May Campaign Ploy Backfires

Who is Freedom Works?  It appears that Delegate Joe May does not know; for he has mistaken them for the LaRock campaign.  There is a difference.  LaRock is running a local grass roots campaign, seeking to unseat 20 year political veteran Joe May on a challenger’s budget.  Freedom Works is the goliath of conservative grassroots organizations.

Founded in 1984, FreedomWorks is headquartered in Washington, DC, and has hundreds of thousands of grassroots volunteers nationwide. Matt Kibbe is the President and CEO.

FreedomWorks members know that government goes to those who show up, and are leading the fight for lower taxes, less government, and more freedom.

LaRock has put together a fine campaign — but mistaking it for Freedom Works smacks of desperation.  Joe May proudly announced on his facebook page, that three members of the LaRock campaign were served with trespassing warrants.  Having someone served with such a warrant is easier than getting a grand jury to indict a ham sandwich — so what is there to crow about Joe?  Not knowing who you sic-ed the cops on is certainly nothing to crow about Joe.

The plot thickens when one actually takes the time to talk to the people from Freedom Works.  John Trent was one of the three Freedom Works grassroots workers who were served with the trespassing warrants.  The episode began last Friday around noon.  John and two others from Freedom Works were putting up signs.  They noticed someone was taking down the signs they had just put up; that someone turned out to be Joe May’s campaign manager, Jon Conradi!

Freedom Works entered the Joe May campaign headquarters in Purceville and asked Conradi if he knew anything about the missing signs.  This was Conradi’s chance to come clean but he opted for the other road and feigned ignorance.  At this point Trent told Conradi that they all saw him take the signs down; Conradi’s response was to throw them out of the office.  Trent and his compatriots complied and left the building.  Conradi followed them outside and threatened to have their vehicle towed.

At this point Trent and his companions just wanted the campaign signs back and were speaking to another witness who also saw the signs being stolen by Conradi.   It was during this time that Conradi called the Purceville Police.  Officer Hood arrived shortly thereafter, took statements from Trent and his Freedom Works co-workers regarding the theft of the signs, and as per the request of the May Campaign, Officer Hood did issue the trespassing warrants.   Critically, Officer Hood also entered the May Campaign Office and retrieved the stolen signs!

There are several unanswered questions at this point: 

  1. Did Joe May instruct Jon Conradi to take those signs?
  2. Did Joe May know that the people who entered his campaign office were from Freedom Works?
  3. Would Joe May knowingly disseminate a falsehood that David LaRock’s campaign was involved?
  4. Why is the May Campaign picking a fight with Freedom Works?
  5. Why is Jon Conradi stealing signs, in broad daylight?

The May campaign needs to get its facts straight.  They are sacrificing Joe’s good name on the alter of re-election.  At one time no one would think Joe would take part in such seedy tactics.  After the mud slinging of the past few months, the campaign signs being stolen or vandalized, all such illusions are now gone.  What happened to Joe?

UPDATED: Bobby Jindal Is Surprise Guest Speaker at RPV Convo

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LA Gov. Bobby Jindal has made a surprise appearance at the RPV Convention.

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PWC, Stafford and Loudoun are all in the nosebleed seats on one side while Fairfax is on the other. Horrible acoustics in the Richmond Coliseum.

Lots of Stewart staffers handing out stickers and signs outside, but few takers. Still has a lot of people supporting him, no doubt from the ridiculous Middle Resolution endorsement. In fact, sitting in my seat, I received a robocall from a “founding member” of the group. (Sorry, I don’t follow the advice of Johnny Come Latelys to the movement.)

Impressive showing by Stimpson staff. Lots of signs and people wearing stickers. If she is in the final three, watch out.

Hard to find Lingamfelter staff giving out stickers and signs they have posted. I can’t believe his campaign out raised Stimpsons because it appears she got the better bang for her buck.

A resident of Woodbridge in PWC just walked through our delegation handing out a flier hitting Corey on his ties to developers and includes VPAP campaign finance filings. Bill Petrak is not supporting nor working for any campaign, but wants everyone to know Stewart is not the conservative he portrays himself to be.

Will update as events warrant throughout the day.

UPDATE 1: Speeches started. Allen West nominated Lingamfelter. Ollie North nominating Snyder now.

JMD had a video intro w/ a small Darrell Issa clip. EW Jackson dispensed with everything and too the stage immediately.

Stewart walks onstage to Europe’s “The Final Countdown.” All I can think of is the show “Arrested Development” and how GOB Bluth (the magician) used that.

1:46 pm Voting has begun. LG Candidate Scott Lingamfelter casts his ballot.

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Breitbart Reports RPV Counsel Has Conflict In LG Race

Just how many people will be snared by the Stewart campaign’s knuckle headed Virginians for Limited Government scheme to subvert the Commonwealth’s campaign finance laws? Now the RPV General Counsel appears to have been placed in a position of having a conflict of interest according to Breitbart.

It sounds as if Stewart staffers are already pointing fingers at the culprit responsible for the campaign’s implosion.

What round do you think Stewart will get knocked out in today?

An Angry Soccer Mom

Like other recent posts on Virginia Virtucon.  This is a personal endorsement of this author and not and endorsement of the blog as a whole.

Former Delegate Tom Gear epitomized exactly what is wrong with the establishment of the Republican Party.   Gear in an email to RPV Convention delegates described Stafford County Chairman Susan Stimpson as an “angry soccer mom” because of her disdain for the largest tax increase in Virginia’s history.

Stimpson was the first candidate for Lt. Governor that spoke out against the tax increase plan for transportation designed by Republican leadership in Richmond.  She has continued to speak out about the tax increase while other candidates agreed with her opposition to the tax increase, but would prefer to sweep the issue under the rug and ignore the fact that the establishment failed us.

Republicans are supposed to be against tax increases and against expansion of government at all levels.  This year Republicans even set into motion the ability for Virginia to expand Medicaid as a part of Obamacare.  Stimpson has spoken out and spoken out loudly to this tax increase scheme and expansion of government power.

Stimpson has taken to the label of Angry Soccer Mom as a badge of honor.  If that is how the establishment wants to view women who speak out against tax increases, then that is the way it shall be.  The soccer moms of the Republican Party should speak up and speak up loudly when our Republican leadership fails us and makes it that much difficulty to manage a family budget.

Stimpson has fought government expansion in Stafford County and cut taxes every year she has been in office.  In Stafford County she has led efforts to cut real estate taxes three years in a row, repeal BPOL, taxes on boats, and tool and machinery taxes.  The results of Republicans governing as conservatives is unquestionable.  In Stafford County the bond rating has been upgraded, government bureaucracy has been cut to 2004 levels and economic growth is booming.

The delegates of the Republican Party Convention would be wise to nominate “Angry Soccer Mom” Stimpson.  She will continue to use anger and disdain for higher taxes to fight for the family budget.  She will fight government growth and overreach and prove the miracle of Stafford County is no fluke.

Where Will You Be Sitting At The RPV Convention On Saturday?

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Accomack County 26L
Albemarle County Floor 8, Floor 5
Alexandria City 19L
Alleghany/Covington Floor 7
Amelia County Floor 6
Amherst County Floor 7
Appomattox County 26L
Arlington County 22L, 23L
Augusta County Floor 1
Bath County 325
Bedford 18A, 19A
Bland County Floor 1
Botetourt County 28L
Bristol City 26L
Brunswick County Floor 2
Buchanan County 322
Buckingham County 322
Campbell County 6L
Caroline County 324
Carroll County Floor 9
Charles City County 323
Charlotte County 30L
Charlottesville City 325
Chesapeake City 4L
Chesterfield County 21U – 29U
Clarke County Floor 1
Colonial Heights City Floor 6
Craig County Floor 1
Culpeper County Floor 4
Cumberland County Floor 6
Danville City 323
Dickenson County 324
Dinwiddie County 3L
Emporia Greensville Floor 6
Essex County Floor 9
Fairfax City Floor 9
Fairfax County 11U – 20U
Falls Church City Floor 1
Fauquier County Floor 5
Floyd County 328
Fluvanna County Floor 7
Franklin County 16A
Frederick County 24L, 25L
Fredericksburg City 323
Galax City Floor 6
Giles County Floor 6
Gloucester County 24L, 25L
Goochland County Floor 7
Grayson County Floor 6
Greene County Floor 2
Halifax County 326
Hampton City 1L
Hanover County 31L, 32L
Harrisonburg City Floor 2
Henrico County 16L – 18L
Henry County 31A
Highland County Floor 6
Hopewell City 6L
Isle of Wight County Floor 4
James City County 3L
King & Queen County Floor 7
King George County Floor 5
King William County 322
Lancaster County Floor 1
Lee County 3L
Loudoun County 31U, 30U
Louisa County Floor 2
Lunenburg County Floor 6
Lynchburg City 28L
Madison County Floor 1
Manassas City 27L
Manassas Park City Floor 7
Martinsville City 324
Mathews County Floor 9
Mecklenburg County Floor 6
Middlesex County 15A
Montgomery County Floor 7
Nelson County Floor 9
New Kent County Floor 9
Newport News City 327
Norfolk City 14L
Northampton County Floor 3
Northumberland County Floor 6
Nottoway County 26L
Orange County 31L, 32L
Page County 3L
Patrick County 16L
Petersburg City 323
Pittsylvania County 326
Poquoson City Floor 9
Portsmouth City 14L
Powhatan County 20L
Prince Edward County Floor 4
Prince George County Floor 9
Prince William County 2U – 5U
Pulaski County Floor 4
Radford City Floor 6
Rappahannock County Floor 4
Richmond City 15L
Richmond County Floor 6
Roanoke City 328
Roanoke County 27L
Rockbridge Area Floor 4
Rockingham County Floor 3
Russell County Floor 7
Salem City 26L
Scott County Floor 6
Shenandoah County 31A, 32A
Smyth County Floor 9
Southampton/Franklin City Floor 6
Spotsylvania County 32U, 1U
Stafford County 32U, 1U
Staunton City Floor 4
Suffolk City 3L
Surry County Floor 6
Sussex County 326
Tazewell 3A
Virginia Beach City 1L, 2L
Warren County 12L
Washington County 30L
Waynesboro City Floor 4
Westmoreland County Floor 1
Williamsburg City Floor 6
Winchester County 24L, 25L
Wise County 3L
Wythe County 325
York County 3A, 2A

Why I support Susan Stimpson for Lieutenant Governor

Much like Riley in his post endorsing Scott Lingamfelter, I do not claim to speak for Virginia Virtucon as a whole. I only speak for myself.

As the race for the Republican nomination for Lieutenant Governor of Virginia careens toward the finish line, convention delegates are faced with a smorgasboard of candidates: some with experience, others with outsider credibility; some touting their records, others running away from them; some looking to lift the campaign up, others tearing it down (and themselves in the process). It can all be a bit confusing.

That said, this could be the most important nomination contest the party has faced in a long time. I say that not due to the importance of the office, but rather the nature of the candidates, the campaign, and the political environment swirling around them. This decision will be made as the party reels from internal arguments, the self-inflicted wound known as Plan ’13 From Outer Space, and as always, the growing shadow of Washington, DC. In times like these, while outsiders can be useful and appealing, what is really needed is someone who has both political experience in office and the willingness to take on entrenched interests on behalf of the taxpayer.

Five candidates have experience in elected office. Four of them have buckled under and chosen to raise taxes on Virginians. Only Susan Stimpson has refused to stain her tenure of office with a tax increase.

This is not to say that the other four have bad records, but their records do have bad votes – votes which have cost you more money. Steve Martin, Scott Lingamfelter, and JMDD all voted for the Rube Goldberg scheme known as HB3202. Martin and Lingamfelter also voted for the sales tax “acceleration” in 2009 (as part of that years budget amendements; Martin opposed it as a stand-alone bill) and the manufacturers’ tax increase of 2010 (as part of that year’s budget). Mrs. Devolites-Davis voted for the Warner tax hike of 2004.

By contrast, Stimpson has ensured taxes have gone down, not up, in Stafford County (in contrast to Prince William, where Corey Stewart has indeed raised property taxes during his time there). I know from personal experience how difficult it is to tell local elites “no” on spending and tax matters. Susan has done that, every time.

Additionally, she has stood up for her constituents at the state level, where she can, by calling for more thrift, openness, and accountability at the Virginia Railway Express (funded by taxes paid on gas by residents from Great Falls to Glenora), and publicly opposing Plan ’13 From Outer Space – crossing her former patron (Speaker Bill Howell) in the process.

The Republican Party of Virginia will have a difficult 2013. If they wish to show voters that Plan ’13 will not be repeated, and that taxpayers will be respected from here on out, they need a nominee for Lieutenant Governor who can do more than say he will stand with them. They need a candidate who has stood with them.

Susan Stimpson is that candidate.

What is Terry Hiding?

RPV has been hammering hard calling for Terry McAuliffe to release his tax returns. Susan Stimpson, candiddate for Lt.Governor agrees.

Stimpson has released a press release in which she has made her tax returns available and has called on all candidates seeking state-wide office this year to do the same.

“Everyone wants transparency in government. Ken Cuccinelli has led the way in disclosure of his tax records,” Stimpson said in a statement. “By contrast, his opponent Terry McAuliffe refuses to release his taxes.”

From Hamptonroads.com

Facing pressure from Republicans, he provided that information last month days after Cuccinelli allowed reporters to review hundreds of pages of his tax records covering eight years.

Stimpson is one of seven Republicans pursuing the party nomination for lieutenant governor.

Her campaign manager Tim Edson said Stimpson is leading by example because “she has nothing to hide” just a record of paying taxes “like hardworking middle class Virginians do.”

Candidates who refuse to follow suit and release their tax records evidentally “have something to hide,” concluded Edson.

And The Evidence Points To…

Late today, Virtucon was alerted to other videos available online that possess similar styles and characteristics to the two anti-Pete Snyder videos that we wrote about earlier.  Not only do these videos take great liberties with the truth, but they also fail to include the required basic legal disclaimers stating who paid for them and whether they were authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee.

Listen to the voiceover work in these two videos.

And compare the two opening shots in each of these videos:

We had these analyzed by a video production professional who stated:

The voices could very well be the same ones. They sound like it to me. When I have voiceovers I tend to hire out the talent rather than do it myself, and there are some folks I’ve liked working with so sometimes they end up being used on more than one production. That wouldn’t necessarily mean it’s the same production company, but it would be an indicator since there’s a huge ton of voiceover talent out there and to come up with two videos with the same voice randomly is rather unusual. Especially when the voiceover “talent” is pretty sub-par like this.

However this doesn’t sound like pro voiceover talent to me. This sounds like a low-budget producer goofing around with his own voice to come up with a passable voiceover because he doesn’t have the money for talent. I’ve done this a couple of times, and it’s not unusual when you have a stingy client.

The production methodology in the second two videos is amazingly similar. Using that iris wipe at the opening is a key indicator. An iris wipe is a VERY rarely used technique (because it looks pretty stupid) and to have two different productions use the same technique at the very opening is definitely a production style unique to a very small number of people.

In my opinion these are most certainly done by the same person.

Anti-Snyder Video 1 CRNC Video

The “iris wipe” really only works at the beginning of a James Bond film.

I guess that is somewhat ironic given that sources have confirmed to us that the two non-Snyder videos were created by someone named Lee Bond (or maybe it isn’t so coincidental and it is his calling card playing upon his surname.)  Mr. Bond also has a very interesting LinkedIn profile.

Lee Bond Linked In

What are the odds that the person who made the anti-Snyder videos would have a similar sounding voice and use similar set-up shots as someone who until March of this year worked for Prince William County government? Factor in that these videos did not start to appear until mid-April and the odds start becoming astronomical that two different people are behind these.

You can draw your own conclusion as to where the evidence ultimately points as it is pretty obvious based upon this.

If this is the case, it appears that this is par for the course.  From another source we spoke to today:

I know that [Corey] likes to avoid direct confrontation and he has funneled money to outside organizations in the past. He was afraid to attack [’11 Democratic candidate for County Chairman Babur] Lateef, so he funneled money to the VA 11th CD GOP account and they did the negative mailers. Plus I know that he has a researcher who could dig up this kind of stuff.

Some of us here have also noted that fonts on the anti-Scott Lingamfelter mailers match fonts used in these video productions.

We have no problem with negative (or comparative if you prefer) campaigning if it is accurate and a campaign takes full ownership of it. Cheap shots like these against Snyder and Lingamfelter taken from behind the veil of anonymity are undignified, especially when it comes from a fellow Republican.

Normally, we would call upon a candidate to disavow these attacks made on their behalf and discipline the staffers responsible.  In this case, what’s the point?  It is a pattern.  Let the delegates to the State Convention decide.  For me, though, this was the last straw.

POLL: Which LG Candidate Do YOU Think Is Behind The Anti-Pete Snyder Videos?

Which candidate for Lt. Gov. do YOU think is behind the anti-Pete Snyder videos?  Take into account who has the motive and money to do this as well as whether this fits anyone’s modus operandi.  We want to know if your thoughts match up with our evidence…

House passes amended Plan ’13 From Outer Space (UPDATE: Senate does too)

The House of Delegates approved McDonnell’s changes to HB 2313 (a.k.a. Plan ’13 From Outer Space), by a 64-35 vote. The roll is not up yet, but taxes will go up, including automatically for regions in the future that hit certain population and traffic levels.

I am deeply disappointed. This bill (and I assume the State Senate will grease the skids for this debacle UPDATE: which the State Senate has also passed with the Governor’s changes) will damage the state’s economy, political transparency, and accountability…while doing nothing about its over-centralized and dysfunctional transportation system.

It’s a sad day for Virginia.

Cross-posted to RWL

How does Pete Snyder get his email lists?

Like most people, I have more than one email account.  One such email account I check infrequently.   On that account I receive emails from Lt Governor candidate Pete Snyder.  They always address me as “Caroline” and it’s clear they think I live in Prince William county, where I have never lived.  I ignored that until recently when I remembered that another campaign had also thought I was Caroline in Prince William.  I searched my emails and found it was Victory 2012 that also thought that I was Caroline in Prince William.  No other campaigns have addressed me in this way.

It appears that the Snyder campaign is using the Victory mailing list.  How did Snyder get it?  Did Pete duplicate the list during the year he spent as Victory chair?  If so, that was a pretty good deal and a good reason to take the Victory job in preparation for a run as Lt. Governor.

I assume that the Victory email list was owned by the Republican Party of Virginia.   Did the RPV give the list to Pete?  If so why?  Why Pete?  Why wasn’t it given to ALL the candidates?  Or need I even ask?  If Pete simply appropriated the list, well, that seems unlikely since taking that amount of data is a felony.  NotLarrySabato recently addressed this very issue.

How did the Victory 2012 email list fall into Pete’s hands?   Any guesses?

McDonnell’s amendments to transportation tax: a few rate tweaks, and a mechanism for AUTOMATIC future tax increases

Most of Governor McDonnell’s changes to HB2313 were minor – small reductions in the tax and fee rates – except for one big change that made this fiasco of a bill even worse: a mechanism to impose automatic future tax increases on Virginians.

One of the controversies surrounding what I call Plan ’13 From Outer Space was the state-imposed taxes on Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads (regional taxes being unconstitutional and all). So, in reaction to Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli’s reminder of that fact (VV), the Governor came up with this (also VV):

Addressing potential legal questions regarding regional taxation authority for Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads. Amendments are made to the sections imposing the regional taxes for transportation by the state to improve the legal posture of the law by changing the applicability of the taxes to any Planning District Commission meeting certain empirical thresholds including population, registered vehicles and transit ridership.  Hampton Roads and Northern Virginia are the only jurisdictions currently meeting these criteria, but in the future other parts of the Commonwealth could utilize these tools if their transportation challenges continue to grow.

Now, it sounds like the affected future regions could choose to impose new taxes, doesn’t it? There’s only one problem: there is no choice involved at all. From the verbiage of the amendment itself (LIS VAunderline added):

In addition to the sales tax imposed pursuant to § 58.1-603, there is hereby levied and imposed in each county and city located in a Planning District established pursuant to Chapter 42 (§ 15.2-4200 et seq.) of Title 15.2 that (i) as of January 1, 2013, has a population of 1.5 million or more as shown by the most recent United States Census, has not less than 1.2 million motor vehicles registered therein, and has a total transit ridership of not less than 15 million riders per year across all transit systems within the Planning District or (ii) as shown by the most recent United States Census meets the population criteria set forth in clause (i) and also meets the vehicle registration and ridership criteria set forth in clause (i), a retail sales tax at the rate of 0.70 percent. In any case in which the tax is imposed pursuant to clause (ii) such tax shall be effective beginning on the July 1 immediately following the calendar year in which all of the criteria have been met.

No “could utilize” about it. The tax increase is automatic. The determination is made not by local or state elected officials, but by the U.S. Census. Thus, future taxes can be imposed on an entire region without anyone taking responsibility.

By the way, here are the list of Planning Districts in Virginia. Please note that, in effect, a subdivision built multiple counties away from you can trigger a tax increase that no one can stop under the Governor’s amendments.

If anything, this just makes Plan ’13 From Outer Space worse. It certainly is no way to govern…

…and it leaves Virginia’s transportation system just as overcentralized, disconnected from land use, and held hostage to upstream unfunded mandates as it was before this entire sorry episode began.

With any luck, the legislature will reject this; the entire, listing enterprise will sink beneath the waves; and Virginia can try again with a fresh perspective in 2014.

Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal

About the “local” tax increases…

The tax increase fiasco continues to get worse with exposure….

Readers may recall Ken Cuccinelli’s somewhat confused statement on the bill. While he opposed the “massive tax hike,” he did add this: “If localities are given more authority to address their most urgent transportation needs, that would be an element that I strongly support…” (Lovettsville Lady).

Well, it turns out that element is non-existent. Here’s the bill’s new language on the hotel occupancy tax (emphasis added).

ARTICLE 10
Transient Occupancy Tax in Northern Virginia

Section 58.1-1742. Northern Virginia transient occupancy tax.

In addition [to] all other fees and taxes imposed under law, there is hereby imposed an additional transient occupancy tax at the rate of three percent of the amount of the charge for the occupancy of any room or space occupied that is located in any county or city embraced by the Northern Virginia Transportation Authority established under section 15.2-4830.

The tax imposed under this section shall be imposed only for the occupancy of any room or space that is suitable or intended for occupancy by transients for dwelling, lodging, or sleeping purposes.

The revenue generated and collected from the tax shall be deposited by the Comptroller in the Northern Virginia Transportation Authority Fund established under section 15.2-4838.01 on at least a monthly basis.

In other words, this “local” tax is actually state imposed, and the money will be spent by an unelected and unaccountable regional authority. Although the newest version of the bill still can’t be found online, in email correspondence, Delegate Marshall’s wife Catherine informed me that as far as she can tell all of the “local” tax increase UPDATE: I have seen the conference report version of the bill, and like the hotel occupancy tax, the grantors’ tax and sales tax are similarly Richmond-imposed and regionally shielded from the accountability of local voters. UPDATE: It appears the money will be sent back to the localities.

This, if anything, is actually worse than the referendum nonsense of 2002 or the HB3202 silliness as originally constructed. There is absolutely no increase in local taxing authority. It is all imposed from above.

Maddening…this thing must be voted down.

Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal

The tax revolt goes national

John Fund (National Review Online) has noticed the Virginia tax battle, and the title says it all:

McDonnell Tarnishes His Legacy

I particularly like his description of the conference committee’s effect on the tax hikes: “kudzu-like growth.”

Now the eyes of the nation are on the General Assembly…

Bloggers join together to stand up for the taxpayers (UPDATE – and we’re not alone)

More than a dozen bloggers have signed an open letter to the General Assembly asking them to defeat the “compromise” tax increase.

I am happy to say that four of my fellow Virginia Virtucon bloggers joined me in signing this letter.

UPDATE:  Joining us, Susan Stimpson, Pete Snyder, E.W. Jackson, and Grover Norquist in opposing this are Corey Stewart, Steve Martin, both Attorney General candidates (Rob Bell and Mark Obenshain), the Family Foundation, the Fairfax County Taxpayers Alliance

The legislature listened to us in 2008. Will they listen to us now?

The pdf version of the letter:
Open Letter Regarding the Transportation Tax Hike (HB 2313) by Shaun Kenney

The link to the letter is here. Among the key points (emphasis in original)…

If fully implemented, the bill would cost Virginia taxpayers over $1.3 billion in new taxes. With the economy on a knife’s edge, additional taxes would damage employment (by raising the cost of business), consumption (by raising overall prices), and the overall business environment. This is not the time to raise taxes on hard-working Virginian employers and employees.

Moreover, the “local” tax increases (on Hampton Roads and Northern Virginia) will have numerous consequences in addition to exacerbating the damage mentioned above.

The grantor’s tax is an especially cruel tax to impose on these regions as they still try to recover from the housing slump that began over five years ago.

The higher sales tax will damage business on the regions’ outskirts (Prince William, Loudoun, Gloucester, Suffolk, Isle of Wight, James, City, York, Chesapeake, and Virginia Beach) as their neighbors’ lower taxes attract businesses and consumers.

The regional hotel occupancy tax may or may not affect tourism, but it will certainly bean increased cost to business travel, further damaging the business climate.

Compounding this confusion will be the internet sales tax, which will now be expected(assuming Congressional passage) to be imposed not evenly throughout Virginia, but according to the sales tax quilt woven by this bill.

Finally, the creation of these regional taxes will encourage revenue-addicted politicians in other regions throughout the Commonwealth, adding greater uncertainty in tax regimens, and a patchwork of local taxes.

Every Republican statewide official (and most legislators) were elected on a promise not to raise taxes. This bill erodes the credibility of all future candidates and the ability of voters to hold said candidates accountable.

This violation of faith damages our democracy in incalculable ways.

The gory details on the tax hike “compromise”

The numbers are out on the conference committee’s tax hike plan…and if anything, it’s worse than we thought.

For starters, the plan raises taxes by $682 million annually (once fully implemented) at the state level for transportation, and by another $135.5 million for other stuff. That’s over $817 million in tax hikes, just from Richmond alone.

Moreover, the plan also gives localities in Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads the “option” of raising taxes by a total of $475-$550 million annually. UPDATE: The local tax hikes include a 1% sales tax, an increase in the grantor’s tax (that’s right, they’re taxing real estate sales as we’re still trying to recover from the housing slump), and a hotel occupancy tax (which will hit business travel).

I should note that just about every previous “local option” tax increase package has included the financial version of a gun to the head of localities to force them to enact them. I don’t have the language of the conference committee version, so I can’t say for certain if this one includes it, too. That said, odds are the localities will knuckle under, meaning the annual tax increase is likely to be roughly $1.3 billion annually.

Not even Grover Norquist thought it was that high at first.

Yet even that isn’t enough for folks like the Northern Virginia Transportation Alliance, whose leader is looking forward to “being able to build on this in the future” (Washington Post).

In fact, Virginia stands at a crossroads (especially Virginia Republicans). Do we simply shrug our shoulders and do what is easy (raise taxes with the premise that we can do it again)? Or do we recognize the economic damage that would be done by a tax increase, roll up our sleeves, and take a cold, long, hard look at the Virginia budget to determine what is not as high a priority as transportation (as well as determining within transportation what should be a state function and what shouldn’t)?

The House has this tax increase (known as HB2313) on their calendar today. There is still enough time to stop it, enough time for state leaders who have currently been silent – are you reading this, Mr. Cuccinelli? – to stand up for the taxpayer and make themselves heard. UPDATE: Ken has put out a confused statement approving of “localities…given more authority” but opposing tax increases. Given that the bill disguises the latter as the former, I’m not sure where Ken lands on this.

Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal

The conference committee deal: higher sales tax, higher local taxes, higher other taxes… (UPDATED AND BUMPED)

The conference committee, remarkably, came up with a “deal” that is worse for the taxpayer than the two versions that were supposed to be the bookends of the negotiation. According to Grover Norquist at ATR:

Governor Bob McDonnell’s proposed transportation fix started as a $2.4 billion tax increase. As the House and Senate conferees debates the final language, the size of the tax hike has evidently increased by 250 percent, to nearly $6.1 billion in new and higher taxes once fully implemented over five years.

That’s over $1.2 billion fleeced annually from the taxpayer. The Richmond Times-Dispatch has the details. The plan is so bad that its foul scent even reached National Review.

I can’t tell if Pete Snyder or E.W. Jackson was the first statewide candidate to publicly oppose this fiasco; both deserve credit for taking that stand, however. Unless I seriously miss my guess, Stimpson, Stewart, Lingamfelter, Obenshain, and Bell – all of whom opposed smaller tax hikes – will likely oppose this one. That said, some words to that effect wouldn’t hurt. UPDATE: Stimpson just declared her opposition to this fiasco in my Inbox.

Meanwhile, Ken Cuccinelli is maddeningly silent – his only statement on this battle so far is his support for Steve Newman’s tax increase. There are whispers he’ll be presenting something in “a few weeks.” Let me say it plainly: that’s not good enough. For Ken to have any hope of making voters forget his mistake with Newman, he needs to oppose this now.

Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal

Quinnipiac confirms: backing a tax increase hurt Cuccinelli

I suspect that most of the discussion on the latest Quinnipiac Poll will be about the effect of Bill Bolling in the race as an independent. However, Quinnipiac had already included Bolling in its January 9 version of the poll. Bolling’s numbers did not change; he’s still at 13%.

What did change was Cuccinelli’s numbers: he dropped 3 points in voter preference (from 34% to 31%); his favorable rating fell 3 points (from 33% to 30%); and his job approval rating fell 7 points (from 48% to 41%), while his job disapproval rose 5 (from 27% to 32%)…

…and what did Cuccinelli do between January 9 and today? He backed Steve Newman’s tax increase.

I’m just sayin’….

Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal

It looks like Virginians’ taxes will go up

The word from the Washington Post is that the conferees in the Virginia Legislature are moving closer to a deal. How close to McDonnell’s tax hike or Frank Wagner’s tax hike is not known.

What is known is that Virginia taxpayer is about to suffer the consequences of Republicans and Democrats working together (previous disasters from bipartisanship: an ethanol policy that nearly starved the world of grain, TARP, the federal tax increase of 2013, and apparently the state tax increase of 2013).

Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal

Who is Supporting Pete Snyder for Lt. Governor?

(Rudy Giuliani in one of his drag costumes.)

The short answer is the most moderate factions of the republican party, the same people who opposed Ken Cuccinelli for Attorney General because he would ‘bring down the whole republican ticket’ now support Pete Snyder.  These are the same people who supported Anna Lee for 10th district chair over John Whitbeck, a real conservative who won with over 80% of the vote.  Further evidence is today’s announcement that Pete Snyder has received the endorsement of Arlington County GOP chair,  Charles Hokanson.   Is there any republican committee in Virginia more moderate, aka liberal, than Arlington County?   Some people in Fairfax are supporting Pete because they want the most ‘moderate’ candidate and they view only Jeannemarie Davis and Snyder as party moderates.  The other five are “too conservative’ according to Fairfax republicans.

Just how moderate/liberal is Pete Snyder?  In 1997 Pete worked for Rudy Giuliani in his campaign for Mayor of New York.  Let’s not forget, the Liberal Party endorsed Giuliani three times, while the Conservative Party of New York refused to endorse him in any of his runs for office.  The Conservative Party was founded by William F. Buckley in 1960 and remains a political force in New York.  More about them here.   They refused to endorse Giuliani but Pete Snyder supported him.  Meanwhile the liberal party endorse Guiliani and  said this about him:

“…when the Liberal Party Policy Committee reviewed a list of key social issues of deep concern to progressive New Yorkers, we found that Rudy Giuliani agreed with the Liberal Party’s stance on a majority of such issues. He agreed with the Liberal Party’s views on affirmative action, gay rights, gun control, school prayer and tuition tax credits. As Mayor, Rudy Giuliani would uphold the Constitutional and legal rights to abortion.”
 –N.Y.S. Liberal Party Endorsement Statement of R. Giuliani for Mayor of New York City April 8, 1989″
Rudy Giuliani not only supports abortion but has refused to denounce even partial birth abortion.  Few would argue that partial birth abortions should be legal.  It’s horrific and disgusting.
                                                          
Pete Snyder’s support for Rudy Giuliani didn’t stop after his runs for Mayor.  Snyder continued his support for Giuliani when he ran for President in 2008, Snyder maxed out his contributions to him.    Snyder’s wife also maxed out her contributions to Guiliani’s run for President.   That’s a lot of money for one family, demonstrating their solid support for Guiliani for President.       
                                      
The moderate/liberals in NOVA argue that Snyder has amazing abilities to bring in money from across the country and that will help our republican ticket.   We know that he has a great deal of appeal from outside Virginia, the vast majority of his current support is from outside Virginia.   How do we know that he intends to share these funds with the other candidates?  Ken Cuccinelli is much better known nationally.  He is a conservative hero across the country.  With only a few states having elections this year, Ken Cuccinelli will draw tremendous support from conservatives across the country.  He will have little need to depend on the largess of the relatively unknown Pete Snyder.   So that argument falls flat.

The real reason for Snyder’s support among the moderate/liberals in the party support is because he is the candidate who is most like them.  They share his views, just as they share the views of Rudy Guiliani.   I expect Snyder to gain support at the convention from Fairfax, Alexandria, and Arlington.  The Rest of Virginia?  Not so much.  The majority attending the convention will be Ken Cuccinelli delegates.  Who can forget 2009 when Ken’s supporters and their Gadsden Flags that filled the convention hall?   Those delegates will not be supporting the most liberal candidate running for Lt. Governor, but will chose among the five conservatives.

Snyder claims he is full of Big Ideas, but we have yet to see any details of these Big Ideas.  While he can steal and parrot positions after other more conservative candidates in the LG race publish we have no idea where Snyder really stands on taxes, economic issues, transportation, abortion, 2nd Amendment or any other issues that concern conservatives.  Snyder is running a terrific campaign for Prom King, but this year this race is more important than clever gimmicks and cute ads.

Sorry Pete, but it ain’t you babe.

UPDATE:  I learned today that some of Pete’s recent endorsements are the results of meetings facilitated by Pat Mullins, Virginia Republican Chairman.  I thought our chairman was supposed to remain neutral in races among republicans.  Once again, I have to wonder why establishment Richmond Republicans pulled Pete Snyder into the party last year, grooming him to run for Lt. Governor and eventually Governor?  Why chose an unknown, a political outsider and complete novice,  when so many republicans in the state have proven records in the party and solid conservative credentials?  I’d love to know the answer.