obama’s position in North CarolinaVirginia, or Florida. Romney advisers have seen big gains in all three states and now consider wins likely, although not guaranteed, in all three. They are similarly upbeat about prospects in Colorado but not confident enough to predict victory. That Plouffe left Colorado off his list of states where Obama’s leading and can withstand a Romney surge might be telling.

Add to this Romney moving resources (and not for a lack of cash given his massive Sept. fundraising haul) from North Carolina into states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and it is apparent that Obama is playing a prevent defense, simply trying to run out the clock. Meanwhile, Romney is expanding his opportunities late in the game giving him a chance to run up the electoral score and enter office with a mandate.  Any sports fan will tell you that playing a prevent defense more often than not costs you the game.

Of course the Obama campaign would not concede any states publicly and they might even send the president in for an event or two just to keep up appearances (like his next scheduled visit to Virginia tomorrow.)  What happens when you publicly pull out of a swing state?  It shows you’re weak.  Recall four years ago and why Sarah Palin went “rogue.”  It was because McCain publicly pulled out of Michigan and she was determined not to give up on any state.  Once McCain did that, it was the death knell for his campaign.

I don’t expect Obama to disappear from Virginia (as that would completely doom Tim Kaine), but it appears that our status as a swing state may very well be coming to an end.

Frank Luntz Focus Group Of Mostly Former Obama Voters Switch To Romney

OUCH!!! I guess Mitt Romney holding his own in the second presidential debate and being consistent was more impressive to voters than Obama not tripping over his shoelaces and exceeding the expectations that he’d be like Dustin Hoffman in “Rain Man”.  While that may have been a “win” in some people’s minds, Romney dominated on the issues.

CNN poll:

Clear plan for America – Romney 49% / Obama 33%

Economy – Romney 58% / Obama 40%

Deficit – Romney 59% / Obama 36%

Virtucon’s Current Electoral College Map Projections

Here’s where we see the current landscape of the 2012 electoral map using RealClearPolitics “Create Your Own Map” program.  The way I see this race now, Romney is at 244 and Obama is at 201 in the Electoral College. I have not changed any states to “Toss-Up” status here from the most current Real Clear Politics map, but have assigned a few toss-ups where I think they are leaning based upon recent polls (specifically Colorado, Florida, and North Carolina.)That puts Romney just 26 Electoral College votes away from victory.  If you were to give the traditional Democratic states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin to Obama, that adds 46 to his total, putting him at 247 and just 23 votes away.  That leaves Virginia, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada and New Hampshire on the table.  Based upon recent polling (both public and internal), I believe Virginia will ultimately swing towards Romney.  An Ohio victory for Romney would seal the deal, but he could still cobble together a victory by carrying Nevada, Iowa and New Hampshire.

Romney, Allen Take The Lead In VA

Pollster John McLaughlin (not to be confused with the pundit) conducted a statewide poll of Virginia for George Allen’s senate campaign this Mon. and Tue., surveying 600 likely voters.  Unlike media and university polls, McLaughlin works for clients and no candidate wants to hire someone who isn’t accurate.  John is an ace pollster who I worked closely with for Steve Forbes in 1996, so I know that if he is going public with these numbers he is extremely confident in their accuracy as his entire reputation depends upon it. With that preface, drumroll please…

Romney 51% – Obama 44% – Goode 1%

Allen 49% – Kaine 46%

Complete crosstabs can be found here.

Get Gas For $1.84 / Gallon In NOVA This Wed.!

Gas Can Man is coming to Northern Virginia THIS Wednesday! Four gas stations inside the Beltway will be selling regular gas at $1.84 per gallon — the price of a gallon of regular the day that President Obama was inaugurated on Jan. 20, 2009.  The stations will be in McLean, Annandale, Columbia Pike, and Seven-Corners with exact locations and details to be announced on WMAL (630 AM / 105.9 FM) in the morning!

You can also follow Gas Can Man on Facebook.

Surprise, Surprise . . . Unemployment Rate Dips Below 8% Just Before Election Day

Is anyone really surprised that just before Election Day the unemployment rate tumbles 0.3% in a single month to bring it down from 8.1% to 7.8% despite only 114,000 new jobs being added (in a normal recovery, we should be adding three times that number every month) – a number that doesn’t even keep up with population growth.  This report would be great news except for the fact that if the same number of people were actually in the workforce as the day that President Obama was inaugurated the unemployment rate would still be over 11%.  Little did people know that the President’s strategy of “Hope” would be to crush people’s hopes so they would be driven out of the labor force and become not just chronically unemployed, but give up looking altogether.

Anyone want to take bets on what the revised number will be for this month a few months down the line?  It sure as heck won’t be under 8%, but by then Election Day will be passed.  Just one more bottle of snake oil that Obama is trying to sell the American people.UPDATE:  Former GE CEO Jack Welch, someone who actually understands the economy and how to create jobs, is calling Obama out as a liar who is manipulating data to lower the unemployment rate.

 

Bill Maher On Who Won The Presidential Debate

Who won the presidential debate tonight?  Let’s ask big-time lefty and Obama donor Bill Maher.  Here are key tweets from him on Twitter:

Barry, stop nodding at Mitt when he’s lecturing you, it looks like he’s right and you’re chastened!

Romney looks more confident and energetic – he’s about a minute away from holding Obama down and cutting his hair. This better be ropeadope

healthcare: if Obama can’t win this round, Eddie Futch has to stop the fight

i can’t believe i’m saying this, but Obama looks like he DOES need a teleprompter

Obama made a lot of great points tonight. Unfortunately, most of them were for Romney

my rating: Romney won the debate, Obama had the facts on his side, and Lehrer sucked. Next debate, get @SethMacFarlane to host!

Pundits already weighing in that Romney won. They’re cheering on Planet Kolob!

Looks like my pre-thought about Romney knocking it out of the park was accurate, or so says the media that’s so in the tank for Obama

“Catholics For Obama” Play The Mormon Card In Ohio

Desperate and disgusting are the only two words that come to mind.

The Obama supporter then launched into her “canned response” and started reading from her call script: “Well, I am a practicing Catholic, and I strongly support President Obama.” The mother then asked her if she was “familiar with the Pope’s five “non-negotiables.”‘ The Obama supporter had no idea what she was talking about and explained that it was only the Pope’s “opinion” to ban the use of contraception.

The Obama caller then went back to her script, asking these clever questions:

1. How can you support a “Mormon” who does not believe in Jesus Christ?

. . .

The Catholic mother then concluded with, “How can you as a Catholic support a president who supports partial birth abortion and did not support the Born Alive Protection Act when he was a state senator in Illinois?”

Now, get this! The Obama supporter, again reading from her call script, countered, “President Obama did not support abortion.”

As the chair of a pro-life committee, this Catholic woman was more than up to the task of correcting the caller. She asked her “to do some homework.” For example, did she notice that as recently as the Democratic Convention “pro-abortion speakers and supporters of Planned Parenthood were the featured speakers?”

Then came the biggest whopper of all. The Obama supporter said, “Planned Parenthood helps children get health care and prenatal care and does not promote abortion.”