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    "That some should be rich, shows that others may become rich, and, hence, is just encouragement to industry and enterprise."

    -- President Abraham Lincoln - 1864


    "The supply-side claim is not a claim. It is empirically true and historically convincing that with lower rates of taxation on labor and capital, the factors of production, you'll get a bigger economy."

    -- U.S. Rep. Jack Kemp



  • Special Election – Jan 12, 2010

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  • Poll Accuracy Based Results

    Election 2009 actual results: Bob McDonnell 58.6 percent for a 17.4 percent margin of victory. Virtucon rankings are based upon total amount the two numbers deviate from the actual numbers.

    1. Survey USA (10/30-11/1) – 58% / 18% (deviation 1.2%)

    2. VCU (10/21-25) – 54% / 18% (deviation 5.2%)

    3. (TIE) PPP (10/31-11/1) – 56% / 14% (deviation 6%)

    3. (TIE) Roanoke College (10/21-27) – 53% / 17% (deviation 6%)

    5. Suffolk Univ. (10/26-28) – 54% / 14% (deviation 8%)

    6. Rasmussen (10/27) – 54% / 13% (deviation 9%)

    7. Washington Post (10/22-25) – 55% / 11% (deviation 10%)

    8. Times Dispatch / Mason Dixon (10/28-29) – 53% / 12% (deviation 11%)

    9. Daily Kos / Research 2000 (10/26-28) – 54% / 10% (deviation 12%)

    10. Virginia Pilot / CNU (10/8-13) – 45% / 14% (deviation 17%)

    11. Clarus (10/18-19) – 49% / 8% (deviation 19%)


    Next time you see a poll, judge it by its past performance. Here is how they rank in terms of accuracy based upon the 2008 presidential election:

    1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

    1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

    3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

    4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

    5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

    6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*

    6T. ARG (10/25-27)*

    8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)

    8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)

    10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

    ----------------

    (If you're below DailyKos, you don't deserve to be taken seriously for another four years. Better luck in 2012.)

    11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)

    12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)

    13. FOX (11/1-2)

    14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)

    15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

    16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)

    17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)

    18. Marist College (11/3)

    19. CBS (10/31-11/2)

    20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

    21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)

    22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)

    23. Newsweak (10/22-23)

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State Senate

Italics = Potential Candidate
* = Incumbent
(Incumbent Party Listed First)

Next elections, Nov. 2011.

Have an update for us? A tip on a prospective candidate? Debunk a persistant rumor? Click HERE to send us a message and we’ll be sure to follow up on it.

State Senate

1 – Hampton City (Part), Newport News City (Part), Poquoson City (All), York County (Part)
John Miller (D)*

2 – Hampton City (Part), Newport News City (Part), Portsmouth City (Part), Suffolk City (Part)
Mamie E. Locke (D)*

3 – Gloucester County (All), James City County (All), New Kent County (All), Newport News City (Part), Williamsburg City (All), York County (Part)
Thomas K. Norment, Jr. (R)*

4 – Caroline County (All), Essex County (All), Hanover County (All), King and Queen County (All), King William County (All), Middlesex County (All), Spotsylvania County (Part)
Ryan T. McDougle (R)*

5 – Chesapeake City (Part), Norfolk City (Part), Virginia Beach City (Part)
Yvonne B. Miller (D)*

6 – Accomack County (All), Mathews County (All), Norfolk City (Part), Northampton County (All), Virginia Beach City (Part)
Ralph Northam (D)*

7 – Virginia Beach City (Part)
Frank W. Wagner (R)*

8 – Virginia Beach City (Part)
Kenneth W. Stolle (R)*

9 – Charles City County (All), Henrico County (Part), Richmond City (Part)
Don McEachin (D)*

10 – Amelia County (All), Chesterfield County (Part), Cumberland County (Part), Goochland County (Part), Henrico County (Part), Powhatan County (All), Richmond City (Part)
John Watkins (R)*

11 – Chesterfield County (Part), Colonial Heights City (All)
Stephen H. Martin (R)*

12 – Goochland County (Part), Henrico County (Part), Richmond City (Part)
Walter A. Stosch (R)*

13 – Chesapeake City (Part), Franklin City (Part), Hopewell City (Part), Isle of Wight County (Part), Portsmouth City (Part), Prince George County (Part), Southampton County (Part), Suffolk City (Part), Surry County (All)
Frederick M. Quayle (R)*

14 – Chesapeake City (Part), Virginia Beach City (Part)
Harry B. Blevins (R)*

15 – Amherst County (Part), Appomattox County (All), Brunswick County (Part), Buckingham County (Part), Charlotte County (All), Cumberland County (Part), Fluvanna County (All), Halifax County (All), Lunenburg County (Part), Mecklenburg County (All), Prince Edward County (All)
Frank M. Ruff, Jr. (R)*

16 – Chesterfield County (Part), Dinwiddie County (All), Hopewell City (Part), Petersburg City (All), Prince George County (Part), Richmond City (Part)
Henry L. Marsh, III (D)*

17 – Culpeper County (All), Fredericksburg City (Part), Louisa County (All), Madison County (All), Orange County (All), Spotsylvania County (Part)
R. Edward Houck (D)*

18 – Brunswick County (Part), Chesapeake City (Part), Emporia City (All), Franklin City (Part), Greensville County (All), Isle of Wight County (Part), Lunenburg County (Part), Nottoway County (All), Portsmouth City (Part), Southampton County (Part), Suffolk City (Part), Sussex County (All)
L. Louise Lucas (D)*

19 – Campbell County (Part), Danville City (All), Franklin County (All), Pittsylvania County (All)
Robert Hurt (R)*

20 – Carroll County (All), Floyd County (All), Galax City (All), Grayson County (Part), Henry County (All), Martinsville City (All), Patrick County (All), Wythe County (Part)
Wm. Roscoe Reynolds (D)*

21 – Craig County (All), Giles County (All), Montgomery County (Part), Pulaski County (Part), Roanoke City (All), Roanoke County (Part)
John S. Edwards (D)*

22 – Botetourt County (All), Montgomery County (Part), Radford City (All), Roanoke County (Part), Salem City (All)
Ralph Smith (R)*

23 – Amherst County (Part), Bedford City (All), Bedford County (All), Campbell County (Part), Lynchburg City (All)
Stephen D. Newman (R)*

24 – Albemarle County (Part), Augusta County (All), Greene County (All), Highland County (All), Lexington City (All), Rockbridge County (Part), Rockingham County (Part), Staunton City (All), Waynesboro City (All)
Emmett W. Hanger, Jr. (R)*

25 – Albemarle County (Part), Alleghany County (All), Bath County (All), Buckingham County (Part), Buena Vista City (All), Charlottesville City (All), Covington City (All), Nelson County (All), Rockbridge County (Part)
R. Creigh Deeds (D)*

26 – Harrisonburg City (All), Page County (All), Rappahannock County (All), Rockingham County (Part), Shenandoah County (All), Warren County (All)
Mark D. Obenshain (R)*

27 – Clarke County (All), Fauquier County (Part), Frederick County (All), Loudoun County (Part), Winchester City (All)
Jill Holtzman Vogel (R)* 

28 – Fauquier County (Part), Fredericksburg City (Part), King George County (All), Lancaster County (All), Northumberland County (All), Prince William County (Part), Richmond County (All), Stafford County (All), Westmoreland County (All)
Richard Stuart (R)*

29 – Manassas City (All), Manassas Park City (All), Prince William County (Part)
Charles J. Colgan (D)*

30 – Alexandria City (Part), Arlington County (Part), Fairfax County (Part)
Patricia S. Ticer (D)*

31 – Arlington County (Part), Fairfax County (Part), Falls Church City (All)
Mary Margaret Whipple (D)*

32 – Fairfax County (Part)
Janet D. Howell (D)*

33 – Fairfax County (Part), Loudoun County (Part)
Mark Herring (D)*

34 – Fairfax City (All), Fairfax County (Part)
J. Chapman Petersen (D)*

35 – Alexandria City (Part), Fairfax County (Part)
Richard L. Saslaw (D)*

36 – Fairfax County (Part), Prince William County (Part)
Toddy Puller (D)*

37 – Fairfax County (Part)
Ken Cuccinelli, II (R)*

38 – Bland County (All), Buchanan County (All), Dickenson County (All), Pulaski County (Part), Russell County (All), Smyth County (Part), Tazewell County (All), Wise County (Part), Wythe County (Part)
Phillip P. Puckett (D)*

39 – Fairfax County (Part), Prince William County (Part)
George Barker (D)*

40 – Bristol City (All), Grayson County (Part), Lee County (All), Norton City (All), Scott County (All), Smyth County (Part), Washington County (All), Wise County (Part)
William C. Wampler, Jr. (R)*