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    "That some should be rich, shows that others may become rich, and, hence, is just encouragement to industry and enterprise."

    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


    "The supply-side claim is not a claim. It is empirically true and historically convincing that with lower rates of taxation on labor and capital, the factors of production, you'll get a bigger economy."

    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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House of Delegates

Italics = Potential Candidate
* = Incumbent
(Incumbent Party Listed First)

Next elections, Nov. 2009

Have an update for us? A tip on a prospective candidate? Debunk a persistant rumor? Click HERE to send us a message and we’ll be sure to follow up on it.

House of Delegates

1st – Counties of Lee, Scott, Washington (part), and Wise (part)
Terry G. Kilgore (R)*

2nd – Counties of Dickenson, Russell (part), and Wise (part); City of Norton
Clarence E. “Bud” Phillips (D)*

3rd – Counties of Buchanan, Russell (part), and Tazewell (part)
Dan C. Bowling (D)*

4th – Counties of Smyth (part) and Washington (part); City of Bristol
Joseph P. Johnson, Jr. (D)*

5th – Counties of Carroll (part), Grayson, Smyth (part), and Wythe (part); City of Galax
Charles W. “Bill” Carrico, Sr. (R)*

6th – Counties of Bland, Giles (part), Pulaski (part), Tazewell (part), and Wythe (part)
Anne B. Crockett-Stark (R)*

7th – Counties of Montgomery (part) and Pulaski (part); City of Radford
David A. Nutter (R)*

8th – County of Roanoke (part); City of Salem
H. Morgan Griffith (R)*

9th – Counties of Floyd, Franklin, and Pittsylvania (part)
Charles D. Poindexter (R)*

10th – Counties of Carroll (part), Henry (part), and Patrick; City of Martinsville (part)
Ward L. Armstrong (D)*

11th – County of Roanoke (part); City of Roanoke (part)
Onzlee Ware (D)*

12th – Counties of Alleghany, Bath, Craig, Giles (part), and Montgomery (part); City of Covington
James M. Shuler (D)*

13th – Counties of Loudoun (part) and Prince William (part)
Robert G. Marshall (R)*

14th – Counties of Henry (part) and Pittsylvania (part); City of Danville
Daniel W. Marshall, III (R)*

15th – Counties of Page, Rappahannock, Rockingham (part), and Shenandoah
C. Todd Gilbert (R)*

16th – Counties of Henry (part) and Pittsylvania (part); City of Martinsville (part)
Donald W. Merricks (R)*

17th – Counties of Botetourt (part) and Roanoke (part); City of Roanoke (part)
William H. Fralin, Jr. (R)*

18th – Counties of Fauquier (part), Frederick (part), and Warren
C. L. “Clay” Athey, Jr. (R)*

19th – Counties of Bedford (part) and Botetourt (part); City of Bedford
Lacey E. Putney (I)*

20th – Counties of Augusta (part), Highland, and Rockingham (part); City of Staunton
Christopher B. Saxman (R)*

21st – City of Virginia Beach (part)
R. W. ”Bobbie” Mathieson (D)*

22nd – Counties of Bedford (part) and Campbell
Kathy J. Byron (R)*

23rd – County of Amherst (part); City of Lynchburg
Shannon R. Valentine (D)*

24th – Counties of Amherst (part), Augusta (part), and Rockbridge; Cities of Buena Vista and Lexington
Benjamin L. Cline (R)*

25th – Counties of Albemarle (part), Augusta (part), and Rockingham (part); City of Waynesboro
R. Steven Landes (R)*

26th – County of Rockingham (part); City of Harrisonburg
Matthew J. Lohr (R)*

27th – County of Chesterfield (part)
Samuel A. Nixon, Jr. (R)*

28th – County of Stafford (part); City of Fredericksburg
William J. Howell (R)*

29th – County of Frederick (part); City of Winchester
Beverly J. Sherwood (R)*

30th – Counties of Culpeper, Madison, and Orange (part)
Edward T. Scott (R)*

31st – Counties of Fauquier (part) and Prince William (part)
L. Scott Lingamfelter (R)*

32nd – County of Loudoun (part)
David E. Poisson (D)*

33rd – Counties of Clarke and Loudoun (part)
Joe T. May (R)*

34th – County of Fairfax (part)
Margaret G. Vanderhye (D)*

35th – County of Fairfax (part)
Stephen C. Shannon (D)*

36th – County of Fairfax (part)
Kenneth R. Plum (D)*

37th – County of Fairfax (part); City of Fairfax
David L. Bulova (D)*

38th – County of Fairfax (part)
Robert D. Hull (D)*

39th – County of Fairfax (part)
Vivian E. Watts (D)*

40th – County of Fairfax (part)
Timothy D. Hugo (R)*

41st – County of Fairfax (part)
David W. Marsden (D)*

42nd – County of Fairfax (part)
David B. Albo (R)*

43rd – County of Fairfax (part)
Mark D. Sickles (D)*

44th – County of Fairfax (part)
Kristen J. Amundson (D)*

45th – Counties of Arlington (part) and Fairfax (part); City of Alexandria (part)
David L. Englin (D)*

46th – County of Fairfax (part); City of Alexandria (part)
Brian J. Moran (D)*

47th – County of Arlington (part)
Albert C. Eisenberg (D)*

48th – County of Arlington (part)
Robert H. Brink (D)*

49th – Counties of Arlington (part) and Fairfax (part); City of Alexandria (part)
Adam P. Ebbin (D)*

50th – County of Prince William (part); Cities of Manassas and Manassas Park
Jackson H. Miller (R)*

51st – County of Prince William (part)
Paul F. Nichols (D)*

Julie Lucas (R) – Neabsco Dist. School Board Member

52nd – County of Prince William (part)
Jeffrey M. Frederick (R)*

Amy Frederick (R) – Wife of Del. Frederick and GOP Activist
Mike Hardy (R) – Leg. Aide to Del. Frederick
Rob Hartwell (R) – GOP Activist & Donor
Chris Royse (R) – 2007 Woodbridge Dist. Supervisor candidate
Frank Principi (D) – Woodbridge Dist. Supervisor; Opponent of PWC Anti-Illegal Immigration Resolution

53rd – County of Fairfax (part); City of Falls Church
James M. Scott (D)*

54th – Counties of Caroline (part) and Spotsylvania (part)
Robert D. Orrock, Sr. (R)*

55th – County of Hanover (part)
Frank D. Hargrove, Sr. (R)*

56th – Counties of Goochland, Henrico (part), and Louisa
William R. Janis (R)*

57th – County of Albemarle (part); City of Charlottesville
David J. Toscano (D)*

58th – Counties of Albemarle (part), Fluvanna (part), Greene, and Orange (part)
Robert B. Bell (R)*

59th – Counties of Albemarle (part), Appomattox, Buckingham, Cumberland, Fluvanna (part), Nelson, and Prince Edward (part)
Watkins M. Abbitt, Jr. (I)*

60th – Counties of Charlotte, Halifax, Nottoway (part), and Prince Edward (part)
Clarke N. Hogan (R)*

61st – Counties of Amelia, Brunswick (part), Lunenburg (part), Mecklenburg, and Nottoway (part)
Thomas C. Wright, Jr. (R)*

62nd – Counties of Chesterfield (part), Henrico (part), and Prince George (part); City of Hopewell (part)
Riley E. Ingram (R)*

63rd – Counties of Chesterfield (part) and Dinwiddie; City of Petersburg
Rosalyn R. Dance (D)*

64th – Counties of Isle of Wight (part), James City (part), Southampton (part), and Surry; Cities of Franklin (part) and Williamsburg
William K. Barlow (D)*

65th – Counties of Chesterfield (part) and Powhatan
R. Lee Ware, Jr. (R)*

66th – County of Chesterfield (part); City of Colonial Heights
M. Kirkland Cox (R)*

67th – Counties of Fairfax (part) and Loudoun (part)
C. Charles Caputo (D)*

68th – County of Chesterfield (part); City of Richmond (part)
G. M. “Manoli” Loupassi (R)*

69th – County of Chesterfield (part); City of Richmond (part)
Franklin P. Hall (D)*

70th – Counties of Chesterfield (part) and Henrico (part); City of Richmond (part)
Dwight Clinton Jones (D)*

71st – County of Henrico (part); City of Richmond (part)
Jennifer L. McClellan (D)*

72nd – County of Henrico (part)
Jimmie P. Massie, III (R)*

73rd – County of Henrico (part); City of Richmond (part)
John M. O’Bannon, III (R)*

74th – Counties of Charles City, Henrico (part), and Prince George (part); Cities of Hopewell (part) and Richmond (part)
Joseph D. Morrissey (D)*

75th – Counties of Brunswick (part), Greensville, Isle of Wight (part), Lunenburg (part), Southampton (part), and Sussex; Cities of Emporia and Franklin (part)
Roslyn C. Tyler (D)*

76th – Cities of Chesapeake (part) and Suffolk (part)
S. Chris Jones (R)*

77th – Cities of Chesapeake (part) and Suffolk (part)
Lionell Spruill, Sr. (D)*

78th – City of Chesapeake (part)
John A. Cosgrove (R)*

79th – Cities of Chesapeake (part), Norfolk (part), Portsmouth (part), and Suffolk (part)
Johnny S. Joannou (D)*

80th – Cities of Chesapeake (part), Norfolk (part), and Portsmouth (part)
Kenneth R. Melvin (D)*

81st – Cities of Chesapeake (part) and Virginia Beach (part)
Terrie L. Suit (R)*

82nd – City of Virginia Beach (part)
Harry R. Purkey (R)*

83rd – City of Virginia Beach (part)
Joseph F. Bouchard (D)*

84th – City of Virginia Beach (part)
Salvatore R. Iaquinto (R)*

85th – City of Virginia Beach (part)
Robert Tata (R)*

86th – Counties of Fairfax (part) and Loudoun (part)
Thomas Davis Rust (R)*

87th – City of Norfolk (part)
Paula J. Miller (D)*

88th – Counties of Fauquier (part), Spotsylvania (part), and Stafford (part)
Mark L. Cole (R)*

89th – City of Norfolk (part)
Kenneth C. Alexander (D)*

90th – Cities of Chesapeake (part), Norfolk (part), and Virginia Beach (part)
Algie T. Howell, Jr. (D)*

91st – County of York (part); Cities of Hampton (part) and Poquoson
Thomas D. Gear (R)*

92nd – City of Hampton (part)
Jeion A. Ward (D)*

93rd – County of James City (part); City of Newport News (part)
Phillip A. Hamilton (R)*

94th – City of Newport News (part)
G. Glenn Oder (R)*

95th – Cities of Hampton (part) and Newport News (part)
Mamye E. BaCote (D)*

96th – Counties of James City (part) and York (part); City of Newport News (part)
Brenda L. Pogge (R)*

97th – Counties of Caroline (part), Hanover (part), Henrico (part), King and Queen (part), King William (part), New Kent, and Spotsylvania (part)
Christopher K. Peace (R)*

98th – Counties of Essex, Gloucester, King and Queen (part), King William (part), Mathews, and Middlesex
Harvey B. Morgan (R)*

99th – Counties of Caroline (part), King George, Lancaster, Northumberland, Richmond, and Westmoreland
Robert J. Wittman (R)* – Running for U.S. Congress in Dec. 11, 2007 special election.

Albert “The Trashman” Pollard (D) – Fmr. Delegate, ‘07 State Sen. candidate, last seen picking up trash along the roadside.
Dale Sisson (R) – Member of King George Bd. of County Supervisors
John Headley (R) – Fmr. King George GOP Chairman, ‘07 candidate for King George Bd. of County Supervisors

100th – Counties of Accomack and Northampton; Cities of Hampton (part) and Norfolk (part)
Lynwood W. Lewis, Jr. (D)*

One Response

  1. Onzlee Ware will have competition from Mac McCadden and Sen. Brandon Bell will be opposed by former Roanoke Mayor, Ralph Smith.

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