COMING SOON: Mark Warner and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Two and a Half Weeks of His Political Life

For those Democrats rejoicing that Ed Gillespie has taken his TV ads off the air, enjoy the next 36 hours because after that…

Mark Warner is about to have the worst two and a half weeks of his political life starting on Saturday when Gillespie goes back up on the air with ads targeting Warner’s involvement in #BRIBESTORM where he suggested a quid pro quo of a federal judicial appointment for the daughter of a sitting Virginia state senator in exchange for that senator not resigning and handing the majority to Virginia Republicans. Don’t forget, Bob McDonnell was just convicted on a number of charges where there was not nearly as clear of a quid pro quo as there is in this case.

Warner is refusing to state that he is not a target in the FBI’s investigation of this matter, his internal poll numbers were in free fall even before these revelations came to light, and Larry Sabato is now including this as a “Crystal Ball” factor that could lead to an upset in this race.

Let’s revisit the 2006 polls since 2014 is shaping up to be a mirror image of that year in a lot of ways. In particular, let’s look at the polls from the George Allen vs. Jim Webb race. Jim Webb led in only TWO POLLS all year (and those were in mid-August / early Sept. during the midst of “macaca”) until a poll conducted Oct. 20-23, 2006, whereas George Allen held the lead in 25 other polls and the two were tied in just one. After Oct. 20, Allen only led in four polls while Webb led in eight (and again the two were tied in one.)  Eight years ago today, George Allen led Jim Webb 50-47 in a Zogby Interactive poll.

Get ready for what is about to rain down, Virginia…


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