A Quinnipiac University poll out earlier this week showed Terry McAuliffe leading Ken Cuccinelli by 6 points among likely voters, 48-42. Scratch a little deeper than that, though, and you find some pretty good news for Cuccinelli.
Cuccinelli LEADS among independent voters, 44-42.
Cuccinelli LEADS on honesty and trustworthiness, 42-39.
Cuccinelli LEADS on having the right experience to be governor, 56-46 (does not add up to 100% because this reflects those voters who say both candidates possess the right experience.)
Then, there is the partisan breakdown of the poll:
However damaged the GOP-brand may be, there is no way that Republicans will comprise only 23% of the electorate on Election Day, particularly in an off-year election where President Obama is not on the ballot and he could not even get the LG nomination for a former member of his own administration in a low-turnout Democratic primary back in June. With McAuliffe holding a 6-point lead in this poll and Democrats having a 7% advantage in representation here (with McAuliffe carrying Democrats 92-1), that amounts to a wash.
In the 2009 election, the partisan ID was 37R / 33D / 30I. Even in the 2012 election, the partisan ID was 32R / 39D / 29I, which was a slight IMPROVEMENT for the GOP over the 2008 election.
The only troubling indicator is the 6% of self-professed Republicans who say they will vote for McAuliffe over Cuccinelli. To you I say, just be honest with yourselves and the rest of the voters here in Virginia. You’re RINOs. Go join your local Democratic committee. If you need help, just contact Boyd Marcu$.