Governor McDonnell’s approval ratings tank

According to a new PPP poll in Virginia the Governor’s approval ratings have dropped 12% in the last month.  For the first time his disapproval percentage is higher than his approval percentage, 46% of those polled disapprove of the job he’s doing as Governor while only 36% approve.  That’s a 30% drop in approval ratings from just a few months ago.  At one point McDonnell had the highest approval rating of any Governor in the US, close to 70%!  The Governor’s current favorability numbers are even worse with only 32% viewing him positively while 46% view him negatively.  Only 31% view him as an ethical politician while 45% do not.

The good news for the Governor, ‘only’  35% of the people think that he should resign while 45% believe he should remain in office.

This report also says “McDonnell’s issues could be a liability for the Republican ticket this fall as 31% of voters say they’d be less likely to vote for a candidate backed by him to only 15% that say they’d be more likely to support someone based on his blessing. Among independent voters it’s 29% less likely and 13% more likely.

Tomorrow PPP will release their latest polling on the Virginia races.

The DailyBeast covers how McDonnell’s troubles may effect our candidates in the fall, quoting Tom and Jeannemarie Davis.

Why I support Jeannemarie Davis

As with Riley, this post is not a reflection of Virginia Virtucon as a whole, but rather of myself as an individual.

Everyone likes to talk about the Constitution these days, don’t they?

We all throw out adherence to the Constitution, especially as Barack Obama seems so intent on flaunting his disregard for it.

But under the Virginia Constitution, the Lt. Governor only has two duties.

Two.

The first is to break ties in the Senate, and preside over the Senate. And to this point, let me assure you all seven of the excellent candidates for LG on the Republican side would break ties in favor of the Republicans.

But who can actually use the rules of the Senate to advantage the Republicans? Who can make sure that our Senate majority is preserved, even in the face of an obstinate 20 member Democrat bloc?

Only two LG candidates have ever been in the Senate and know the rules to help us here: Jeannemarie and Steve Martin.

But there is a second Constitutional duty of the LG. And that is to become Governor if something happens to the Governor.

Someone will, in a time of rapid change, need to make sure the departments run properly, the trains run on time, and that conservative principles are actually applied on a daily basis in ways that matter.

Only Jeannemarie has served in the executive branch, in Gov. McDonnell’s cabinet. As Washington Liason, she took a leading role in fighting Obama’s job-killing policies, and she sat in on cabinet meetings and reported to the Governor on a regular basis. She knows what the departments and agencies are doing, and is uniquely prepared to become governor should the need arise.

So, as far as the Constitutional duties of the LG, Jeannemarie stands tall, with experience and accomplishments no one else can boast.

That’s not all, however. We as Republicans need our LG candidate to do one more thing.

Our LG candidate needs to help elect Ken Cuccinelli governor and help elect our outstanding AG candidate as well.

Here is where Jeannemarie really shines.

Last year, we were all terribly disappointed to see Barack Obama re-elected. Many of us worked very hard to prevent that, but we could not overcome the deficiencies in our Republican coalition.

Translation: If we don’t do better among minority communities and single women, we will always be a minority party, never winning the “big ones”.

That means a Federal and State government that becomes more and more like a leviathan through policies enacted by the people’s representatives.

We need to speak our principles to communities who do not normally hear them- in their language, in ways they understand. And this, Jeannemarie has been doing for decades.

It’s easy for someone who has never stood for public office to make proclamations about what everyone else is doing wrong. But Jeannemarie was elected four times from a 57% Obama district- a district that votes similarly to Massachusetts.

Friends, for a pro-life, pro-gun, pro-business woman candidate, that is no small feat.

Jeannemarie will help Cuccinelli and our AG candidate talk to single women and minority voters to peel them off from the Obama coalition. Those voters will prove crucial in November as we are withstanding the brunt of all of Terry McAuliffe’s “Mississippi Money”.

THAT is the addition to the ticket that will pay dividends in November. The addition that will provide balance to the ticket and help us get the 45% in Northern VA we need to win statewide.

We need Jeannemarie.

I urge you to stop by her ice cream social hospitality suite on Friday night, and to vote for her this Saturday at the Convention in Richmond.

Yours in victory,

Steve

Corey Stewart’s Week Just Keeps Getting Worse

Today, candidate for Lt. Governor, Corey Stewart took another hit.  A robo call went out from Tito “The Builder” Munoz.  Tito’s message states that Corey Stewart, despite saying he has cut taxes, actually has raised taxes as chairman of the Prince William County Board of Supervisors.

Tito states the organization that paid for the call, but if you can understand what the name of the organization, good luck.   Interestingly enough Tito and his wife Debbie are strong supporters of Jeannemarie Davis, also a candidate for Lt. Governor.  Just yesterday Davis released a statement calling for civility in the campaign for Republican nomination for Lt. Governor.  In her statement Davis states “I have endeavored to run a positive campaign because I want to build my support on my message, When we tear each other apart during the nominating process the result is division within our Republican ranks, affording the Democrats the opportunity to use that division to win the General election.”   Does Davis condone Munoz’s phone call?

What is Terry Hiding?

RPV has been hammering hard calling for Terry McAuliffe to release his tax returns. Susan Stimpson, candiddate for Lt.Governor agrees.

Stimpson has released a press release in which she has made her tax returns available and has called on all candidates seeking state-wide office this year to do the same.

“Everyone wants transparency in government. Ken Cuccinelli has led the way in disclosure of his tax records,” Stimpson said in a statement. “By contrast, his opponent Terry McAuliffe refuses to release his taxes.”

From Hamptonroads.com

Facing pressure from Republicans, he provided that information last month days after Cuccinelli allowed reporters to review hundreds of pages of his tax records covering eight years.

Stimpson is one of seven Republicans pursuing the party nomination for lieutenant governor.

Her campaign manager Tim Edson said Stimpson is leading by example because “she has nothing to hide” just a record of paying taxes “like hardworking middle class Virginians do.”

Candidates who refuse to follow suit and release their tax records evidentally “have something to hide,” concluded Edson.

Pete Snyder spends Half a Million in one quarter in his quest for Lt. Governor!

In the first quarter of this year, Pete Snyder spent $506,499.  That’s a heck of a lot of pork for the Pig Rig! Perhaps Pete’s Rock star tour t-shirts were much more costly than they appear to be!  Other than pork and t-shirts, I have no idea how he spent that much money in one quarter for a party convention nomination.  It’s record setting spending.  Who knew that someone would, or could, spend that much money to win a nomination for Lt. Governor?  It must be a VERY valuable office!

Corey Stewart didn’t outspend Pete but he has a lot more money on hand to spend in the coming weeks before the republican convention on May 18.  Corey has on hand $363,087 to Pete’s $178,647.   Surprisingly, Jeannemarie Davis took in almost as much Pete in the first quarter of this year.  She raised $256,620 to Pete’s $276, 814.  Of course Pete way outspent her, as he outspent everyone.  Pete’s out-of-state donors have really come through for him in this campaign!  It pays to have rich friends in other states!   I have to wonder what their motives are.  Who invests in a campaign for Lt. Governor in another state?  And why?

More details on money and spending here and here.  Pete’s expenses here.  He certainly has a large payroll!    And don’t miss this video on “Virginia” Pete!

Why is Pete Snyder (still) running for Lt. Governor?

Pete Snyder has a rather short history in Virginia politics.   He seemed to have come out of nowhere in 2012, and that’s pretty close to reality.

In 2008 Pete and his wife paid $1.675,000 for  a house in Alexandria, prior to that he lived in Arlington and DC after growing up in Pennsylvania and graduating from William and Mary.  He didn’t appear at Fairfax county Republican Committee until 2012 although he gave the committee $500 in 2004, a year prior to giving the same amount to Tom Davis for his run for Congress.   (The FEC search function is here, search with Pete’s name and filter by using Virginia so that you don’t get other men sharing Pete’s name in various states).    In 2010 and 2011 he was not a republican delegate at any conventions.  He wasn’t even on the Virginia Republican’s radar screen.

Snyder contributed to some republican candidates prior to 2012, most notably, $25,000 to Bill Bolling’s campaign in 2008-2009.   The only money Snyder has ever given to the current candidate for Governor, Ken Cuccinelli, was a measly $130 for his inauguration in 2010.    Snyder gave more than that to his opponent, Jeannemarie Davis, for her run for Senate in 2003.  That’s one of Pete’s earliest contributions to any republican, anywhere.  Pete has never given ANY money to ANY republican Presidential candidate, with the exception of Rudy Giuliani.   Pete’s FEC donations are here.   If Snyder could afford a house worth well over a million, and we keep hearing how wealthy he is due to his successful business endeavors, one might think he could have given some of our Presidential candidates a dime or two.

So when did Pete enter the political scene in Virginia?  In 2011, McDonnell announced that Snyder would chair the Victory 2012 campaign.  Shortly after that, in December of 2012, Snyder let it be known that he intended to run for Lt. Governor in 2013.    Could it be a coincidence that Snyder gave $25,000 to Bolling’s campaign, was then appointed to be Victory Chair and at the same time decided to run for Lt. Governor with Bolling on the top of the ticket? No, it couldn’t be.  When Pete was appointed to be Victory Chair 2012  McDonnell and Bolling  thought that  Snyder could then be all over the state, introducing himself to voters, in preparation for his run with Bolling in 2013.  That explains why in the summer of 2012 Snyder gave ridiculously long speeches at Loudoun Republican committee and Fairfax Republican committee talking about himself.  He was supposed to speak about Victory 2012 for 2 minutes.  Instead of that, he was mercifully stopped after a 25 minute speech about himself.  In 2012 Pete failed miserably at his job at Victory and  inexplicably continued his run for Governor.   He and Bolling were going to prevail, doggone-it!  But things didn’t quite work out the way that McDonnell and Bolling had hoped.  Bolling saw the handwriting on the wall and knew that he couldn’t beat Ken Cuccinelli at a convention.  Bolling dropped out of the race for Governor although he may soon return as a third party candidate, or a democrat challenging Terry McAuliffe.  ( Senator Steve Martin isn’t the ‘wild and crazy guy’ in Virginia politics, Bill Bolling is.)

After Bolling dropped out, Pete continued on his own.  He was chosen to run for Lt. Governor by Bill Bolling and McDonnell and now Pete is all that is left of their ‘dream team’,  all that remains to carry on the old Bolling message.    Poor Pete, left with only his BBQ grill and a cadre of young people from the Bolling campaign.    The good news is that Pete has plenty of out of state money coming in, thanks to his wife having spent many years on Capital hill, working for Senator Roy Blunt.   (Yeah, that Roy Blunt.)  That out of state money is hiring young followers  across the state to help spread the Bolling message and grill BBQ.   All of those connections were supposed to help elect the Bolling/Snyder team.  Now Snyder alone will benefit from all of those hefty out-of-state donations. 

Davis “Wins” Both Virtucon LG Polls

Jeannemarie Davis has “won” both of Virtucon’s polls on the LG race.  First, the good news for her…

Whom Do You Support To Be The GOP Lt. Gov. Nominee In 2013?

Jeannemarie Davis 31.88% (895 votes)
Pete Snyder 26.68% (749 votes)
Steve Martin 21.41% (601 votes)
Susan Stimpson 6.34% (178 votes)
EW Jackson 5.06% (142 votes)
Corey Stewart 4.45% (125 votes)
Scott Lingamfelter 4.17% (117 votes)

Total Votes: 2,807

You can immediately tell which candidates put the full force of social media behind their straw poll efforts and we applaud former Sen. Davis, Mr. Snyder, and Sen. Martin for mounting such vigorous online campaigns and congratulate Mrs. Davis on her victory. Never did we imagine that over 2,800 votes would be cast in this poll (which was restricted so only one vote could be made per IP address.) Martin and Snyder both utilized their Facebook pages with great frequency to push their followers to vote in the straw poll while the Davis campaign sent out this last minute plea:

From: “John Pudner”
Date: Jan 17, 2013 10:01:23 AM
Subject: reject negative voting; vote for Jeannemarie at http://virginiavirtucon.wordpress.com/
To:

I have a favor to ask. Please reject negative voting, and instead go to http://virginiavirtucon.wordpress.com/ to vote for Jeannemarie Davis for Lt. Governor.

The posting of this first on-line poll surprised many, but revealed what we have been seeing all over the Commonwealth, a groundswell of support for Jeannemarie. In response, a poll was quickly added to let those who would rather attack a fellow Republican pick their last choice. Then suddenly a bunch of votes came in almost all at once picking Pete Snyder as their first choice and Jeannemarie as their last choice.

I am happy to report that despite that block of pro-Snyder/anti-Jeannemarie voters, more than 82 percent of those voting for a candidate refused to pick a “last choice.” Of the first 2,497 to cast votes, only 6.8 percent picked Jeannemarie as their last choice.

I hope you will vote for Jeannemarie at http://virginiavirtucon.wordpress.com/ as the best candidate to win the race for Lt. Governor by defeating the Democrats in the Fall, but most important I hope you will consider joining the 82 percent who refused to play into the Democrats hands in the fall by picking out a least favorite Republican.

With your help, Jeannemarie can win the Convention on May 18th and face the Democrats in November with tremendous momentum.

take this opportunity to show your support for Jeannemarie!

All my best,

John Pudner
Senior Advisor
Jeannemarie Davis for Lt. Governor;

For the record, former Sen. Davis was nowhere near the top when the “Who is your last choice?” poll was added shortly after the first one launched. In fact, we were going to do a “Who is your second choice?” poll, but then figured that would have been easier for campaigns to manipulate as they would simply ask their supporters to vote for their candidate in both. Since the nomination will be decided by convention, determining who the last choice of delegates for the nomination is would be much more instructive. And there is the bad news for Mrs. Davis’s other “win.”

Who Is Your *LAST* Choice For The GOP Lt. Gov. Nomination In 2013?

Jeannemarie Davis 35.89% (271 votes)
Pete Snyder 33.64% (254 votes)
Susan Stimpson 12.05% (91 votes)
Steve Martin 7.15% (54 votes)
Corey Stewart 6.49% (49 votes)
Scott Lingamfelter 3.18% (24 votes)
EW Jackson 1.59% (12 votes)

Total Votes: 755

Only a little more than a quarter of voters from the first poll cast a vote in the second one, but it is clear that 7 out of 10 participants are lined up against the two candidates from Fairfax County, Davis and Snyder.

Obviously, these straw polls are unscientific and not determinative of outcomes, but they do shed light on the state of the race much the same way that the recent fundraising reports did.

Davis and Snyder both proved that they can organize (at least online) and raise money, but they both appear to have high negatives among the party faithful as well.  Lingamfelter and Stewart both have low negatives here (only surpassed by Bishop Jackson who almost no one doesn’t like) and have shown significant fundraising capacity.  Stimpson remains in the mid-range in terms of support and fundraising (which isn’t necessarily a bad place to be.)

As we’ve said before, with this being a convention, the nomination is almost anyone’s at this point, but there are danger signs for both Davis and Snyder who placed first and second in both polls.  Let the campaign roll on!

At This Rate, Hers Will Be The Shortest LG Campaign In History

Former VA State Sen. Jeannemarie Davis put out the following robocall on 9/11/12, ostensibly in support of Mitt Romney, despite both the Romney and Obama campaigns essentially going dark today in rememberance of those who died on 9/11.  Coincidence that this robocall hit the same day she sent out an email saying the best way to honor those who died is to participate in democracy and, oh by the way, she’s running for Lt. Governor?  I don’t think so.

To this, all I have to say is…

JMDD Keepin’ It Classy On 9/11

Not.

From: Jeannemarie Davis <jeannemarie@jeannemarie4LG.com>
To: xxxxxx@xxxxxxx.xxx
Sent: Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:01 AM
Subject: please give me your views at http://www.jeannemarie4LG.com

As we remember those fallen Americans from 11 years ago, please encourage everyone to participate in our great Democracy.

I would appreciate it if you would take a minute to go to www.jeannemarie4LG.com and give me your feedback on a survey as I begin my tour of the Commonwealth.  Please provide information on any ways that the Obama Administration has hurt you or your community, so that I can better tell the story of why it is so important that Virginians replace President Obama and his Democratic Senate.  Also, please email back to let me know if you would like to be invited to events in your area, or if you would like me to attend any events.

Jeannemarie Davis

(540) xxx-xxxx
jeannemarie@jeannemarie4LG.com

UPDATE: To add insult to injury, we are now getting multiple reports of Jeannemarie’s campaign making robocalls today asking “Do you plan to vote for Mitt Romney?” followed by questions about her candidacy for Lt. Gov.  She may very well be having the worst campaign roll out in the history of politics.

UPDATE 2:  We now have audio.